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1899 Hoffenheim - Sturm Graz

Europa League November 26, 2026 21:00
1899 Hoffenheim
#29 · 0 pts
vs
Sturm Graz
#17 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.66%
Win
1899 Hoffenheim
25.87%
Draw
25.48%
Win
Sturm Graz
2.35
Expected xG
1.0

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.82%)
1X2 Result
1 49%
X 26%
2 25%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 75%
X2 51%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 62%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives 1899 Hoffenheim a 48% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Sturm Graz. Expected goals are 2.3 for 1899 Hoffenheim and 1.0 for Sturm Graz (total 3.3), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.82% probability.

Season Stats

1899 Hoffenheim
0W 0D 1L
Sturm Graz
2W 2D 5L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
0.6
2.0
Conceded
1.2
5.0
Shots OT
3.2
8.0
Corners
3.0
67%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
56%
0%
O 2.5
44%
0%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 9 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ 1899 Hoffenheim Sturm Graz →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 8.3% 8.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% —
5 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
L OFI 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
D Rennes 0–0
W Brann 1–0
L Feyenoord 3–0
L FK Crvena Zvezda 0–1
L Panathinaikos 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
Attack
44
Defence
52
Form
31
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Attack
39
Defence
57
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz?
The model gives 1899 Hoffenheim a 48% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 25% for an Sturm Graz win.
How many goals are expected in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz?
Expected goals: 1899 Hoffenheim 2.3, Sturm Graz 1.0 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.82%.