Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 09, 2026 15:30

1899 Hoffenheim

#5 · 61 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Werder Bremen

#15 · 32 pts

✓Model correct — prediction 1899 Hoffenheim

B. Toure (ast. A. Kramaric) 26'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Werder Bremen 19%). The final result was 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Werder Bremen. In 1 previous meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Werder Bremen.

Match statistics

12

Total shots

7

4

Shots on target

2

1.41

Actual xG

1.08

2

Saves

3

72%

Possession

28%

8

Corners

3

9

Tackles

16

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

5'

Y. Sugawara

12'

I. Schmidt / S. Musah ↕

⚽B. Toure · ast. A. Kramaric

26'

41'

C. Puertas

↕ B. Toure / A. Prass

57'

Bernardo

66'

71'

S. Mbangula / J. Stage ↕

71'

M. Grull / R. Schmid ↕

↕ Bernardo / R. Hranac

71'

↕ T. Lemperle / C. Campbell

71'

81'

M. Wober / I. Schmidt ↕

88'

J. Njinmah

88'

D. Thioune

↕ A. Kramaric / G. Promel

89'

↕ F. Asllani / A. Hlozek

89'

Pre-match prediction

62.23%

1899 ←

18.52%

X

19.25%

Werder

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (1899 Hoffenheim) 62.23% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

1899

2.31

1.41

-0.9

Werder

1.26

1.08

-0.18

1899 Hoffenheim dominated by xG (1.41 vs 1.08). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	33	86
2	Borussia Dortmund	33	70
3	RB Leipzig	33	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	33	61
5	1899 Hoffenheim	33	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	33	58
7	SC Freiburg	33	44
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	43
9	FC Augsburg	33	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	33	37
11	Hamburger SV	33	37
12	Union Berlin	33	36
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach	33	35
14	1. FC Köln	33	32
15	Werder Bremen	33	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	33	26
17	1. FC Heidenheim	33	26
18	FC St. Pauli	33	26

Lineups

1899 Hoffenheim 4-2-3-1

1

O. Baumann G 7.20

13

Bernardo 71' D 6.70

21

A. Hajdari D 8.30

5

O. Kabak D 7.20

34

V. Coufal D 8.30

18

W. Burger M 7.30

7

M 7.90

29

B. Toure 1 ⚽ 57' M 7.30

11

F. Asllani 89' M 6.20

27 A. Kramarić 1 👟 89' M 6.60

19

T. Lemperle 71' F 6.20

Bench

22

A. Prass 38' D 6.50

6

G. Promel 6' M

2

R. Hranac 24' D 6.90

Werder Bremen 4-1-4-1

30

M. Backhaus G 7.60

2

O. Deman D 7.30

32

Marco Friedl D 6.50

5

Amos Pieper D 6.30

3

Y. Sugawara 5' D 3.00

14

M 7.20

20

R. Schmid 71' M 6.20

18

Cameron Puertas M 6.90

6

J. Stage 71' M 6.70

11

J. Njinmah M 6.30

29

S. Musah 12' F 6.50

Bench

23

I. Schmidt 68' D 6.50

19 J. Milošević F

31

K. Coulibaly D

17

M. Grull 24' F 6.60

4

N. Stark D

Best on the pitch

A. Hajdari

D · 1899

8.30

· 87 pass

V. Coufal

D · 1899

8.30

· 75 pass

M · 1899

7.90

· 105 pass

M. Backhaus

G · Werder

7.60

· 48 pass

W. Burger

M · 1899

7.30

3 shots · 81 pass

B. Toure

M · 1899

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 25 pass

1899 Hoffenheim — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
O. Baumann	G	95	7.20	—	—	—	22	19%	—	—	—
Bernardo	D	71	6.70	—	—	—	60	45%	—	1	—
A. Hajdari	D	95	8.30	—	—	—	87	80%	2	—	—
O. Kabak	D	95	7.20	—	—	1	78	74%	—	—	—
V. Coufal	D	95	8.30	—	—	—	75	68%	2	—	—
W. Burger	M	95	7.30	—	—	3	81	72%	1	—	—
	M	95	7.90	—	—	—	105	98%	—	—	—
B. Toure	M	57	7.30	1	—	1	25	20%	1	—	—
F. Asllani	M	89	6.20	—	—	3	27	19%	—	—	—
A. Kramarić	M	89	6.60	—	1	1	45	41%	2	—	—
T. Lemperle	F	71	6.20	—	—	2	21	12%	—	—	—
A. Prass	D	38	6.50	—	—	1	16	14%	—	—	—
G. Promel	M	6	—	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
R. Hranac	D	24	6.90	—	—	—	16	12%	1	—	—

Werder Bremen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Backhaus	G	95	7.60	—	—	—	48	21%	—	—	—
O. Deman	D	95	7.30	—	—	2	24	12%	4	—	—
Marco Friedl	D	95	6.50	—	—	—	12	9%	1	—	—
Amos Pieper	D	95	6.30	—	—	—	23	16%	—	—	—
Y. Sugawara	D	5	3.00	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	1
	M	95	7.20	—	—	1	22	18%	5	—	—
R. Schmid	M	71	6.20	—	—	—	29	17%	1	—	—
Cameron Puertas	M	95	6.90	—	—	1	28	26%	2	1	—
J. Stage	M	71	6.70	—	—	—	26	18%	—	—	—
J. Njinmah	M	95	6.30	—	—	3	17	13%	—	1	—
S. Musah	F	12	6.50	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
I. Schmidt	D	68	6.50	—	—	—	15	9%	2	—	—
M. Grull	F	24	6.60	—	—	—	3	1%	1	—	—