Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 09, 2026 15:30 PreZero Arena, Sinsheim

1899 Hoffenheim

#11 · 3 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Werder Bremen

#12 · 3 pts

✓Model correct — prediction 1899 Hoffenheim

B. Toure (ast. A. Kramaric) 26'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Werder Bremen 19%). The final result was 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Werder Bremen. In 1 previous meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Werder Bremen.

Match statistics

12

Total shots

7

4

Shots on target

2

1.41

Actual xG

1.08

2

Saves

3

72%

Possession

28%

8

Corners

3

9

Tackles

16

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

5'

Y. Sugawara

12'

I. Schmidt / S. Musah ↕

⚽B. Toure · ast. A. Kramaric

26'

41'

C. Puertas

↕ B. Toure / A. Prass

57'

Bernardo

66'

71'

S. Mbangula / J. Stage ↕

71'

M. Grull / R. Schmid ↕

↕ Bernardo / R. Hranac

71'

↕ T. Lemperle / C. Campbell

71'

81'

M. Wober / I. Schmidt ↕

88'

J. Njinmah

88'

D. Thioune

↕ A. Kramaric / G. Promel

89'

↕ F. Asllani / A. Hlozek

89'

Pre-match prediction

62.23%

1899 ←

18.52%

X

19.25%

Werder

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (1899 Hoffenheim) 62.23% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

1899

2.31

1.41

-0.9

Werder

1.26

1.08

-0.18

1899 Hoffenheim dominated by xG (1.41 vs 1.08). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	3	9
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	9
3	FC Augsburg	3	7
4	SV Elversberg	2	6
5	Bayern München	2	4
6	Bayer Leverkusen	3	4
7	FSV Mainz 05	3	4
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	4
9	FC Schalke 04	3	4
10	RB Leipzig	2	3
11	1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
12	Werder Bremen	2	3
13	VfB Stuttgart	3	3
14	1. FC Köln	2	3
15	SC Paderborn 07	3	1
16	Union Berlin	3	1
17	Hamburger SV	2	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0

Lineups

1899 Hoffenheim 4-2-3-1

1 O. Baumann G 7.20

13 Bernardo 71' D 6.70

21 A. Hajdari D 8.30

5 O. Kabak D 7.20

34 V. Coufal D 8.30

18 W. Burger M 7.30

7

M 7.90

29 B. Touré 1 ⚽ 57' M 7.30

11 F. Asllani 89' M 6.20

27 A. Kramarić 1 👟 89' M 6.60

19 T. Lemperle 71' F 6.20

Bench

22 Alexander Prass 38' D 6.50

6 G. Prömel 6' M

2 R. Hranáč 24' D 6.90

Werder Bremen 4-1-4-1

30 M. Backhaus G 7.60

2 O. Deman D 7.30

32 M. Friedl D 6.50

5 A. Pieper D 6.30

3 Yukinari Sugawara 5' D 3.00

14

M 7.20

20 Romano Schmid 71' M 6.20

18 Cameron Puertas M 6.90

6 Jens Stage 71' M 6.70

11 Justin Njinmah M 6.30

29 Salim Musah 12' F 6.50

Bench

31 Abdoul Karim Coulibaly D

23 I. Schmidt 68' D 6.50

19 J. Milošević F

17 M. Grüll 24' F 6.60

4 N. Stark D

Best on the pitch

A. Hajdari

D · 1899

8.30

· 87 pass

V. Coufal

D · 1899

8.30

· 75 pass

M · 1899

7.90

· 105 pass

M. Backhaus

G · Werder

7.60

· 48 pass

W. Burger

M · 1899

7.30

3 shots · 81 pass

B. Touré

M · 1899

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 25 pass

1899 Hoffenheim — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
O. Baumann	G	95	7.20	—	—	—	22	19%	—	—	—
Bernardo	D	71	6.70	—	—	—	60	45%	—	1	—
A. Hajdari	D	95	8.30	—	—	—	87	80%	2	—	—
O. Kabak	D	95	7.20	—	—	1	78	74%	—	—	—
V. Coufal	D	95	8.30	—	—	—	75	68%	2	—	—
W. Burger	M	95	7.30	—	—	3	81	72%	1	—	—
	M	95	7.90	—	—	—	105	98%	—	—	—
B. Touré	M	57	7.30	1	—	1	25	20%	1	—	—
F. Asllani	M	89	6.20	—	—	3	27	19%	—	—	—
A. Kramarić	M	89	6.60	—	1	1	45	41%	2	—	—
T. Lemperle	F	71	6.20	—	—	2	21	12%	—	—	—
Alexander Prass	D	38	6.50	—	—	1	16	14%	—	—	—
G. Prömel	M	6	—	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
R. Hranáč	D	24	6.90	—	—	—	16	12%	1	—	—

Werder Bremen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Backhaus	G	95	7.60	—	—	—	48	21%	—	—	—
O. Deman	D	95	7.30	—	—	2	24	12%	4	—	—
M. Friedl	D	95	6.50	—	—	—	12	9%	1	—	—
A. Pieper	D	95	6.30	—	—	—	23	16%	—	—	—
Yukinari Sugawara	D	5	3.00	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	1
	M	95	7.20	—	—	1	22	18%	5	—	—
Romano Schmid	M	71	6.20	—	—	—	29	17%	1	—	—
Cameron Puertas	M	95	6.90	—	—	1	28	26%	2	1	—
Jens Stage	M	71	6.70	—	—	—	26	18%	—	—	—
Justin Njinmah	M	95	6.30	—	—	3	17	13%	—	1	—
Salim Musah	F	12	6.50	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
I. Schmidt	D	68	6.50	—	—	—	15	9%	2	—	—
M. Grüll	F	24	6.60	—	—	—	3	1%	1	—	—