3K - Nairobi United
Premier League
November 25, 2026 13:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.11%
Win
3K
30.74%
Draw
28.15%
Win
Nairobi United
2.23
1.01
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(15.56%)
1X2 Result
1
41%
X
31%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
59%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
48%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives 3K a 41% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Nairobi United. Expected goals are 2.2 for 3K and 1.0 for Nairobi United (total 3.2), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.56% probability.
Season Stats
2W
2D
1L
5W
8D
2L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.5
1.6
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
73%
80%
O 2.5
47%
80%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
1W
1D
0L
· at home
4W
3D
3L
· away
2.0
gls/g
1.1
1.5
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
70%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
30%
50%
O 3.5
20%
100%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
40%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ 3K
Nairobi United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.8% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
3K
Attack
35
Defence
60
Form
51
Nairobi United
Attack
26
Defence
56
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
KCB
|
6 | 13 |
| 2 |
GOR Mahia
|
5 | 12 |
| 3 |
AFC Leopards
|
5 | 9 |
| 4 |
Shabana
|
6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Kenya Police
|
5 | 8 |
| 6 |
3K
|
5 | 8 |
| 7 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
5 | 7 |
| 8 |
Tusker
|
3 | 6 |
| 9 |
Police
|
1 | 1 |
| 9 |
Migori Youth
|
4 | 6 |
| 10 |
APS Bomet
|
6 | 6 |
| 11 |
Mara Sugar
|
5 | 6 |
| 12 |
Mathare United
|
5 | 5 |
| 13 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
5 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nairobi United
|
5 | 4 |
| 15 |
Bandari
|
5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Homeboyz
|
4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
5 | 4 |
| 18 |
Mombasa Elite
|
6 | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win 3K vs Nairobi United?
The model gives 3K a 41% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 28% for an Nairobi United win.
How many goals are expected in 3K vs Nairobi United?
Expected goals: 3K 2.2, Nairobi United 1.0 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in 3K vs Nairobi United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.56%.