Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 20, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction A. Italiano
D. Pina
45'
D. Coelho
(ast. F. Loyola)
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave A. Italiano a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Barracas Central 19%). The final result was A. Italiano 2–0 Barracas Central. In 1 previous meetings, A. Italiano have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Barracas Central.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
1
0.85
Actual xG
0.66
1
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
3
Corners
8
20
Tackles
21
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
14'
R. Barrios
29'
N. Capraro
⚽D. Pina
45'
46'
F. Bruera
/
R. Barrios
53'
G. Morales
60'
J. Candia
/
I. Tapia
60'
T. Porra
/
M. Duarte
G. Chiaverano
/ F. Loyola
72'
F. Mateos
/ R. Cabral
72'
M. Fuentes
/ V. Zenteno
72'
D. Coelho
73'
73'
F. Bruera
M. Sandoval
80'
80'
E. Taborda
/
D. Miloc
80'
K. Jappert
/
N. Capraro
P. Guajardo
/ D. Monreal
84'
M. Sandoval
/ B. Soto
86'
⚽D. Coelho
· ast. F. Loyola
88'
R. Cabral
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
56.51%
A. ←
23.55%
X
19.94%
Barracas
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (A. Italiano)
56.51%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
0.85
-0.93
0.72
0.66
-0.06
xG dominance was balanced (0.85 – 0.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Ahumada
G
T. Ahumada
G
4
D. Piña
1 ⚽
D
D. Piña
1 ⚽
D
13
E. Ferrario
D
E. Ferrario
D
16
O. Rojas
D
O. Rojas
D
27
M. Fuentes
71'
M
M. Fuentes
71'
M
8
M. Collao
M
M. Collao
M
6
M. Sandoval
85'
M
M. Sandoval
85'
M
7
P. Guajardo
83'
M
P. Guajardo
83'
M
28
F. Mateos
71'
F
F. Mateos
71'
F
9
D. Coelho
1 ⚽
F
D. Coelho
1 ⚽
F
21
G. Chiaverano
71'
F
G. Chiaverano
71'
F
Bench
32
Bryan Soto
10'
M
Bryan Soto
10'
M
14
D. Monreal
12'
D
D. Monreal
12'
D
17
F. Loyola
1 👟
24'
M
F. Loyola
1 👟
24'
M
33
Ignacio Fuenzalida
F
Ignacio Fuenzalida
F
30
Joel Ahumada
F
Joel Ahumada
F
20
Martín Jiménez
D
Martín Jiménez
D
22
Martín Valdés
M
Martín Valdés
M
25
P. Garrido
G
P. Garrido
G
10
Rodrigo Cabral
24'
F
Rodrigo Cabral
24'
F
35
R. Rebolledo
D
R. Rebolledo
D
19
Tomás Leyton
M
Tomás Leyton
M
2
V. Zenteno
24'
M
V. Zenteno
24'
M
30
M. Miño
G
M. Miño
G
37
G. Campi
D
G. Campi
D
32
Fernando Tobio
D
Fernando Tobio
D
2
N. Capraro
80'
D
N. Capraro
80'
D
6
R. Insúa
M
R. Insúa
M
10
I. Tapia
60'
M
I. Tapia
60'
M
5
D. Miloc
80'
M
D. Miloc
80'
M
13
R. Barrios
45'
M
R. Barrios
45'
M
18
Manuel Duarte
60'
F
Manuel Duarte
60'
F
9
J. Morales
52'
F
J. Morales
52'
F
11
N. Briasco
F
N. Briasco
F
Bench
27
Bruno Váldez
F
Bruno Váldez
F
24
Enzo Taborda
15'
F
Enzo Taborda
15'
F
7
F. Bruera
50'
F
F. Bruera
50'
F
16
Ivan Guaraz
F
Ivan Guaraz
F
20
J. Candia
35'
F
J. Candia
35'
F
1
J. Espínola
G
J. Espínola
G
14
K. Jappert
15'
M
K. Jappert
15'
M
28
R. Bogarín
M
R. Bogarín
M
36
Tomas Lavezzi
F
Tomas Lavezzi
F
8
T. Porra
35'
M
T. Porra
35'
M
22
Valentino Gandín
F
Valentino Gandín
F
15
Y. Rak
D
Y. Rak
D
Best on the pitch
D. Piña
D · A.
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
T. Ahumada
G · A.
7.50
· 35 pass
D. Coelho
F · A.
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
T. Porra
M · Barracas
7.20
· 17 pass
M. Sandoval
M · A.
7.20
· 34 pass
E. Ferrario
D · A.
7.20
· 49 pass
A. Italiano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ahumada | G | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| D. Piña | D | 95 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | — | — | — |
| E. Ferrario | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Rojas | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Fuentes | M | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Collao | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Sandoval | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 3 | 1 | — |
| P. Guajardo | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Mateos | F | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Coelho | F | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Chiaverano | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Soto | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Monreal | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| F. Loyola | M | 24 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Cabral | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| V. Zenteno | M | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Barracas Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Miño | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Campi | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Tobio | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Capraro | D | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Insúa | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Tapia | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Miloc | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Barrios | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Manuel Duarte | F | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Morales | F | 52 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | 1 |
| N. Briasco | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Enzo Taborda | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Bruera | F | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Candia | F | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| K. Jappert | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Porra | M | 35 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of A. Italiano vs Barracas Central?
The final score was A. Italiano 2–0 Barracas Central.
What did the model predict before A. Italiano vs Barracas Central?
The model assigned 56% probability to a A. Italiano win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Barracas Central win.