A. Italiano 2–2 Nublense — pre-match prediction — Primera División — August 11, 2026

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Primera División · Regular Season - 18 August 11, 2026 02:00 Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, La Florida

A. Italiano

#13 · 30 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Nublense

#10 · 35 pts

M. Fuentes (ast. C. Pinares) 33'

C. Pinares 90'+12 (pen.)

9' (ast. J. Campusano) M. Rivera

(pen.) 90'+2 M. Plaza

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave A. Italiano a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Nublense 32%). The final result was A. Italiano 2–2 Nublense. In 1 previous meetings, A. Italiano have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nublense.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

58%

Possession

42%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. J. Campusano · M. Rivera⚽

⚽M. Fuentes · ast. C. Pinares

33'

E. Ferrario

42'

45'+3

P. Calderon

↕ B. Soto / A. Uribe

65'

↕ M. Fuentes / M. Sandoval

65'

67'

C. Mansilla / L. Molina Canto ↕

67'

F. Campos Mosqueira / P. Calderon ↕

69'

F. Campos Mosqueira

↕ F. Mateos / F. Salomoni

73'

↕ F. Troyansky / D. Coelho

74'

75'

E. Calderon / G. Graciani ↕

↕ P. Guajardo / D. Pizarro

83'

M. Ortiz

85'

90'+2

(pen.) M. Plaza⚽

90'+4

A. Valdes / M. Plaza ↕

90'+4

D. Saavedra / M. Rivera ↕

90'+5

D. Saavedra

⚽C. Pinares (pen.)

90'+12

90'+13

J. Ribera

Pre-match prediction

41.92%

25.29%

X ←

32.79%

Nublense

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.29% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

1.47

—

Nublense

1.29

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Colo Colo	27	61
2	Universidad de Chile	27	51
3	U. Catolica	27	49
4	Deportes Limache	27	40
5	Everton de Vina	27	40
6	Coquimbo Unido	26	38
7	Palestino	27	38
8	Concepción	27	38
9	D. La Serena	27	37
10	Nublense	27	35
11	Huachipato	26	33
12	O'Higgins	27	31
13	A. Italiano	27	30
14	Cobresal	27	27
15	Universidad de Concepcion	27	26
16	Union La Calera	27	24

Lineups

A. Italiano 4-1-3-2

T. Ahumada G 6.30

V. Zenteno D 6.20

M. Ortiz D 6.20

E. Ferrario D 6.50

R. Rebolledo D 6.90

Bryan Soto 65' M 6.60

C. Pinares 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.20

F. Mateos 73' M 6.70

P. Guajardo 83' M 6.70

M. Fuentes 1 ⚽ 65' F 7.60

F. Troyansky 74' F 6.30

Bench

A. Uribe 37' M 6.50

D. Coelho 28' F 7.20

D. Monreal D

D. Pizarro 19' F 6.70

F. Loyola M

F. Salomoni 29' D 6.20

M. Collao M

M. Sandoval 37' M 6.90

P. Garrido G

Nublense 3-5-2

N. Pérez G 7.60

S. Valencia D 6.90

O. Bosso D 6.20

P. Calderón 67' D 6.30

J. Campusano 1 👟 M 7.20

M. Rivera 1 ⚽ M 8.50

M. Plaza 1 ⚽ M 7.20

L. Reyes M 7.00

D. Sanhueza M 7.00

L. Molina 67' F 6.20

G. Graciani 75' F 6.20

Bench

A. Valdés 8' M 6.50

Bastian Muñoz M

C. Mansilla 35' M 6.50

C. Salomón D

D. Saavedra 8' M 5.90

E. Calderón 27' F 6.30

F. Campos 35' D 6.20

H. Muñoz G

V. Guzman D

Best on the pitch

M. Rivera

M · Nublense

8.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 55 pass

C. Pinares

M · A.

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 62 pass

M. Fuentes

F · A.

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 20 pass

N. Pérez

G · Nublense

7.60

· 25 pass

M. Plaza

M · Nublense

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 37 pass

J. Campusano

M · Nublense

7.20

1 👟

· 33 pass

A. Italiano — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
T. Ahumada	G	102	6.30	—	—	—	36	31%	—	—	—
V. Zenteno	D	102	6.20	—	—	—	45	35%	1	—	—
M. Ortiz	D	102	6.20	—	—	1	68	57%	1	1	—
E. Ferrario	D	102	6.50	—	—	1	82	72%	—	1	—
R. Rebolledo	D	102	6.90	—	—	—	61	52%	1	—	—
Bryan Soto	M	65	6.60	—	—	—	37	35%	1	—	—
C. Pinares	M	102	8.20	1	1	2	62	51%	1	—	—
F. Mateos	M	73	6.70	—	—	1	43	34%	—	—	—
P. Guajardo	M	83	6.70	—	—	1	13	9%	1	—	—
M. Fuentes	F	65	7.60	1	—	2	20	15%	—	—	—
F. Troyansky	F	74	6.30	—	—	1	18	15%	1	—	—
A. Uribe	M	37	6.50	—	—	1	11	10%	1	—	—
D. Coelho	F	28	7.20	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
D. Pizarro	F	19	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
F. Salomoni	D	29	6.20	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
M. Sandoval	M	37	6.90	—	—	—	14	12%	1	—	—

Nublense — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Pérez	G	102	7.60	—	—	—	25	18%	—	—	—
S. Valencia	D	102	6.90	—	—	—	49	38%	—	—	—
O. Bosso	D	102	6.20	—	—	—	44	40%	—	—	—
P. Calderón	D	67	6.30	—	—	—	26	19%	3	1	—
J. Campusano	M	102	7.20	—	1	—	33	26%	2	—	—
M. Rivera	M	94	8.50	1	—	1	55	49%	3	—	—
M. Plaza	M	94	7.20	1	—	2	37	31%	1	—	—
L. Reyes	M	102	7.00	—	—	—	46	43%	1	—	—
D. Sanhueza	M	102	7.00	—	—	—	25	15%	2	—	—
L. Molina	F	67	6.20	—	—	—	14	10%	—	—	—
G. Graciani	F	75	6.20	—	—	—	20	12%	1	—	—
A. Valdés	M	8	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
C. Mansilla	M	35	6.50	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
D. Saavedra	M	8	5.90	—	—	—	1	—	—	1	—
E. Calderón	F	27	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	2	—	—
F. Campos	D	35	6.20	—	—	—	4	4%	—	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of A. Italiano vs Nublense?

The final score was A. Italiano 2–2 Nublense.

What did the model predict before A. Italiano vs Nublense?

The model assigned 41% probability to a A. Italiano win, 25% to a draw, and 32% to an Nublense win.