A. Italiano 3–4 U. Catolica — pre-match prediction — Primera División — April 11, 2026

← Primera División

Primera División · Regular Season - 9 April 11, 2026 23:30

A. Italiano

#11 · 28 pts

3 – 4

Final score

U. Catolica

#2 · 42 pts

✓Model correct — prediction U. Catolica

G. Chiaverano 4'

F. Troyansky (ast. E. Matus) 28'

M. Collao 53'

11' (ast. F. Zuqui) C. Montes

33' J. Giani

41' (ast. J. Giani) M. Palavecino

89' (ast. J. A. Martinez) J. Diaz

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 58% win probability (draw 17%, A. Italiano 23%). The final result was A. Italiano 3–4 U. Catolica.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

46%

Possession

54%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽G. Chiaverano

11'

ast. F. Zuqui · C. Montes⚽

Daniel Piña

24'

⚽F. Troyansky · ast. E. Matus

28'

33'

J. Giani⚽

40'

C. Cuevas / N. L’Huillier ↕

41'

ast. J. Giani · M. Palavecino⚽

Marco Collao

45'+1

↕ N. Aedo / M. Fuentes

46'

52'

Justo Giani

⚽M. Collao

53'

57'

J. A. Martinez / M. Palavecino ↕

57'

S. Arancibia / C. Montes ↕

↕ F. Troyansky / P. Guajardo

69'

Marco Collao

75'

Marco Collao

75'

78'

Fernando Zuqui

↕ G. Chiaverano / O. J. Rojas Munoz

78'

79'

J. Rossel / D. Gonzalez ↕

Tomás Ahumada

83'

Oliver Rojas

87'

89'

ast. J. A. Martinez · J. Diaz⚽

90'+1

Cristián Cuevas

Esteban Matus

90'+5

90'+7

Jhojan Valencia

Favian Loyola

90'+8

↕ R. Rebolledo / F. Loyola

90'

↕ F. Mateos / D. Coelho

90'

Pre-match prediction

23.63%

17.67%

58.7%

U. ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (U. Catolica) 58.7% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

0.57

—

4.50

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Colo Colo	23	54
2	U. Catolica	23	42
3	Universidad de Chile	23	42
4	Everton de Vina	23	36
5	Palestino	23	36
6	Deportes Limache	23	33
7	Nublense	23	32
8	Concepción	23	31
9	D. La Serena	23	30
10	Coquimbo Unido	22	29
11	A. Italiano	23	28
12	Huachipato	22	28
13	O'Higgins	23	27
14	Cobresal	23	24
15	Universidad de Concepcion	23	22
16	Union La Calera	23	17

Lineups

A. Italiano 3-4-1-2

T. Ahumada G 6.20

D. Piña D 5.70

M. Ortiz D 5.30

E. Ferrario D 6.00

E. Matus 1 👟 M 7.30

89' M 7.00

M. Collao 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.20

R. Rebolledo 89' M 6.70

N. Aedo 45' F 6.30

G. Chiaverano 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.30

F. Troyansky 1 ⚽ 69' F 7.70

Bench

D. Coelho 11' F 6.30

F. Loyola 8' M 6.90

M. Fuentes 45' F 6.30

O. Rojas 12' M 6.50

P. Guajardo 21' M 6.30

Rodrigo Cabral F

V. Zenteno M

U. Catolica 4-1-4-1

V. Bernedo G 5.50

N. L’Huillier 40' D 6.00

Juan Ignacio Díaz 1 ⚽ D 7.30

B. Ampuero D 6.30

79' D 6.50

J. Valencia M 6.90

J. Giani 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.30

F. Zuqui 1 👟 M 6.90

M. Palavecino 1 ⚽ 57' M 7.20

C. Montes 1 ⚽ 57' M 7.50

F. Zampedri F 6.30

Bench

A. Canales M

C. Cuevas 50' M 6.30

Eugenio Mena D

J. Martínez 1 👟 33' M 7.20

Juan Francisco Rossel 11' F 6.50

Best on the pitch

F. Troyansky

F · A.

7.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 17 pass

C. Montes

M · U.

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 11 pass

E. Matus

M · A.

7.30

1 👟

· 30 pass

G. Chiaverano

F · A.

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 11 pass

Juan Ignacio Díaz

D · U.

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 51 pass

J. Giani

M · U.

7.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 27 pass

A. Italiano — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
T. Ahumada	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	27	19%	—	1	—
D. Piña	D	90	5.70	—	—	2	36	31%	—	1	—
M. Ortiz	D	90	5.30	—	—	—	35	26%	1	—	—
E. Ferrario	D	90	6.00	—	—	1	39	30%	1	—	—
E. Matus	M	90	7.30	—	1	—	30	24%	5	1	—
	M	89	7.00	—	—	—	43	29%	5	—	—
M. Collao	M	75	7.20	1	—	1	28	26%	1	2	1
R. Rebolledo	M	89	6.70	—	—	—	28	20%	2	—	—
N. Aedo	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	9%	—	—	—
G. Chiaverano	F	78	7.30	1	—	2	11	7%	—	—	—
F. Troyansky	F	69	7.70	1	—	3	17	15%	—	—	—
D. Coelho	F	11	6.30	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
F. Loyola	M	8	6.90	—	—	—	2	2%	1	—	1
M. Fuentes	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	14	8%	1	—	—
O. Rojas	M	12	6.50	—	—	—	4	2%	—	1	—
P. Guajardo	M	21	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—

U. Catolica — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
V. Bernedo	G	90	5.50	—	—	—	33	24%	—	—	—
N. L’Huillier	D	40	6.00	—	—	—	13	9%	—	—	—
Juan Ignacio Díaz	D	90	7.30	1	—	1	51	39%	1	—	—
B. Ampuero	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	42	38%	1	—	—
	D	79	6.50	—	—	1	30	22%	2	—	—
J. Valencia	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	58	51%	3	1	—
J. Giani	M	90	7.30	1	1	4	27	21%	1	1	—
F. Zuqui	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	43	36%	1	1	—
M. Palavecino	M	57	7.20	1	—	1	22	17%	1	—	—
C. Montes	M	57	7.50	1	—	1	11	6%	2	—	—
F. Zampedri	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	9	7%	—	—	—
C. Cuevas	M	50	6.30	—	—	—	23	18%	—	1	—
J. Martínez	M	33	7.20	—	1	—	14	10%	2	—	—
Juan Francisco Rossel	F	11	6.50	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of A. Italiano vs U. Catolica?

The final score was A. Italiano 3–4 U. Catolica.

What did the model predict before A. Italiano vs U. Catolica?

The model assigned 23% probability to a A. Italiano win, 17% to a draw, and 58% to an U. Catolica win.