A. Italiano 3–4 U. Catolica — pre-match prediction — Primera División — April 11, 2026

← Primera División

Primera División · Regular Season - 9 April 11, 2026 23:30

A. Italiano

#12 · 20 pts

3 – 4

Final score

U. Catolica

#3 · 30 pts

✓Model correct — prediction U. Catolica

G. Chiaverano 4'

F. Troyansky (ast. E. Matus) 28'

M. Collao 53'

11' (ast. F. Zuqui) C. Montes

33' J. Giani

41' (ast. J. Giani) M. Palavecino

89' (ast. J. A. Martinez) J. Diaz

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 58% win probability (draw 17%, A. Italiano 23%). The final result was A. Italiano 3–4 U. Catolica.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

46%

Possession

54%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽G. Chiaverano

11'

ast. F. Zuqui · C. Montes⚽

Daniel Piña

24'

⚽F. Troyansky · ast. E. Matus

28'

33'

J. Giani⚽

40'

C. Cuevas / N. L’Huillier ↕

41'

ast. J. Giani · M. Palavecino⚽

Marco Collao

45'+1

↕ N. Aedo / M. Fuentes

46'

52'

Justo Giani

⚽M. Collao

53'

57'

J. A. Martinez / M. Palavecino ↕

57'

S. Arancibia / C. Montes ↕

↕ F. Troyansky / P. Guajardo

69'

Marco Collao

75'

Marco Collao

75'

78'

Fernando Zuqui

↕ G. Chiaverano / O. J. Rojas Munoz

78'

79'

J. Rossel / D. Gonzalez ↕

Tomás Ahumada

83'

Oliver Rojas

87'

89'

ast. J. A. Martinez · J. Diaz⚽

90'+1

Cristián Cuevas

Esteban Matus

90'+5

90'+7

Jhojan Valencia

Favian Loyola

90'+8

↕ R. Rebolledo / F. Loyola

90'

↕ F. Mateos / D. Coelho

90'

Pre-match prediction

23.63%

17.67%

58.7%

U. ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (U. Catolica) 58.7% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

0.57

—

4.50

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Colo Colo	18	45
2	Universidad de Chile	18	33
3	U. Catolica	18	30
4	Palestino	18	27
5	Everton de Vina	18	26
6	Nublense	17	26
7	Coquimbo Unido	17	25
8	Deportes Limache	17	24
9	Huachipato	18	24
10	Concepción	18	23
11	O'Higgins	18	23
12	A. Italiano	18	20
13	D. La Serena	18	20
14	Universidad de Concepcion	17	19
15	Cobresal	18	17
16	Union La Calera	18	13

Lineups

A. Italiano 3-4-1-2

Tomás Ahumada G 6.20

D. Piña D 5.70

Marcelo Ortíz D 5.30

Enzo Ferrario D 6.00

E. Matus 1 👟 M 7.30

89' M 7.00

M. Collao 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.20

Raimundo Rebolledo 89' M 6.70

N. Aedo 45' F 6.30

G. Chiaverano 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.30

Franco Troyansky 1 ⚽ 69' F 7.70

Bench

Diego Coelho 11' F 6.30

Favian Loyola 8' M 6.90

Michael Vadulli 45' F 6.30

Oliver Rojas 12' M 6.50

Paolo Guajardo 21' M 6.30

Rodrigo Cabral F

Vicente Zenteno M

U. Catolica 4-1-4-1

Vicente Bernedo G 5.50

Nicolás L'Huiller 40' D 6.00

Juan Ignacio Díaz 1 ⚽ D 7.30

B. Ampuero D 6.30

79' D 6.50

J. Valencia M 6.90

J. Giani 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.30

Fernando Zuqui 1 👟 M 6.90

M. Palavecino 1 ⚽ 57' M 7.20

C. Montes 1 ⚽ 57' M 7.50

F. Zampedri F 6.30

Bench

Alfred Canales M

C. Cuevas 50' M 6.30

Eugenio Mena D

Jimmy Martínez 1 👟 33' M 7.20

Juan Francisco Rossel 11' F 6.50

Best on the pitch

Franco Troyansky

F · A.

7.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 17 pass

C. Montes

M · U.

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 11 pass

E. Matus

M · A.

7.30

1 👟

· 30 pass

G. Chiaverano

F · A.

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 11 pass

Juan Ignacio Díaz

D · U.

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 51 pass

J. Giani

M · U.

7.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 27 pass

A. Italiano — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Tomás Ahumada	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	27	19%	—	1	—
D. Piña	D	90	5.70	—	—	2	36	31%	—	1	—
Marcelo Ortíz	D	90	5.30	—	—	—	35	26%	1	—	—
Enzo Ferrario	D	90	6.00	—	—	1	39	30%	1	—	—
E. Matus	M	90	7.30	—	1	—	30	24%	5	1	—
	M	89	7.00	—	—	—	43	29%	5	—	—
M. Collao	M	75	7.20	1	—	1	28	26%	1	2	1
Raimundo Rebolledo	M	89	6.70	—	—	—	28	20%	2	—	—
N. Aedo	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	9%	—	—	—
G. Chiaverano	F	78	7.30	1	—	2	11	7%	—	—	—
Franco Troyansky	F	69	7.70	1	—	3	17	15%	—	—	—
Diego Coelho	F	11	6.30	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
Favian Loyola	M	8	6.90	—	—	—	2	2%	1	—	1
Michael Vadulli	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	14	8%	1	—	—
Oliver Rojas	M	12	6.50	—	—	—	4	2%	—	1	—
Paolo Guajardo	M	21	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—

U. Catolica — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Vicente Bernedo	G	90	5.50	—	—	—	33	24%	—	—	—
Nicolás L'Huiller	D	40	6.00	—	—	—	13	9%	—	—	—
Juan Ignacio Díaz	D	90	7.30	1	—	1	51	39%	1	—	—
B. Ampuero	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	42	38%	1	—	—
	D	79	6.50	—	—	1	30	22%	2	—	—
J. Valencia	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	58	51%	3	1	—
J. Giani	M	90	7.30	1	1	4	27	21%	1	1	—
Fernando Zuqui	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	43	36%	1	1	—
M. Palavecino	M	57	7.20	1	—	1	22	17%	1	—	—
C. Montes	M	57	7.50	1	—	1	11	6%	2	—	—
F. Zampedri	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	9	7%	—	—	—
C. Cuevas	M	50	6.30	—	—	—	23	18%	—	1	—
Jimmy Martínez	M	33	7.20	—	1	—	14	10%	2	—	—
Juan Francisco Rossel	F	11	6.50	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of A. Italiano vs U. Catolica?

The final score was A. Italiano 3–4 U. Catolica.

What did the model predict before A. Italiano vs U. Catolica?

The model assigned 23% probability to a A. Italiano win, 17% to a draw, and 58% to an U. Catolica win.