Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 00:00
Alan Saldivia
5'
(og)
(pen.)
64'
Claudio Spinelli
71'
(ast. Nuno Moreira)
Matheus França
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 48% win probability (draw 24%, A. Italiano 27%). The final result was A. Italiano 1–2 Vasco DA Gama. In 1 previous meetings, A. Italiano have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vasco DA Gama.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
9
0.38
Actual xG
2.82
7
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
6
18
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Alan Saldivia
(og)
5'
42'
46'
Matheus França
/
JP
46'
Ramon Rique
/
Tchê Tchê
Tomás Ahumada
51'
Marco Collao
53'
57'
Matheus França
61'
Marcelo Ortíz
62'
Michael Vadulli
63'
64'
(pen.)
Claudio Spinelli⚽
71'
ast. Nuno Moreira ·
Matheus França⚽
Vicente Zenteno
/ Oliver Rojas
72'
76'
Cauan Barros
77'
Lucas Piton
Giovani Chiaverano
/ Rodrigo Cabral
83'
Michael Vadulli
/ Ignacio Fuenzalida
83'
Mario Sandoval
/ Favian Loyola
83'
89'
Riquelme Avellar
/
Nuno Moreira
89'
Walace
/
Lucas Piton
89'
Lukas Zuccarello
/
Marino Hinestroza
90'+6
Alan Saldivia
Marco Collao
/ Diego Coelho
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.25%
A.
24.66%
X
48.1%
Vasco ←
we assigned to the actual result (Vasco DA Gama)
48.1%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
0.38
-0.63
1.62
2.82
+1.19
Vasco DA Gama dominated by xG (2.82 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Ahumada
G
T. Ahumada
G
7
P. Guajardo
D
P. Guajardo
D
13
E. Ferrario
D
E. Ferrario
D
29
M. Ortiz
62'
D
M. Ortiz
62'
D
4
D. Piña
D
D. Piña
D
23
E. Matus
D
E. Matus
D
6
Mario Sandoval
83'
M
8
M. Collao
89'
M
M. Collao
89'
M
2
V. Zenteno
72'
M
V. Zenteno
72'
M
21
G. Chiaverano
83'
F
G. Chiaverano
83'
F
27
M. Fuentes
83'
F
M. Fuentes
83'
F
Bench
9
D. Coelho
1'
F
D. Coelho
1'
F
17
F. Loyola
14'
M
F. Loyola
14'
M
16
O. Rojas
18'
M
O. Rojas
18'
M
10
Rodrigo Cabral
14'
F
Rodrigo Cabral
14'
F
13
G
96
Paulo Henrique
D
Paulo Henrique
D
4
A. Saldivia
1 ⚽
D
A. Saldivia
1 ⚽
D
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
6
Lucas Piton
89'
D
Lucas Piton
89'
D
88
Cauan Barros
M
Cauan Barros
M
3
Tchê Tchê
45'
M
Tchê Tchê
45'
M
18
M. Hinestroza
89'
M
M. Hinestroza
89'
M
98
JP
45'
M
JP
45'
M
17
Nuno Moreira
1 👟
89'
M
Nuno Moreira
1 👟
89'
M
77
C. Spinelli
1 ⚽
F
C. Spinelli
1 ⚽
F
Bench
82
Avellar
8'
D
Avellar
8'
D
86
Lukas Zuccarello
8'
M
Lukas Zuccarello
8'
M
9
Matheus França
1 ⚽
45'
F
Matheus França
1 ⚽
45'
F
83
Ramon Rique
45'
M
Ramon Rique
45'
M
Best on the pitch
Matheus França
F · Vasco
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
C. Spinelli
F · Vasco
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
T. Ahumada
G · A.
7.50
· 35 pass
Paulo Henrique
D · Vasco
7.30
· 45 pass
O. Rojas
M · A.
7.20
· 10 pass
Lucas Freitas
D · Vasco
7.20
· 48 pass
A. Italiano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ahumada | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Guajardo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Ferrario | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Ortiz | D | 62 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | 1 |
| D. Piña | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Matus | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Mario Sandoval | M | 83 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Collao | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| V. Zenteno | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Chiaverano | F | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Fuentes | F | 83 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Coelho | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Loyola | M | 14 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| O. Rojas | M | 18 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Cabral | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Saldivia | D | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 42 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Freitas | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Hinestroza | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| JP | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Spinelli | F | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Avellar | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukas Zuccarello | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Matheus França | F | 45 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of A. Italiano vs Vasco DA Gama?
The final score was A. Italiano 1–2 Vasco DA Gama.
What did the model predict before A. Italiano vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model assigned 27% probability to a A. Italiano win, 24% to a draw, and 48% to an Vasco DA Gama win.