Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 13
July 11, 2026 16:00
E. Osenbroch
(ast. E. Hagen)
14'
M. Christensen
(ast. U. Syversen)
90'+6
18'
(ast. E. Hestad)
O. Spiten-Nysaeter
31'
E. Hestad
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aalesund a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Molde 33%). The final result was Aalesund 2–2 Molde. In 2 previous meetings, Aalesund have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Molde.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
8
0.28
Actual xG
1.93
7
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
7
16
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽E. Osenbroch
· ast. E. Hagen
14'
18'
ast. E. Hestad ·
O. Spiten-Nysaeter⚽
31'
E. Hestad⚽
45'
M. Daehli
46'
S. Kabini
/
M. Linnes
S. Haram
/ U. Syversen
58'
60'
S. Hansen
/
B. Risa
63'
O. Spiten-Nysaeter
68'
C. Zady
/
O. Spiten-Nysaeter
68'
J. Abdullai
/
T. Kone-Doherty
75'
E. Haugan
/
I. Amundsen
80'
J. Abdullai
H. Melland
/ E. Myrlid
80'
E. Hagen
/ H. Hammer
86'
K. Nesso
/ M. Andresen
86'
U. Charles
/ J. Orsahl
88'
A. Kjelsen
90'+1
⚽M. Christensen
· ast. U. Syversen
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
43.26%
Aalesund
23.72%
X ←
33.02%
Molde
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.22
0.28
-1.94
1.70
1.93
+0.23
Molde dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.28).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
T. Larsen
G
T. Larsen
G
7
K. Nessø
86'
D
K. Nessø
86'
D
3
Ó. Guðmundsson
D
Ó. Guðmundsson
D
5
A. Hammer Kjelsen
D
A. Hammer Kjelsen
D
4
S. Haram
58'
D
S. Haram
58'
D
14
U. Charles
86'
D
U. Charles
86'
D
15
E. Osenbroch
1 ⚽
M
E. Osenbroch
1 ⚽
M
18
E. Hagen
1 👟
86'
M
E. Hagen
1 👟
86'
M
21
M. Christensen
1 ⚽
M
M. Christensen
1 ⚽
M
39
K. Lonebu
F
K. Lonebu
F
8
H. Melland
80'
F
H. Melland
80'
F
Bench
22
E. Engqvist
D
E. Engqvist
D
17
E. Myrlid
18'
F
E. Myrlid
18'
F
6
Hakon Butli Hammer
12'
M
Hakon Butli Hammer
12'
M
16
J. Ørsahl
12'
D
J. Ørsahl
12'
D
2
M. Andresen
12'
D
M. Andresen
12'
D
45
P. Aukland
D
P. Aukland
D
41
Philip Storås
G
Philip Storås
G
25
U. Syversen
1 👟
40'
D
U. Syversen
1 👟
40'
D
22
A. Posiadała
G
A. Posiadała
G
25
M. Linnes
45'
D
M. Linnes
45'
D
33
B. Risa
60'
D
B. Risa
60'
D
6
I. Amundsen
75'
D
I. Amundsen
75'
D
18
Halldor Stenevik
D
Halldor Stenevik
D
17
M. Møller Dæhli
M
M. Møller Dæhli
M
10
E. Breivik
M
E. Breivik
M
23
S. Granaas
M
S. Granaas
M
21
O. Spiten-Nysæter
1 ⚽
68'
M
O. Spiten-Nysæter
1 ⚽
68'
M
5
E. Hestad
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
E. Hestad
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
24
Trent Toure Kone Doherty
68'
F
Trent Toure Kone Doherty
68'
F
Bench
31
B. Isufi
M
B. Isufi
M
11
C. Zady Sery
30'
F
C. Zady Sery
30'
F
30
D. Daga
M
D. Daga
M
19
E. Haugan
23'
D
E. Haugan
23'
D
9
J. Abdulai
30'
F
J. Abdulai
30'
F
12
P. Lervik
G
P. Lervik
G
4
Sivert Sira Hansen
38'
D
Sivert Sira Hansen
38'
D
26
S. Kabini
53'
D
S. Kabini
53'
D
15
Vebjørn Hoff
M
Vebjørn Hoff
M
Best on the pitch
M. Christensen
M · Aalesund
8.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 50 pass
O. Spiten-Nysæter
M · Molde
8.00
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 20 pass
T. Larsen
G · Aalesund
7.30
· 38 pass
E. Hestad
M · Molde
7.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 37 pass
E. Osenbroch
M · Aalesund
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
E. Hagen
M · Aalesund
7.00
1 👟
· 37 pass
Aalesund — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Larsen | G | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | — | — | — |
| K. Nessø | D | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Ó. Guðmundsson | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hammer Kjelsen | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Haram | D | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| U. Charles | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Osenbroch | M | 98 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| E. Hagen | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 37 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Christensen | M | 98 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 50 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Lonebu | F | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| H. Melland | F | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Myrlid | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Hakon Butli Hammer | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Ørsahl | D | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Andresen | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| U. Syversen | D | 40 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
Molde — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Posiadała | G | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | — | — | — |
| M. Linnes | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Risa | D | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| I. Amundsen | D | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Halldor Stenevik | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 6 | — | — |
| M. Møller Dæhli | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 75 | 67% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Breivik | M | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 36% | — | — | — |
| S. Granaas | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 51 | 45% | — | — | — |
| O. Spiten-Nysæter | M | 68 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 20 | 13% | 3 | 1 | — |
| E. Hestad | M | 98 | 7.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Trent Toure Kone Doherty | F | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Zady Sery | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Haugan | D | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Abdulai | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Sivert Sira Hansen | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| S. Kabini | D | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aalesund vs Molde?
The final score was Aalesund 2–2 Molde.
What did the model predict before Aalesund vs Molde?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Aalesund win, 23% to a draw, and 33% to an Molde win.