Aalesund 3–4 Sandefjord — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — October 31, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 25 October 31, 2026 18:00 Color Line Stadion, Ålesund

Aalesund

#15 · 24 pts

3 – 4

Final score

Sandefjord

#13 · 28 pts

Mathias Christensen 38' (pen.)

Uba Charles Nwokoma (ast. Endre Osenbroch) 45'+2

Elias Heggland Myrlid (ast. Mathias Christensen) 76'

16' (ast. Jakob Maslo Dunsby) Evangelos Patoulidis

30' Jakob Maslo Dunsby

50' Jakob Maslo Dunsby

54' (ast. Evangelos Patoulidis) Oscar Forsmo Kapskarmo

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aalesund a 51% win probability (draw 23%, Sandefjord 25%). The final result was Aalesund 3–4 Sandefjord. In 1 previous meetings, Aalesund have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sandefjord.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.75

Actual xG

3.01

Saves

36%

Possession

64%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

16'

ast. Jakob Maslo Dunsby · Evangelos Patoulidis⚽

30'

Jakob Maslo Dunsby⚽

32'

Evangelos Patoulidis

↕ Sander Erik Kartum / Endre Osenbroch

34'

↕ Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen / Emil Engqvist

34'

35'

⚽Mathias Christensen (pen.)

38'

Ervin Gigovic

Mbacke Diop

41'

Paul Ngongo

44'

⚽Uba Charles Nwokoma · ast. Endre Osenbroch

45'+2

50'

Jakob Maslo Dunsby⚽

54'

ast. Evangelos Patoulidis · Oscar Forsmo Kapskarmo⚽

↕ Luca Podlech / Tor Erik Valderhaug Larsen

56'

↕ Isak Gabriel Skotheim / Elias Heggland Myrlid

56'

↕ Paul Ngongo / Stefano Vecchia

57'

⚽Elias Heggland Myrlid · ast. Mathias Christensen

76'

Elias Heggland Myrlid

77'

78'

Martin Hellan / Fredrik Carson Pedersen ↕

78'

Hakon Krogelien / Gustav Højbjerg ↕

82'

Ervin Gigovic

86'

Oscar Forsmo Kapskarmo

87'

Jakob Vester Nielsen / Evangelos Patoulidis ↕

Endre Osenbroch

90'

Pre-match prediction

51.74%

Aalesund

23.02%

25.24%

Sandefjord ←

we assigned to the actual result (Sandefjord) 25.24% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Aalesund

1.70

1.75

+0.04

Sandefjord

1.10

3.01

+1.91

Sandefjord dominated by xG (3.01 vs 1.75). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	26	62
2	Bodo/Glimt	26	62
3	Rosenborg	26	46
4	Lillestrom	26	45
5	Molde	26	44
6	Tromso	26	40
7	Brann	26	33
8	Valerenga	26	32
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	26	31
10	KFUM Oslo	26	31
11	Ham-Kam	26	30
12	Fredrikstad	26	30
13	Sandefjord	26	28
14	Kristiansund BK	26	26
15	Aalesund	26	24
16	Start	26	19

Lineups

Aalesund 5-3-2

Luca Podlech 56' G 4.61

U. Charles 1 ⚽ D 7.31

A. Hammer Kjelsen 34' D 5.66

D. Mbacke D 4.95

M. Andresen D 5.00

K. Nessø D 5.74

S. Kartum 34' M 5.82

E. Hagen M 5.94

M. Christensen 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.70

P. Ngongo 57' F 6.08

I. Skotheim 56' F 6.23

Bench

E. Engqvist 56' D 5.88

E. Myrlid 1 ⚽ 34' F 6.94

E. Osenbroch 1 👟 56' M 6.06

J. Ørsahl D 0.00

P. Aukland D 0.00

S. Vecchia 33' M 5.84

T. Larsen 34' G 4.77

T. Leikanger M 0.00

Sandefjord 5-4-1

E. Hadaya G 5.81

V. Egeli D 6.15

G. HÃ¸jbjerg 78' D 6.51

T. Børkeeiet D 6.29

R. Holten D 6.87

F. Pedersen 78' D 6.11

J. Dunsby 2 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.69

E. Gigović 82' M 5.36

E. Pettersen M 6.33

E. Patoulidis 1 ⚽ 1 👟 87' M 8.59

O. Kapskarmo 1 ⚽ F 7.64

Bench

A. Foster F 0.00

A. Grønneberg G 0.00

D. Skaarud F 0.00

H. B. Skretteberg D 0.00

H. Krogelien 12' D 5.87

J. Vester 3' M 5.50

M. Hellan 12' D 5.83

S. Mathisen F 0.00

Best on the pitch

J. Dunsby

M · Sandefjord

8.69

2 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 39 pass

E. Patoulidis

M · Sandefjord

8.59

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 50 pass

M. Christensen

M · Aalesund

7.70

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 43 pass

O. Kapskarmo

F · Sandefjord

7.64

1 ⚽

1 shots · 18 pass

U. Charles

D · Aalesund

7.31

1 ⚽

1 shots · 21 pass

E. Myrlid

F · Aalesund

6.94

1 ⚽

1 shots · 7 pass

Aalesund — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Luca Podlech	G	56	4.61	—	—	0	23	9%	0	—	—
U. Charles	D	90	7.31	1	—	1	21	17%	1	—	—
A. Hammer Kjelsen	D	34	5.66	—	—	0	12	11%	0	—	—
D. Mbacke	D	90	4.95	—	—	0	34	22%	1	1	—
M. Andresen	D	90	5.00	—	—	0	28	18%	1	—	—
K. Nessø	D	90	5.74	—	—	0	18	12%	1	—	—
S. Kartum	M	34	5.82	—	—	0	7	3%	1	—	—
E. Hagen	M	90	5.94	—	—	2	25	21%	0	—	—
M. Christensen	M	90	7.70	1	1	3	43	37%	1	—	—
P. Ngongo	F	57	6.08	—	—	0	7	4%	0	1	—
I. Skotheim	F	56	6.23	—	—	4	9	6%	0	—	—
E. Engqvist	D	56	5.88	—	—	0	23	18%	3	—	—
E. Myrlid	F	34	6.94	1	—	1	7	6%	0	1	—
E. Osenbroch	M	56	6.06	—	1	1	13	10%	0	1	—
S. Vecchia	M	33	5.84	—	—	1	3	2%	0	—	—
T. Larsen	G	34	4.77	—	—	0	17	11%	0	—	—

Sandefjord — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Hadaya	G	90	5.81	—	—	0	31	20%	0	—	—
V. Egeli	D	90	6.15	—	—	1	66	55%	2	—	—
G. HÃ¸jbjerg	D	78	6.51	—	—	1	72	63%	0	—	—
T. Børkeeiet	D	90	6.29	—	—	1	51	45%	0	—	—
R. Holten	D	90	6.87	—	—	0	89	81%	1	—	—
F. Pedersen	D	78	6.11	—	—	1	61	56%	1	—	—
J. Dunsby	M	90	8.69	2	1	4	39	28%	3	—	—
E. Gigović	M	82	5.36	—	—	4	23	16%	0	—	1
E. Pettersen	M	90	6.33	—	—	3	27	22%	1	—	—
E. Patoulidis	M	87	8.59	1	1	3	50	42%	1	1	—
O. Kapskarmo	F	90	7.64	1	—	1	18	14%	0	1	—
H. Krogelien	D	12	5.87	—	—	0	5	5%	0	—	—
J. Vester	M	3	5.50	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—
M. Hellan	D	12	5.83	—	—	0	2	1%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Sandefjord?

The final score was Aalesund 3–4 Sandefjord.

What did the model predict before Aalesund vs Sandefjord?

The model assigned 51% probability to a Aalesund win, 23% to a draw, and 25% to an Sandefjord win.