Aalesund 5–5 Valerenga — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — August 16, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 18 August 16, 2026 14:30

Aalesund

#14 · 21 pts

5 – 5

Final score

Valerenga

#12 · 23 pts

M. Christensen 3' (pen.)

M. Reed (ast. E. Osenbroch) 16'

E. Hagen 29'

J. Orsahl 35'

M. Christensen (ast. U. Charles) 56'

14' M. Grundetjern

33' (ast. M. Grundetjern) L. Haren

63' (ast. M. Ofkir) P. Strand

70' (ast. M. Ofkir) M. Grundetjern

85' (ast. K. Finnsson) C. Lange

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aalesund a 43% win probability (draw 19%, Valerenga 36%). The final result was Aalesund 5–5 Valerenga. In 1 previous meetings, Aalesund have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Valerenga.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.11

Actual xG

3.19

Saves

32%

Possession

68%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽M. Christensen (pen.)

13'

(missed pen.) L. Haren⚽

14'

M. Grundetjern⚽

⚽M. Reed · ast. E. Osenbroch

16'

⚽E. Hagen

29'

33'

ast. M. Grundetjern · L. Haren⚽

⚽J. Orsahl

35'

46'

M. Westergaard / G. Rajkovic ↕

46'

H. Sjatil / S. Jarl ↕

↕ J. Orsahl / K. Nesso

46'

⚽M. Christensen · ast. U. Charles

56'

↕ M. Reed / K. Lonebu

60'

63'

ast. M. Ofkir · P. Strand⚽

70'

ast. M. Ofkir · M. Grundetjern⚽

73'

K. Tshiembe / I. Nasberg ↕

↕ U. Charles / M. Andresen

74'

↕ O. Gudmundsson / P. Aukland

74'

O. Saeter / L. Haren ↕

76'

K. Tshiembe

85'

ast. K. Finnsson · C. Lange⚽

85'

G. Zahid / P. Strand ↕

↕ E. Osenbroch / I. Djantou

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

43.75%

Aalesund

19.7%

X ←

36.55%

Valerenga

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.7% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Aalesund

2.32

2.11

-0.21

Valerenga

2.14

3.19

+1.05

Valerenga dominated by xG (3.19 vs 2.11). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	21	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	50
3	Tromso	21	38
4	Molde	21	36
5	Rosenborg	21	33
6	Lillestrom	21	32
7	Brann	21	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	25
11	Sandefjord	21	23
12	Valerenga	21	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	23
14	Aalesund	21	21
15	Kristiansund BK	21	19
16	Start	21	16

Lineups

Aalesund 5-3-2

Luca Podlech G 6.20

J. Ørsahl 45' D 7.70

Ó. Guðmundsson 74' D 5.90

E. Engqvist D 6.90

S. Haram D 5.50

U. Charles 1 👟 74' D 6.30

Hakon Butli Hammer M 7.20

E. Hagen 1 ⚽ M 7.30

M. Christensen 2 ⚽ M 8.20

E. Osenbroch 1 👟 89' F 7.50

H. M. Reed 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.60

Bench

E. Myrlid F

Ivan Djantou 1' F

K. Lonebu 30' F 6.30

K. Nessø 45' M 6.20

M. Andresen 16' D 6.30

Mathias Kristensen M

P. Aukland 16' D 6.20

T. Larsen G

T. Leikanger M

Valerenga 4-4-2

O. Hedvall G 5.30

K. Finnsson 1 👟 D 6.90

I. Näsberg 73' D 6.90

Aaron Kiil Olsen D 6.00

S. Jarl 45' D 6.60

L. Haren 1 ⚽ 74' M 6.30

C. Lange 1 ⚽ M 8.20

P. Strand 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.20

M. Ofkir 2 👟 M 7.20

G. Rajkovic 45' F 6.00

M. Grundetjern 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.20

Bench

Abdoulie Jatta D

G. Zahid 12' M 6.30

H. Sjåtil 45' D 6.70

K. Tshiembe 17' D 7.30

M. Westergaard 45' M 6.90

O. Holm M

O. Saeter 16' F 6.70

S. Lønning G

V. Hedenstad D

Best on the pitch

M. Grundetjern

F · Valerenga

9.20

2 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 16 pass

C. Lange

M · Valerenga

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 90 pass

M. Christensen

M · Aalesund

8.20

2 ⚽

3 shots · 38 pass

J. Ørsahl

D · Aalesund

7.70

1 shots · 18 pass

H. M. Reed

F · Aalesund

7.60

1 ⚽

3 shots · 10 pass

E. Osenbroch

F · Aalesund

7.50

1 👟

2 shots · 25 pass

Aalesund — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Luca Podlech	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	28	9%	—	—	—
J. Ørsahl	D	45	7.70	—	—	1	18	14%	6	—	—
Ó. Guðmundsson	D	74	5.90	—	—	1	27	18%	—	—	—
E. Engqvist	D	90	6.90	—	—	2	30	22%	3	—	—
S. Haram	D	90	5.50	—	—	2	21	13%	3	—	—
U. Charles	D	74	6.30	—	1	1	16	10%	2	—	—
Hakon Butli Hammer	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	28	24%	5	—	—
E. Hagen	M	90	7.30	1	—	2	23	15%	2	—	—
M. Christensen	M	90	8.20	2	—	3	38	29%	3	—	—
E. Osenbroch	F	89	7.50	—	1	2	25	19%	1	—	—
H. M. Reed	F	60	7.60	1	—	3	10	9%	1	—	—
Ivan Djantou	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
K. Lonebu	F	30	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
K. Nessø	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	7	4%	—	—	—
M. Andresen	D	16	6.30	—	—	—	6	3%	—	—	—
P. Aukland	D	16	6.20	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—

Valerenga — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
O. Hedvall	G	90	5.30	—	—	—	32	26%	—	—	—
K. Finnsson	D	90	6.90	—	1	—	65	51%	3	—	—
I. Näsberg	D	73	6.90	—	—	—	67	57%	2	—	—
Aaron Kiil Olsen	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	90	80%	2	—	—
S. Jarl	D	45	6.60	—	—	1	40	35%	2	—	—
L. Haren	M	74	6.30	1	—	2	31	23%	3	—	—
C. Lange	M	90	8.20	1	—	2	90	82%	4	—	—
P. Strand	M	85	7.20	1	—	3	42	32%	1	—	—
M. Ofkir	M	90	7.20	—	2	2	33	27%	3	—	—
G. Rajkovic	F	45	6.00	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
M. Grundetjern	F	90	9.20	2	1	5	16	10%	—	—	—
G. Zahid	M	12	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
H. Sjåtil	D	45	6.70	—	—	1	43	38%	3	—	—
K. Tshiembe	D	17	7.30	—	—	—	29	27%	2	1	—
M. Westergaard	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	30	28%	—	—	—
O. Saeter	F	16	6.70	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Valerenga?

The final score was Aalesund 5–5 Valerenga.

What did the model predict before Aalesund vs Valerenga?

The model assigned 43% probability to a Aalesund win, 19% to a draw, and 36% to an Valerenga win.