Europa League
· Play-offs
August 27, 2026 20:00
✓Model correct — prediction Benfica
R. Carstensen
60'
19'
(ast. A. Bah)
G. Prestianni
55'
Rafa Silva
61'
(ast. C. Lenglet)
G. Prestianni
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Aarhus 20%). The final result was Aarhus 1–3 Benfica. In 1 previous meetings, Aarhus have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Benfica.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
8
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
4
Match Events
19'
ast. A. Bah ·
G. Prestianni⚽
M. Camara
25'
R. Carstensen
45'
J. Serra
/ S. Tchamche
46'
55'
Rafa Silva⚽
⚽R. Carstensen
60'
61'
ast. C. Lenglet ·
G. Prestianni⚽
K. Arnstad
/ M. Knudsen
62'
M. Anderson
/ S. Jorgensen
62'
65'
G. Moreira
/
G. Sudakov
65'
A. Schjelderup
/
Rafa Silva
L. Callo
/ C. Rosler
69'
74'
D. Lukebakio
/
G. Prestianni
74'
J. Duran
/
V. Pavlidis
G. Links
/ F. Emmery
83'
84'
A. Circati
/
C. Lenglet
Pre-match prediction
20.7%
Aarhus
20.83%
X
58.47%
Benfica ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Benfica)
58.47%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
—
—
2.73
—
—
Lineups
21
M. Hedenstad Christiansen
G
M. Hedenstad Christiansen
G
33
Luka Callø
D
Luka Callø
D
44
Mouhammade Camara
D
Mouhammade Camara
D
26
J. Andersen
M
J. Andersen
M
11
Gift Links
M
23
M. Anderson
M
M. Anderson
M
10
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
F
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
F
16
J. Jønsson
M
J. Jønsson
M
29
R. Carstensen
1 ⚽
M
R. Carstensen
1 ⚽
M
13
J. Serra
F
J. Serra
F
31
T. Bech
F
T. Bech
F
Bench
45
Christian Storch
D
25
C. Rösler
D
C. Rösler
D
19
E. Kahl
D
E. Kahl
D
39
Frederik Emmery
F
Frederik Emmery
F
28
J. Bogere
F
J. Bogere
F
1
J. Hansen
G
J. Hansen
G
42
Marius van der Raad
G
4
M. Knudsen
M
M. Knudsen
M
7
M. Solbakken
M
M. Solbakken
M
8
S. Jørgensen
M
S. Jørgensen
M
27
S. Tchamche
F
S. Tchamche
F
14
T. Mølgaard
D
T. Mølgaard
D
24
Samuel Soares
G
Samuel Soares
G
26
S. Dahl
D
S. Dahl
D
44
Tomás Araújo
D
Tomás Araújo
D
2
C. Lenglet
1 👟
D
C. Lenglet
1 👟
D
6
A. Bah
1 👟
D
A. Bah
1 👟
D
5
E. Barrenechea
M
E. Barrenechea
M
18
L. Barreiro
M
L. Barreiro
M
10
H. Sudakov
M
H. Sudakov
M
27
Rafa
1 ⚽
M
Rafa
1 ⚽
M
25
G. Prestianni
2 ⚽
M
G. Prestianni
2 ⚽
M
14
V. Pavlidis
F
V. Pavlidis
F
Bench
72
A. Cabral
F
A. Cabral
F
39
A. Circati
D
A. Circati
D
21
A. Schjelderup
M
A. Schjelderup
M
1
A. Trubin
G
A. Trubin
G
11
D. Lukebakio
M
D. Lukebakio
M
33
Gabriel Indio
D
77
Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira
M
22
J. Durán
F
J. Durán
F
13
J. Kamiński
M
J. Kamiński
M
62
J. Neto
D
16
Manu
M
Manu
M
20
R. Rios
M
R. Rios
M
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hedenstad Christiansen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Callø | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mouhammade Camara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Andersen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gift Links | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Anderson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Jønsson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Carstensen | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Serra | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Bech | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Benfica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Soares | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dahl | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Lenglet | D | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bah | D | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Barrenechea | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Barreiro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Sudakov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Prestianni | M | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aarhus vs Benfica?
The final score was Aarhus 1–3 Benfica.
What did the model predict before Aarhus vs Benfica?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Aarhus win, 20% to a draw, and 58% to an Benfica win.