Superliga
· Regular Season - 1
July 25, 2026 18:00
K. Arnstad
84'
(pen.)
53'
(ast. L. Binks)
B. Slisz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Brondby 33%). The final result was Aarhus 1–1 Brondby. In 4 previous meetings, Aarhus have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Brondby.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
2
1.62
Actual xG
0.90
1
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
10
Corners
6
25
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
19'
M. Kohlert
26'
B. Slisz
46'
M. Divkovic
/
M. Kohlert
53'
ast. L. Binks ·
B. Slisz⚽
56'
F. Bundgaard
S. Jorgensen
/ J. Bogere
61'
M. Anderson
/ J. Jonsson
62'
65'
O. Fenger
/
P. Mortensen
65'
M. Jensen
/
M. Ejdum
67'
M. Divkovic
73'
J. Ambaek
/
F. Bundgaard
F. Emmery
/ R. Carstensen
76'
J. Andersen
/ J. Jensen-Abbew
76'
81'
D. Wass
/
M. Frokjaer-Jensen
83'
L. Binks
⚽K. Arnstad
(pen.)
84'
E. Kahl
85'
G. Links
/ T. Kristjansson
88'
Pre-match prediction
34.6%
Aarhus
32.16%
X ←
33.24%
Brondby
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.47
1.62
-0.85
1.77
0.90
-0.87
Aarhus dominated by xG (1.62 vs 0.90).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Hansen
G
J. Hansen
G
19
E. Kahl
D
E. Kahl
D
5
F. Tingager
D
F. Tingager
D
26
J. Andersen
76'
D
J. Andersen
76'
D
39
Frederik Emmery
76'
M
Frederik Emmery
76'
M
10
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
M
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
M
4
M. Knudsen
M
M. Knudsen
M
11
Gift Links
88'
M
23
M. Anderson
61'
F
M. Anderson
61'
F
31
T. Bech
F
T. Bech
F
8
S. Jørgensen
61'
F
S. Jørgensen
61'
F
Bench
28
J. Bogere
32'
F
40
J. Jensen-Abbew
17'
D
J. Jensen-Abbew
17'
D
16
J. Jønsson
32'
M
J. Jønsson
32'
M
21
M. Hedenstad Christiansen
G
M. Hedenstad Christiansen
G
44
Mouhammade Camara
D
Mouhammade Camara
D
22
Oskar Haugstrup
M
Oskar Haugstrup
M
29
R. Carstensen
17'
D
R. Carstensen
17'
D
27
S. Tchamche
F
S. Tchamche
F
20
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
5'
F
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
5'
F
50
W. Sonne Schmid
G
W. Sonne Schmid
G
27
M. Köhlert
45'
D
M. Köhlert
45'
D
4
L. Binks
1 👟
D
L. Binks
1 👟
D
30
J. Vanlerberghe
D
J. Vanlerberghe
D
2
O. Villadsen
D
O. Villadsen
D
18
M. Ejdum
65'
M
M. Ejdum
65'
M
99
B. Slisz
1 ⚽
M
B. Slisz
1 ⚽
M
11
F. Bundgaard
73'
M
F. Bundgaard
73'
M
29
M. Frøkjær-Jensen
81'
M
M. Frøkjær-Jensen
81'
M
21
M. Younis
M
M. Younis
M
9
P. Mortensen
65'
F
P. Mortensen
65'
F
Bench
10
D. Wass
12'
M
D. Wass
12'
M
32
F. Alves
D
F. Alves
D
13
Gavin Beavers
G
Gavin Beavers
G
38
J. Ambæk
20'
F
J. Ambæk
20'
F
42
Mathias Jensen
28'
M
Mathias Jensen
28'
M
24
M. Divković
48'
D
M. Divković
48'
D
51
Oskar Fenger
28'
F
Oskar Fenger
28'
F
37
R. Canut
D
R. Canut
D
19
S. Fukuda
F
S. Fukuda
F
Best on the pitch
Gift Links
M · Aarhus
7.90
2 shots
· 36 pass
E. Kahl
D · Aarhus
7.70
· 52 pass
F. Tingager
D · Aarhus
7.60
1 shots
· 60 pass
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
M · Aarhus
7.50
1 shots
· 25 pass
W. Sonne Schmid
G · Brondby
7.50
· 32 pass
S. Jørgensen
F · Aarhus
7.30
1 shots
· 20 pass
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hansen | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| E. Kahl | D | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Tingager | D | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 55% | — | — | — |
| J. Andersen | D | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Knudsen | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 7 | — | — |
| Gift Links | M | 88 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 24% | 6 | — | — |
| M. Anderson | F | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| T. Bech | F | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Jørgensen | F | 61 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bogere | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Jensen-Abbew | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Jønsson | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Carstensen | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tómas Óli Kristjánsson | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Brondby — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Sonne Schmid | G | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Köhlert | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Binks | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 56 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Vanlerberghe | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Villadsen | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Ejdum | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| B. Slisz | M | 93 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Bundgaard | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Frøkjær-Jensen | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Younis | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Mortensen | F | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Wass | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Ambæk | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mathias Jensen | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Divković | D | 48 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Oskar Fenger | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aarhus vs Brondby?
The final score was Aarhus 1–1 Brondby.
What did the model predict before Aarhus vs Brondby?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Aarhus win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Brondby win.