Conference League
· League Stage - 2
October 22, 2026 21:00
J. Bogere
(ast. S. Jorgensen)
49'
13'
(ast. D. Adjessa)
I. Gruda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 31%). The final result was Aarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
7
1.02
Actual xG
0.66
6
Saves
1
34%
Possession
66%
5
Corners
3
13
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
E. Kahl
3'
11'
A. Yago
C. McCowatt
/ T. Molgaard
12'
13'
ast. D. Adjessa ·
I. Gruda⚽
16'
A. Kryeziu
K. Arnstad
39'
J. Serra
/ J. Bogere
46'
F. Tingager
/ D. L. Gretarsson
46'
⚽J. Bogere
· ast. S. Jorgensen
49'
54'
E. Ndreca
/
A. Yago
54'
Fernando Medeiros
/
A. Kryeziu
63'
N. Ajetovikj
/
A. Albanese
63'
G. Smajli
/
G. Jaime
J. Andersen
/ F. Emmery
66'
72'
E. Bitri
S. Jorgensen
/ T. Bech
83'
87'
I. Diabate
/
K. Loukili
Pre-match prediction
36.9%
Aarhus
31.99%
X ←
31.11%
Egnatia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.79
1.02
+0.23
0.92
0.66
-0.26
Aarhus dominated by xG (1.02 vs 0.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
J. Hansen
86'
G
J. Hansen
86'
G
19
E. Kahl
3'
D
E. Kahl
3'
D
5
F. Tingager
45'
D
F. Tingager
45'
D
25
C. Rösler
86'
D
C. Rösler
86'
D
26
J. Andersen
66'
M
J. Andersen
66'
M
7
M. Solbakken
86'
M
M. Solbakken
86'
M
10
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
86'
M
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
86'
M
29
R. Carstensen
86'
M
R. Carstensen
86'
M
18
C. McCowatt
12'
F
C. McCowatt
12'
F
8
S. Jørgensen
1 👟
83'
F
S. Jørgensen
1 👟
83'
F
13
Janni Serra
45'
F
Janni Serra
45'
F
Bench
3
D. Grétarsson
41'
D
D. Grétarsson
41'
D
39
Frederik Emmery
20'
F
Frederik Emmery
20'
F
28
J. Bogere
1 ⚽
41'
F
J. Bogere
1 ⚽
41'
F
16
J. Jønsson
M
J. Jønsson
M
33
Luka Callø
D
Luka Callø
D
42
Marius van der Raad
G
Marius van der Raad
G
21
M. Hedenstad Christiansen
G
M. Hedenstad Christiansen
G
4
M. Knudsen
M
M. Knudsen
M
27
S. Tchamche
F
S. Tchamche
F
31
T. Bech
3'
F
T. Bech
3'
F
14
T. Mølgaard
74'
D
T. Mølgaard
74'
D
43
Zander Grantzau
D
Zander Grantzau
D
98
Mario Dajsinani
86'
G
Mario Dajsinani
86'
G
29
Andrey Yago
54'
D
Andrey Yago
54'
D
28
Eljon Sota
86'
D
Eljon Sota
86'
D
33
Eneo Bitri
86'
D
Eneo Bitri
86'
D
22
Guillem Jaime
63'
D
Guillem Jaime
63'
D
20
Karim Loukili
86'
M
Karim Loukili
86'
M
6
Albano Aleksi
86'
M
Albano Aleksi
86'
M
17
Altin Kryeziu
54'
M
Altin Kryeziu
54'
M
10
Alessandro Albanese
63'
M
Alessandro Albanese
63'
M
2
Daniel Adjessa
1 👟
86'
F
Daniel Adjessa
1 👟
86'
F
77
Ildi Gruda
1 ⚽
86'
F
Ildi Gruda
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
13
Alessandro Kacbufi
D
Alessandro Kacbufi
D
12
Bruno Puja
G
Bruno Puja
G
16
Edison Ndreca
32'
D
Edison Ndreca
32'
D
7
Fernando Medeiros
32'
M
Fernando Medeiros
32'
M
55
Geralb Smajli
23'
D
Geralb Smajli
23'
D
8
Ibrahim Diabaté
M
Ibrahim Diabaté
M
99
Jurguens Montenegro
F
Jurguens Montenegro
F
1
Levan Tandilashvili
G
Levan Tandilashvili
G
24
Numan Ajetovikj
23'
D
Numan Ajetovikj
23'
D
4
Zamiq Aliyev
D
Zamiq Aliyev
D
Best on the pitch
Ildi Gruda
F · Egnatia
8.00
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 5 pass
J. Bogere
F · Aarhus
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Guillem Jaime
D · Egnatia
7.50
· 44 pass
Eljon Sota
D · Egnatia
7.50
· 67 pass
Eneo Bitri
D · Egnatia
7.30
· 63 pass
Albano Aleksi
M · Egnatia
7.20
1 shots
· 74 pass
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hansen | G | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Kahl | D | 3 | 3.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
| F. Tingager | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rösler | D | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| J. Andersen | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Solbakken | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Carstensen | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| C. McCowatt | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Jørgensen | F | 83 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Janni Serra | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Grétarsson | D | 41 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Bogere | F | 41 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Bech | F | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Mølgaard | D | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Dajsinani | G | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Andrey Yago | D | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Eljon Sota | D | 86 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| Eneo Bitri | D | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 61% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Guillem Jaime | D | 63 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Karim Loukili | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| Albano Aleksi | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 67% | 3 | — | — |
| Altin Kryeziu | M | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alessandro Albanese | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Adjessa | F | 86 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ildi Gruda | F | 86 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 5 | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Edison Ndreca | D | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Medeiros | M | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Geralb Smajli | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Numan Ajetovikj | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The final score was Aarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
What did the model predict before Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Aarhus win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Egnatia Rrogozhinë win.