Superliga
· Championship Group - 29
April 26, 2026 20:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 43% win probability (draw 25%, FC Midtjylland 31%). The final result was Aarhus 0–0 FC Midtjylland. In 6 previous meetings, Aarhus have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 3 wins for FC Midtjylland.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
2
0.88
Actual xG
1.54
2
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
6
Corners
3
18
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
J. Serra
/ P. Mortensen
46'
58'
Franculino
/
Cho Gue-Sung
58'
D. Castillo
/
D. Osorio
59'
Franculino
69'
M. Gogorza
/
A. Simsir
J. Andersen
/ F. Emmery
70'
90'+1
M. Gogorza
E. Kahl
/ F. Tingager
90'+2
90'+5
M. Bech Sorensen
Pre-match prediction
43.4%
Aarhus
25.47%
X ←
31.13%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.80
0.88
-0.92
1.47
1.54
+0.07
FC Midtjylland dominated by xG (1.54 vs 0.88).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Hansen
G
J. Hansen
G
19
E. Kahl
89'
D
E. Kahl
89'
D
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
D
Henrik Dalsgaard
D
2
F. Beijmo
D
F. Beijmo
D
26
J. Andersen
70'
M
J. Andersen
70'
M
17
Kevin Yakob
M
Kevin Yakob
M
4
M. Knudsen
M
M. Knudsen
M
11
Gift Links
M
10
F
31
T. Bech
F
T. Bech
F
13
J. Serra
45'
F
J. Serra
45'
F
Bench
39
Frederik Emmery
20'
F
Frederik Emmery
20'
F
5
Frederik Tingager
1'
D
Frederik Tingager
1'
D
57
J. Bogere
F
J. Bogere
F
6
Nicolai Poulsen
M
Nicolai Poulsen
M
9
P. Mortensen
45'
F
P. Mortensen
45'
F
8
S. Jørgensen
M
S. Jørgensen
M
16
G
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
D
Mads Bech Sørensen
D
3
Lee Han-Beom
D
Lee Han-Beom
D
4
Ousmane Diao
D
Ousmane Diao
D
55
V. Bak Jensen
M
V. Bak Jensen
M
8
P. Billing
M
P. Billing
M
19
P. Bravo
M
P. Bravo
M
43
K. Mbabu
M
K. Mbabu
M
58
Aral Şimşir
69'
F
Aral Şimşir
69'
F
11
D. Osorio
58'
F
D. Osorio
58'
F
10
Cho Gue-Sung
58'
F
Cho Gue-Sung
58'
F
Bench
21
D. Castillo
32'
M
D. Castillo
32'
M
14
E. Chilufya
F
E. Chilufya
F
7
Franculino Djú
32'
F
Franculino Djú
32'
F
38
Julius Emefile
F
Julius Emefile
F
6
M. Erlić
D
M. Erlić
D
41
Mikel Gogorza
21'
F
Mikel Gogorza
21'
F
29
Paulinho
D
Paulinho
D
20
V. Byskov
M
V. Byskov
M
Best on the pitch
Henrik Dalsgaard
D · Aarhus
7.50
2 shots
· 45 pass
F. Beijmo
D · Aarhus
7.50
· 47 pass
K. Mbabu
M · FC
7.30
· 28 pass
Lee Han-Beom
D · FC
7.30
· 27 pass
Gift Links
M · Aarhus
7.30
2 shots
· 35 pass
E. Kahl
D · Aarhus
7.30
· 42 pass
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hansen | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Kahl | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Henrik Dalsgaard | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 32% | — | — | — |
| F. Beijmo | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Andersen | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Yakob | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | — | — | — |
| M. Knudsen | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Gift Links | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — | |
| T. Bech | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Serra | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Frederik Tingager | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Mortensen | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
FC Midtjylland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Mads Bech Sørensen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lee Han-Beom | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Ousmane Diao | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Bak Jensen | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Billing | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Bravo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Mbabu | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Aral Şimşir | F | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Osorio | F | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Cho Gue-Sung | F | 58 | 6.00 | — | — | 4 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| D. Castillo | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Franculino Djú | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mikel Gogorza | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland?
The final score was Aarhus 0–0 FC Midtjylland.
What did the model predict before Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Aarhus win, 25% to a draw, and 31% to an FC Midtjylland win.