Superliga
· Championship Group - 26
April 10, 2026 19:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Aarhus, result Draw
F. Tingager
(ast. F. Beijmo)
82'
9'
(ast. L. Sadio)
J. Lahteenmaki
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 57% win probability (draw 21%, FC Nordsjaelland 20%). The final result was Aarhus 1–1 FC Nordsjaelland. In 4 previous meetings, Aarhus have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for FC Nordsjaelland.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
2
2.35
Actual xG
0.31
1
Saves
7
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
1
21
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
9'
ast. L. Sadio ·
J. Lahteenmaki⚽
14'
L. Sadio
36'
C. Yirenkyi
39'
46'
P. Amoako
/
I. Adel
48'
A. Lind
J. Serra
/ P. Mortensen
62'
62'
L. Nene
/
A. Lind
62'
N. Markmann
/
P. Ankersen
66'
J. Janssen
K. Yakob
/ S. Jorgensen
73'
77'
V. Gustafsen
/
M. Heyde
77'
M. Brink
/
J. Lahteenmaki
F. Emmery
/ J. Andersen
82'
T. Bech
/ J. Bogere
82'
H. Dalsgaard
/ F. Tingager
82'
⚽F. Tingager
· ast. F. Beijmo
82'
89'
P. Amoako
90'+1
A. Hansen
Pre-match prediction
57.82%
Aarhus
21.25%
X ←
20.93%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.32
2.35
+0.03
1.49
0.31
-1.18
Aarhus dominated by xG (2.35 vs 0.31).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Hansen
G
J. Hansen
G
19
E. Kahl
D
E. Kahl
D
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
82'
D
Henrik Dalsgaard
82'
D
2
F. Beijmo
1 👟
D
F. Beijmo
1 👟
D
39
Frederik Emmery
82'
M
Frederik Emmery
82'
M
17
Kevin Yakob
73'
M
Kevin Yakob
73'
M
4
M. Knudsen
M
M. Knudsen
M
11
Gift Links
M
10
F
31
T. Bech
82'
F
T. Bech
82'
F
13
J. Serra
62'
F
J. Serra
62'
F
Bench
5
F. Tingager
1 ⚽
8'
D
F. Tingager
1 ⚽
8'
D
57
James Bogere
8'
F
26
J. Andersen
8'
D
J. Andersen
8'
D
9
P. Mortensen
28'
F
P. Mortensen
28'
F
8
S. Jørgensen
17'
M
S. Jørgensen
17'
M
13
A. Hansen
G
A. Hansen
G
36
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
D
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
D
3
D
2
P. Ankersen
62'
D
P. Ankersen
62'
D
23
R. Norheim
M
R. Norheim
M
47
M. Heyde
77'
M
M. Heyde
77'
M
18
Justin Janssen
M
Justin Janssen
M
25
J. Lähteenmäki
1 ⚽
77'
M
J. Lähteenmäki
1 ⚽
77'
M
14
Ibrahim Adel
45'
F
Ibrahim Adel
45'
F
37
Lamine Sadio
1 👟
F
Lamine Sadio
1 👟
F
11
A. Lind
62'
F
A. Lind
62'
F
Bench
17
L. Nene
28'
F
L. Nene
28'
F
6
M. Brink
13'
M
M. Brink
13'
M
45
Noah Markmann
28'
D
Noah Markmann
28'
D
10
P. Amoako
45'
F
P. Amoako
45'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Lähteenmäki
M · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
A. Hansen
G · FC
8.20
· 45 pass
Gift Links
M · Aarhus
8.00
2 shots
· 54 pass
F · Aarhus
7.70
1 shots
· 48 pass
F. Tingager
D · Aarhus
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
F. Beijmo
D · Aarhus
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 69 pass
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hansen | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| E. Kahl | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 98 | 91% | 3 | — | — |
| Henrik Dalsgaard | D | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 86 | 74% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Beijmo | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 69 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Yakob | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Knudsen | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Gift Links | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | — | |
| T. Bech | F | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Serra | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| F. Tingager | D | 8 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| James Bogere | F | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Andersen | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| P. Mortensen | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| S. Jørgensen | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
FC Nordsjaelland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hansen | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 3 | — | — | |
| P. Ankersen | D | 62 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Norheim | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Heyde | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Justin Janssen | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Lähteenmäki | M | 77 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Adel | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Lamine Sadio | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Lind | F | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Nene | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Brink | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Noah Markmann | D | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| P. Amoako | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland?
The final score was Aarhus 1–1 FC Nordsjaelland.
What did the model predict before Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Aarhus win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an FC Nordsjaelland win.