Superliga
· Championship Group - 26
April 10, 2026 19:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Aarhus, result Draw
F. Tingager
(ast. F. Beijmo)
82'
9'
(ast. L. Sadio)
J. Lahteenmaki
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 57% win probability (draw 21%, FC Nordsjaelland 20%). The final result was Aarhus 1–1 FC Nordsjaelland. In 3 previous meetings, Aarhus have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Nordsjaelland.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
2
2.35
Actual xG
0.31
1
Saves
7
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
1
21
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
9'
ast. L. Sadio ·
J. Lahteenmaki⚽
14'
L. Sadio
36'
C. Yirenkyi
39'
46'
P. Amoako
/
I. Adel
48'
A. Lind
J. Serra
/ P. Mortensen
62'
62'
L. Nene
/
A. Lind
62'
N. Markmann
/
P. Ankersen
66'
J. Janssen
K. Yakob
/ S. Jorgensen
73'
77'
V. Gustafsen
/
M. Heyde
77'
M. Brink
/
J. Lahteenmaki
F. Emmery
/ J. Andersen
82'
T. Bech
/ J. Bogere
82'
H. Dalsgaard
/ F. Tingager
82'
⚽F. Tingager
· ast. F. Beijmo
82'
89'
P. Amoako
90'+1
A. Hansen
Pre-match prediction
57.82%
Aarhus
21.25%
X ←
20.93%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.32
2.35
+0.03
1.49
0.31
-1.18
Aarhus dominated by xG (2.35 vs 0.31).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Jesper Hansen
G
Jesper Hansen
G
19
Eric Kahl
D
Eric Kahl
D
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
82'
D
Henrik Dalsgaard
82'
D
2
Felix Beijmo
1 👟
D
Felix Beijmo
1 👟
D
39
Frederik Emmery
82'
M
Frederik Emmery
82'
M
17
Kevin Yakob
73'
M
Kevin Yakob
73'
M
4
Magnus Knudsen
M
Magnus Knudsen
M
11
Gift Links
M
Gift Links
M
10
F
31
Tobias Bech
82'
F
Tobias Bech
82'
F
13
Janni Serra
62'
F
Janni Serra
62'
F
Bench
5
Frederik Tingager
1 ⚽
8'
D
Frederik Tingager
1 ⚽
8'
D
26
Jacob Andersen
8'
D
Jacob Andersen
8'
D
57
James Bogere
8'
F
James Bogere
8'
F
9
Patrick Mortensen
28'
F
Patrick Mortensen
28'
F
8
Sebastian Jørgensen
17'
M
Sebastian Jørgensen
17'
M
13
Andreas Hansen
G
Andreas Hansen
G
36
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
D
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
D
3
D
2
Peter Ankersen
62'
D
Peter Ankersen
62'
D
23
Runar Robinsonn Norheim
M
Runar Robinsonn Norheim
M
47
Malte Heyde
77'
M
Malte Heyde
77'
M
18
Justin Janssen
M
Justin Janssen
M
25
Juho Lähteenmäki
1 ⚽
77'
M
Juho Lähteenmäki
1 ⚽
77'
M
14
Ibrahim Adel
45'
F
Ibrahim Adel
45'
F
37
Lamine Sadio
1 👟
F
Lamine Sadio
1 👟
F
11
A. Lind
62'
F
Bench
17
Levy Nene
28'
F
Levy Nene
28'
F
6
Mark Brink
13'
M
Mark Brink
13'
M
45
Noah Markmann
28'
D
Noah Markmann
28'
D
10
Prince Amoako Junior
45'
F
Prince Amoako Junior
45'
F
Best on the pitch
Juho Lähteenmäki
M · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Andreas Hansen
G · FC
8.20
· 45 pass
Gift Links
M · Aarhus
8.00
2 shots
· 54 pass
Frederik Tingager
D · Aarhus
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
F · Aarhus
7.70
1 shots
· 48 pass
Felix Beijmo
D · Aarhus
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 69 pass
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Hansen | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Eric Kahl | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 98 | 91% | 3 | — | — |
| Henrik Dalsgaard | D | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 86 | 74% | 1 | — | — |
| Felix Beijmo | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 69 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Yakob | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Magnus Knudsen | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Gift Links | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | — | |
| Tobias Bech | F | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Janni Serra | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Frederik Tingager | D | 8 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Andersen | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| James Bogere | F | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Mortensen | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Jørgensen | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
FC Nordsjaelland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Hansen | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 3 | — | — | |
| Peter Ankersen | D | 62 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Runar Robinsonn Norheim | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Malte Heyde | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Justin Janssen | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Juho Lähteenmäki | M | 77 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Adel | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Lamine Sadio | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Lind | F | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Levy Nene | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mark Brink | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Noah Markmann | D | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Prince Amoako Junior | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland?
The final score was Aarhus 1–1 FC Nordsjaelland.
What did the model predict before Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Aarhus win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an FC Nordsjaelland win.