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Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round July 21, 2026 19:00
Aarhus
1 – 4
Final score
Lech Poznan
K. Arnstad (ast. F. Emmery) 55'
29' (ast. J. Pereira) M. Ishak
42' (ast. A. Kozubal) P. Walemark
61' (ast. W. Monka) T. Yegbe
65' (ast. L. Palma) P. Walemark
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 37% win probability (draw 26%, Aarhus 36%). The final result was Aarhus 1–4 Lech Poznan.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
7
3
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
2
11
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
29'
ast. J. Pereira · M. Ishak⚽
J. Hansen
37'
↕ S. Jorgensen / M. Hedenstad
40'
42'
ast. A. Kozubal · P. Walemark⚽
G. Links
45'+6
50'
R. Murawski
54'
F. Jagiello / R. Murawski ↕
⚽K. Arnstad · ast. F. Emmery
55'
61'
ast. W. Monka · T. Yegbe⚽
65'
ast. L. Palma · P. Walemark⚽
66'
Y. Agnero / M. Ishak ↕
66'
D. Hakans / L. Palma ↕
66'
L. Bengtsson / P. Walemark ↕
↕ M. Anderson / K. Yakob
73'
↕ T. Bech / J. Bogere
73'
↕ J. Jensen-Abbew / J. Andersen
74'
79'
R. Gumny / J. Pereira ↕
↕ G. Links / T. Kristjansson
83'
Pre-match prediction
36.29%
Aarhus
26.12%
X
37.59%
Lech ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lech Poznan) 37.59% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Aarhus
2.46
—
—
Lech
3.00
—
—
Lineups
Aarhus Aarhus 3-4-3
1 Jesper Hansen Jesper Hansen 37' G 4.60
19 Eric Kahl Eric Kahl D 5.90
5 Frederik Tingager Frederik Tingager D 6.30
40 Jonas Jensen-Abbew Jonas Jensen-Abbew 74' D 5.90
39 Frederik Emmery Frederik Emmery 1 👟 M 8.50
10 Kristian Arnstad Kristian Arnstad M 7.20
4 Magnus Knudsen Magnus Knudsen M 6.70
11 Gift Links Gift Links 83' M 6.50
23 Mikael Anderson Mikael Anderson 73' F 6.70
31 Tobias Bech Tobias Bech 73' F 6.20
8 Sebastian Jørgensen Sebastian Jørgensen 40' F 6.90
Bench
26 Jacob Andersen Jacob Andersen 17' D 6.70
28 James Bogere James Bogere 18' F 6.30
13 Janni Serra Janni Serra F
16 Jens Jønsson Jens Jønsson M
17 Kevin Yakob Kevin Yakob 18' M 6.60
21 Mads Hedenstad Mads Hedenstad 51' G 6.30
44 Mouhammade Camara Mouhammade Camara D
22 Oskar Haugstrup Oskar Haugstrup M
27 Stefen Tchamche Stefen Tchamche F
20 Tómas Óli Kristjánsson Tómas Óli Kristjánsson 8' F 6.70
43 Zander Grantzau Zander Grantzau D
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1
1 Mateusz Lis Mateusz Lis G 6.60
15 Michal Gurgul Michal Gurgul D 7.00
59 Terry Yegbe Terry Yegbe 1 ⚽ D 8.20
27 Wojciech Mońka Wojciech Mońka 1 👟 D 7.30
2 Joel Pereira Joel Pereira 1 👟 79' D 7.20
22 Radosław Murawski Radosław Murawski 54' M 6.30
43 Antoni Kozubal Antoni Kozubal 1 👟 M 7.30
77 L. Palma L. Palma 1 👟 66' M 6.90
21 Pablo Rodríguez Pablo Rodríguez M 6.60
10 Patrik Wålemark Patrik Wålemark 2 ⚽ 66' M 8.90
9 M. Ishak M. Ishak 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.50
Bench
17 A. Sayyadmanesh A. Sayyadmanesh F
41 Bartosz Mrozek Bartosz Mrozek G
11 Daniel Håkans Daniel Håkans 25' M 6.30
24 Filip Jagiełło Filip Jagiełło 37' M 6.30
23 Gisli Thordarson Gisli Thordarson M
90 Hubert Janyszka Hubert Janyszka D
4 João Moutinho João Moutinho D
14 Leo Bengtsson Leo Bengtsson 25' M 6.70
35 Mateusz Pruchniewski Mateusz Pruchniewski G
72 Mateusz Skrzypczak Mateusz Skrzypczak D
20 Robert Gumny Robert Gumny 12' D 6.30
7 Yannick Agnero Yannick Agnero 24' F 6.00
Best on the pitch
Patrik Wålemark
Patrik Wålemark
M · Lech
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
Frederik Emmery
Frederik Emmery
M · Aarhus
8.50
1 👟
2 shots · 21 pass
Terry Yegbe
Terry Yegbe
D · Lech
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 64 pass
M. Ishak
M. Ishak
F · Lech
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
Antoni Kozubal
Antoni Kozubal
M · Lech
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 31 pass
Wojciech Mońka
Wojciech Mońka
D · Lech
7.30
1 👟
· 67 pass
Aarhus Aarhus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jesper Hansen G 37 4.60 — — — 11 7% — — 1
Eric Kahl D 91 5.90 — — — 55 51% 2 — —
Frederik Tingager D 91 6.30 — — 1 64 51% — — —
Jonas Jensen-Abbew D 74 5.90 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
Frederik Emmery M 91 8.50 — 1 2 21 20% 1 — —
Kristian Arnstad M 91 7.20 — — 2 31 21% — — —
Magnus Knudsen M 91 6.70 — — 1 36 30% 2 — —
Gift Links M 83 6.50 — — — 25 16% 2 1 —
Mikael Anderson F 73 6.70 — — 2 17 16% 1 — —
Tobias Bech F 73 6.20 — — 1 12 6% — — —
Sebastian Jørgensen F 40 6.90 — — — 3 2% — — —
Jacob Andersen D 17 6.70 — — — 11 9% — — —
James Bogere F 18 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Kevin Yakob M 18 6.60 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
Mads Hedenstad G 51 6.30 — — — 24 14% — — —
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson F 8 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mateusz Lis G 91 6.60 — — — 39 32% — — —
Michal Gurgul D 91 7.00 — — 1 63 45% — — —
Terry Yegbe D 91 8.20 1 — 1 64 62% 1 — —
Wojciech Mońka D 91 7.30 — 1 — 67 64% — — —
Joel Pereira D 79 7.20 — 1 — 46 34% 3 — —
Radosław Murawski M 54 6.30 — — — 27 22% — 1 —
Antoni Kozubal M 91 7.30 — 1 1 31 27% 3 — —
L. Palma M 66 6.90 — 1 1 20 15% — — —
Pablo Rodríguez M 91 6.60 — — — 35 26% 5 — —
Patrik Wålemark M 66 8.90 2 — 3 18 15% — — —
M. Ishak F 67 7.50 1 — 2 11 8% — — —
Daniel Håkans M 25 6.30 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Filip Jagiełło M 37 6.30 — — — 24 17% — — —
Leo Bengtsson M 25 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Robert Gumny D 12 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Yannick Agnero F 24 6.00 — — — — — — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aarhus vs Lech Poznan?
The final score was Aarhus 1–4 Lech Poznan.
What did the model predict before Aarhus vs Lech Poznan?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Aarhus win, 26% to a draw, and 37% to an Lech Poznan win.