Superliga
· Championship Group - 30
May 03, 2026 18:00
✓Model correct — prediction Aarhus
T. Bech
(ast. F. Emmery)
52'
J. Bogere
(ast. P. Mortensen)
90'+4
81'
(ast. A. Pedersen)
O. Hyseni
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 61% win probability (draw 24%, Sonderjyske 14%). The final result was Aarhus 2–1 Sonderjyske. In 4 previous meetings, Aarhus have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Sonderjyske.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
5
1.65
Actual xG
0.95
4
Saves
7
63%
Possession
37%
9
Corners
5
10
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
J. Andersen
/ F. Emmery
46'
46'
A. Pedersen
/
S. Waever
⚽T. Bech
· ast. F. Emmery
52'
G. Links
54'
68'
L. Qamili
/
M. Hoppe
68'
A. Lyng
/
S. Emini
K. Yakob
/ N. Poulsen
70'
K. Arnstad
/ S. Jorgensen
78'
78'
T. Klysner
/
A. Oggesen
81'
ast. A. Pedersen ·
O. Hyseni⚽
82'
P. Kristensen
/
G. Duru
M. Knudsen
/ J. Serra
87'
G. Links
/ J. Bogere
88'
⚽J. Bogere
· ast. P. Mortensen
90'+4
J. Bogere
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
61.11%
Aarhus ←
24.34%
X
14.55%
Sonderjyske
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Aarhus)
61.11%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
1.65
+0.01
0.65
0.95
+0.3
Aarhus dominated by xG (1.65 vs 0.95).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
J. Hansen
G
J. Hansen
G
19
E. Kahl
D
E. Kahl
D
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
D
Henrik Dalsgaard
D
2
F. Beijmo
D
F. Beijmo
D
11
Gift Links
88'
M
17
Kevin Yakob
70'
M
Kevin Yakob
70'
M
4
M. Knudsen
87'
M
M. Knudsen
87'
M
26
J. Andersen
45'
M
J. Andersen
45'
M
10
78'
F
31
T. Bech
1 ⚽
F
T. Bech
1 ⚽
F
9
P. Mortensen
1 👟
F
P. Mortensen
1 👟
F
Bench
39
Frederik Emmery
1 👟
49'
F
Frederik Emmery
1 👟
49'
F
5
F. Tingager
D
F. Tingager
D
57
James Bogere
1 ⚽
6'
F
13
J. Serra
7'
F
J. Serra
7'
F
6
Nicolai Poulsen
24'
M
Nicolai Poulsen
24'
M
8
S. Jørgensen
16'
M
S. Jørgensen
16'
M
1
G
23
E. Duru
82'
D
E. Duru
82'
D
12
D
5
M. Jensen
D
M. Jensen
D
3
Simon Wæver
45'
D
Simon Wæver
45'
D
22
A. Oggesen
78'
M
A. Oggesen
78'
M
6
M
24
O. Hyseni
1 ⚽
M
O. Hyseni
1 ⚽
M
31
M. Haidara
M
M. Haidara
M
7
S. Emini
68'
M
S. Emini
68'
M
9
M. Hoppe
68'
F
M. Hoppe
68'
F
Bench
11
Alexander Lyng
26'
F
Alexander Lyng
26'
F
15
L. Qamili
26'
F
L. Qamili
26'
F
19
P. Kristensen
12'
D
P. Kristensen
12'
D
20
Tobias Klysner
16'
F
Tobias Klysner
16'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Hansen
G · Aarhus
8.50
· 25 pass
O. Hyseni
M · Sonderjyske
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Frederik Emmery
F · Aarhus
7.90
1 👟
· 19 pass
T. Bech
F · Aarhus
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 20 pass
G · Sonderjyske
7.50
· 27 pass
James Bogere
F · Aarhus
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hansen | G | 94 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| E. Kahl | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 93 | 87% | — | — | — |
| Henrik Dalsgaard | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 66% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Beijmo | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 85 | 76% | — | — | — |
| Gift Links | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Yakob | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Knudsen | M | 87 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Andersen | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| T. Bech | F | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| P. Mortensen | F | 94 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | F | 49 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| James Bogere | F | 6 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Serra | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolai Poulsen | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Jørgensen | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Sonderjyske — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| E. Duru | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Jensen | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Wæver | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Oggesen | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — | |
| O. Hyseni | M | 94 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Haidara | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Emini | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Hoppe | F | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexander Lyng | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Qamili | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| P. Kristensen | D | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Tobias Klysner | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aarhus vs Sonderjyske?
The final score was Aarhus 2–1 Sonderjyske.
What did the model predict before Aarhus vs Sonderjyske?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Aarhus win, 24% to a draw, and 14% to an Sonderjyske win.