Superliga
· Championship Group - 30
May 03, 2026 18:00
✓Model correct — prediction Aarhus
T. Bech
(ast. F. Emmery)
52'
J. Bogere
(ast. P. Mortensen)
90'+4
81'
(ast. A. Pedersen)
O. Hyseni
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 61% win probability (draw 24%, Sonderjyske 14%). The final result was Aarhus 2–1 Sonderjyske. In 4 previous meetings, Aarhus have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Sonderjyske.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
5
1.65
Actual xG
0.95
4
Saves
7
63%
Possession
37%
9
Corners
5
10
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
J. Andersen
/ F. Emmery
46'
46'
A. Pedersen
/
S. Waever
⚽T. Bech
· ast. F. Emmery
52'
G. Links
54'
68'
L. Qamili
/
M. Hoppe
68'
A. Lyng
/
S. Emini
K. Yakob
/ N. Poulsen
70'
K. Arnstad
/ S. Jorgensen
78'
78'
T. Klysner
/
A. Oggesen
81'
ast. A. Pedersen ·
O. Hyseni⚽
82'
P. Kristensen
/
G. Duru
M. Knudsen
/ J. Serra
87'
G. Links
/ J. Bogere
88'
⚽J. Bogere
· ast. P. Mortensen
90'+4
J. Bogere
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
61.11%
Aarhus ←
24.34%
X
14.55%
Sonderjyske
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Aarhus)
61.11%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
1.65
+0.01
0.65
0.95
+0.3
Aarhus dominated by xG (1.65 vs 0.95).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Jesper Hansen
G
Jesper Hansen
G
19
Eric Kahl
D
Eric Kahl
D
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
D
Henrik Dalsgaard
D
2
Felix Beijmo
D
Felix Beijmo
D
11
G. Links
88'
M
G. Links
88'
M
17
Kevin Yakob
70'
M
Kevin Yakob
70'
M
4
Magnus Knudsen
87'
M
Magnus Knudsen
87'
M
26
Jacob Andersen
45'
M
Jacob Andersen
45'
M
10
78'
F
31
T. Bech
1 ⚽
F
T. Bech
1 ⚽
F
9
P. Mortensen
1 👟
F
P. Mortensen
1 👟
F
Bench
39
Frederik Emmery
1 👟
49'
F
Frederik Emmery
1 👟
49'
F
5
Frederik Tingager
D
Frederik Tingager
D
57
James Bogere
1 ⚽
6'
F
James Bogere
1 ⚽
6'
F
13
Janni Serra
7'
F
Janni Serra
7'
F
6
Nicolai Poulsen
24'
M
Nicolai Poulsen
24'
M
8
Sebastian Jørgensen
16'
M
Sebastian Jørgensen
16'
M
1
G
23
Chidiebube Duru
82'
D
Chidiebube Duru
82'
D
12
D
5
Magnus Jensen
D
Magnus Jensen
D
3
Simon Wæver
45'
D
Simon Wæver
45'
D
22
Andreas Oggesen
78'
M
Andreas Oggesen
78'
M
6
M
24
O. Hyseni
1 ⚽
M
O. Hyseni
1 ⚽
M
31
Mohamed Cherif Haidara
M
Mohamed Cherif Haidara
M
7
Sefer Emini
68'
M
Sefer Emini
68'
M
9
M. Hoppe
68'
F
M. Hoppe
68'
F
Bench
11
Alexander Lyng
26'
F
Alexander Lyng
26'
F
15
Lirim Qamili
26'
F
Lirim Qamili
26'
F
19
Pachanga Kristensen
12'
D
Pachanga Kristensen
12'
D
20
Tobias Klysner
16'
F
Tobias Klysner
16'
F
Best on the pitch
Jesper Hansen
G · Aarhus
8.50
· 25 pass
O. Hyseni
M · Sonderjyske
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Frederik Emmery
F · Aarhus
7.90
1 👟
· 19 pass
T. Bech
F · Aarhus
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 20 pass
G · Sonderjyske
7.50
· 27 pass
James Bogere
F · Aarhus
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Hansen | G | 94 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Eric Kahl | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 93 | 87% | — | — | — |
| Henrik Dalsgaard | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 66% | 3 | — | — |
| Felix Beijmo | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 85 | 76% | — | — | — |
| G. Links | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Yakob | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Magnus Knudsen | M | 87 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| Jacob Andersen | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| T. Bech | F | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| P. Mortensen | F | 94 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | F | 49 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| James Bogere | F | 6 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Janni Serra | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolai Poulsen | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Jørgensen | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Sonderjyske — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Chidiebube Duru | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — | |
| Magnus Jensen | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Wæver | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Andreas Oggesen | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — | |
| O. Hyseni | M | 94 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Cherif Haidara | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Sefer Emini | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Hoppe | F | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexander Lyng | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lirim Qamili | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Pachanga Kristensen | D | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Tobias Klysner | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aarhus vs Sonderjyske?
The final score was Aarhus 2–1 Sonderjyske.
What did the model predict before Aarhus vs Sonderjyske?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Aarhus win, 24% to a draw, and 14% to an Sonderjyske win.