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Superliga · Regular Season - 10 October 12, 2026 19:00 Vejlby Stadion, Aarhus
Aarhus
#8 · 12 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Sonderjyske
#12 · 8 pts
Kristian Arnstad 9'
Janni Serra (ast. Rasmus Carstensen) 15'
Frederik Tingager (ast. Kristian Arnstad) 38'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 47% win probability (draw 24%, Sonderjyske 27%). The final result was Aarhus 3–0 Sonderjyske. In 5 previous meetings, Aarhus have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Sonderjyske.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
5
1.23
Actual xG
1.48
4
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
7
12
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Kristian Arnstad
9'
⚽Janni Serra · ast. Rasmus Carstensen
15'
15'
25'
⚽Frederik Tingager · ast. Kristian Arnstad
38'
45'
Ismaïl Seydi
45'
Stefan Velkov / Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason ↕
↕ Frederik Emmery / Callum McCowatt
63'
66'
Teodor Berg Haltvik / Sefer Emini ↕
66'
Jacob Christensen / Mathias Olesen ↕
↕ Daniel Leo Gretarsson / Eric Kahl
77'
↕ Janni Serra / Stefen Tchamche
78'
81'
Bubacarr Tambedou / Ismaïl Seydi ↕
81'
Andreas Oggesen / Anders Raffnsøe Hoeg ↕
↕ Tobias Bech Kristensen / James Bogere
90'
↕ Rasmus Carstensen / Jacob Andersen
90'
Pre-match prediction
47.64%
Aarhus ←
24.69%
X
27.67%
Sonderjyske
we assigned to the actual result (Aarhus) 47.64% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Aarhus
2.22
1.23
-0.99
Sonderjyske
1.52
1.48
-0.04
xG dominance was balanced (1.23 – 1.48). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 12 28
2 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 12 26
3 Viborg Viborg 12 20
4 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 12 20
5 Brondby Brondby 12 19
6 AC Horsens AC Horsens 12 16
7 Odense Odense 12 14
8 Aarhus Aarhus 12 12
9 Silkeborg Silkeborg 12 12
10 Randers FC Randers FC 12 11
11 Lyngby Lyngby 12 8
12 Sonderjyske Sonderjyske 12 8
Lineups
Aarhus Aarhus 3-4-2-1
1 J. Hansen J. Hansen G 7.73
3 D. Grétarsson D. Grétarsson 77' D 6.71
5 F. Tingager F. Tingager 1 ⚽ D 8.26
14 T. Mølgaard T. Mølgaard D 6.94
39 Frederik Emmery Frederik Emmery 63' M 6.71
10 Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.38
4 M. Knudsen M. Knudsen M 6.59
29 R. Carstensen R. Carstensen 1 👟 89' M 7.00
23 Mikael Anderson Mikael Anderson M 6.43
31 T. Bech T. Bech 89' M 6.42
13 Janni Serra Janni Serra 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.80
Bench
18 C. McCowatt C. McCowatt 27' M 6.52
25 C. Rösler C. Rösler D 0.00
19 E. Kahl E. Kahl 13' D 6.56
26 J. Andersen J. Andersen 1' D 0.00
28 J. Bogere J. Bogere 1' F 0.00
21 M. Hedenstad Christiansen M. Hedenstad Christiansen G 0.00
7 M. Solbakken M. Solbakken M 0.00
8 S. Jørgensen S. Jørgensen M 0.00
27 S. Tchamche S. Tchamche 12' F 6.48
Sonderjyske Sonderjyske 4-2-3-1
24 N. Shinton N. Shinton G 5.97
19 P. Kristensen P. Kristensen D 5.91
25 B. Bjarnason B. Bjarnason 45' D 6.21
12 M. Soulas M. Soulas D 6.50
3 A. Munksgaard A. Munksgaard D 6.08
10 M. Olesen M. Olesen 66' M 6.62
17 A. Hoeg A. Hoeg 81' M 6.34
7 S. Emini S. Emini 66' M 5.94
8 M. Haidara M. Haidara M 6.52
31 I. Seydi I. Seydi 81' M 5.56
11 O. De Rosario O. De Rosario F 5.74
Bench
22 A. Oggesen A. Oggesen 9' M 5.76
26 B. Tambedou B. Tambedou 9' F 6.43
34 Elias Hjort- Pedersen Elias Hjort- Pedersen M 0.00
30 G. Wagner G. Wagner D 0.00
33 J. Christensen J. Christensen 24' M 6.03
9 M. Hoppe M. Hoppe F 0.00
1 N. Flø N. Flø G 0.00
21 S. Velkov S. Velkov 45' D 6.40
14 T. Haltvik T. Haltvik 24' M 6.26
Best on the pitch
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
M · Aarhus
8.38
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 48 pass
F. Tingager
F. Tingager
D · Aarhus
8.26
1 ⚽
1 shots · 70 pass
Janni Serra
Janni Serra
F · Aarhus
7.80
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
J. Hansen
J. Hansen
G · Aarhus
7.73
· 34 pass
R. Carstensen
R. Carstensen
M · Aarhus
7.00
1 👟
1 shots · 34 pass
T. Mølgaard
T. Mølgaard
D · Aarhus
6.94
· 70 pass
Aarhus Aarhus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Hansen G 90 7.73 — — 0 34 29% 0 — —
D. Grétarsson D 77 6.71 — — 0 55 49% 2 — —
F. Tingager D 90 8.26 1 — 1 70 67% 3 — —
T. Mølgaard D 90 6.94 — — 0 70 60% 2 — —
Frederik Emmery M 63 6.71 — — 1 10 10% 1 — —
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad M 90 8.38 1 1 3 48 39% 2 — —
M. Knudsen M 90 6.59 — — 0 42 37% 1 — —
R. Carstensen M 89 7.00 — 1 1 34 25% 0 — —
Mikael Anderson M 90 6.43 — — 0 38 34% 1 — —
T. Bech M 89 6.42 — — 0 33 28% 0 — —
Janni Serra F 78 7.80 1 — 2 10 8% 0 — —
C. McCowatt M 27 6.52 — — 0 18 11% 0 — —
E. Kahl D 13 6.56 — — 0 11 11% 0 — —
J. Andersen D 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
J. Bogere F 1 0.00 — — 1 2 2% 0 — —
S. Tchamche F 12 6.48 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Sonderjyske Sonderjyske — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Shinton G 90 5.97 — — 0 31 25% 0 — —
P. Kristensen D 90 5.91 — — 0 53 43% 0 — —
B. Bjarnason D 45 6.21 — — 0 39 32% 0 — —
M. Soulas D 90 6.50 — — 0 62 60% 1 — —
A. Munksgaard D 90 6.08 — — 1 40 33% 3 — —
M. Olesen M 66 6.62 — — 0 36 32% 2 — —
A. Hoeg M 81 6.34 — — 0 28 24% 4 — —
S. Emini M 66 5.94 — — 0 22 16% 0 — —
M. Haidara M 90 6.52 — — 5 20 18% 2 — —
I. Seydi M 81 5.56 — — 0 17 13% 3 1 —
O. De Rosario F 90 5.74 — — 4 14 11% 1 — —
A. Oggesen M 9 5.76 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
B. Tambedou F 9 6.43 — — 1 2 1% 0 — —
J. Christensen M 24 6.03 — — 0 11 9% 0 — —
S. Velkov D 45 6.40 — — 1 31 29% 0 — —
T. Haltvik M 24 6.26 — — 2 8 8% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aarhus vs Sonderjyske?
The final score was Aarhus 3–0 Sonderjyske.
What did the model predict before Aarhus vs Sonderjyske?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Aarhus win, 24% to a draw, and 27% to an Sonderjyske win.