Superliga
· Championship Group - 32
May 17, 2026 18:00
✓Model correct — prediction Aarhus
F. Emmery
(ast. K. Arnstad)
1'
P. Mortensen
(ast. F. Emmery)
27'
G. Links
(ast. F. Emmery)
35'
S. Jorgensen
(ast. E. Kahl)
70'
T. Kristjansson
(ast. T. Bech)
86'
T. Kristjansson
(ast. J. Andersen)
90'+4
34'
T. Jorgensen
90'+1
L. Kirkegaard
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Viborg 19%). The final result was Aarhus 6–2 Viborg. In 4 previous meetings, Aarhus have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Viborg.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
17
9
Shots on target
9
1.95
Actual xG
2.23
7
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
3
Corners
2
19
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽F. Emmery
· ast. K. Arnstad
1'
⚽P. Mortensen
· ast. F. Emmery
27'
34'
T. Jorgensen⚽
⚽G. Links
· ast. F. Emmery
35'
M. Knudsen
45'+5
54'
D. Anyembe
P. Mortensen
/ J. Bogere
55'
F. Beijmo
56'
58'
O. Bundgaard
/
H. Bidstrup
G. Links
/ J. Andersen
63'
F. Tingager
/ H. Dalsgaard
63'
67'
B. Brahimi
/
S. Jalal
68'
O. Addo
/
C. Nouck
⚽S. Jorgensen
· ast. E. Kahl
70'
74'
J. Gronning
F. Emmery
/ T. Kristjansson
75'
M. Knudsen
/ M. Solbakken
75'
84'
Z. Zaletel
/
J. Gronning
84'
F. Damkjer
/
A. Beck
⚽T. Kristjansson
· ast. T. Bech
86'
90'+1
L. Kirkegaard⚽
⚽T. Kristjansson
· ast. J. Andersen
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
56.84%
Aarhus ←
23.54%
X
19.62%
Viborg
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Aarhus)
56.84%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
1.95
+0.12
0.86
2.23
+1.37
xG dominance was balanced (1.95 – 2.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
21
Mads Hedenstad
G
Mads Hedenstad
G
19
Eric Kahl
1 👟
D
Eric Kahl
1 👟
D
5
Frederik Tingager
63'
D
Frederik Tingager
63'
D
2
Felix Beijmo
D
Felix Beijmo
D
39
Frederik Emmery
1 ⚽
2 👟
75'
M
Frederik Emmery
1 ⚽
2 👟
75'
M
10
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
M
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
M
4
Magnus Knudsen
75'
M
Magnus Knudsen
75'
M
11
G. Links
1 ⚽
63'
M
G. Links
1 ⚽
63'
M
31
T. Bech
1 👟
F
T. Bech
1 👟
F
8
Sebastian Jørgensen
1 ⚽
F
Sebastian Jørgensen
1 ⚽
F
9
P. Mortensen
1 ⚽
55'
F
P. Mortensen
1 ⚽
55'
F
Bench
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
27'
D
Henrik Dalsgaard
27'
D
26
Jacob Andersen
1 👟
27'
D
Jacob Andersen
1 👟
27'
D
57
James Bogere
35'
F
James Bogere
35'
F
1
Jesper Hansen
G
Jesper Hansen
G
40
Jonas Jensen-Abbew
D
Jonas Jensen-Abbew
D
7
Markus Solbakken
15'
M
Markus Solbakken
15'
M
55
Oskar Haugstrup
M
Oskar Haugstrup
M
14
Tobias Mølgaard
D
Tobias Mølgaard
D
20
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
2 ⚽
15'
F
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
2 ⚽
15'
F
1
Lucas Lund
G
Lucas Lund
G
30
Srđan Kuzmić
D
Srđan Kuzmić
D
24
Daniel Anyembe
D
Daniel Anyembe
D
32
Lukas Kirkegaard
1 ⚽
D
Lukas Kirkegaard
1 ⚽
D
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
58'
D
Hjalte Bidstrup
58'
D
8
Asker Beck
84'
M
Asker Beck
84'
M
13
J. Grønning
84'
M
J. Grønning
84'
M
10
Thomas Jørgensen
1 ⚽
M
Thomas Jørgensen
1 ⚽
M
11
C. Nouck
68'
F
C. Nouck
68'
F
19
Dorian Hanza
F
Dorian Hanza
F
29
Sami Jalal
67'
F
Sami Jalal
67'
F
Bench
36
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
F
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
F
21
B. Brahimi
23'
M
B. Brahimi
23'
M
16
Filip Đukić
G
Filip Đukić
G
33
Frederik Damkjer
15'
M
Frederik Damkjer
15'
M
18
J. Mbom
D
J. Mbom
D
23
Oliver Bundgaard
32'
D
Oliver Bundgaard
32'
D
17
Osman Addo
22'
F
Osman Addo
22'
F
55
Stipe Radić
D
Stipe Radić
D
5
Ž. Zaletel
15'
D
Ž. Zaletel
15'
D
Best on the pitch
Sebastian Jørgensen
F · Aarhus
9.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 29 pass
Frederik Emmery
M · Aarhus
9.20
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
F · Aarhus
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
G. Links
M · Aarhus
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 42 pass
T. Bech
F · Aarhus
8.20
1 👟
· 33 pass
Thomas Jørgensen
M · Viborg
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 40 pass
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Hedenstad | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Eric Kahl | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 64 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Frederik Tingager | D | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Felix Beijmo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 98 | 93% | — | 1 | — |
| Frederik Emmery | M | 75 | 9.20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 102 | 86% | — | — | — |
| Magnus Knudsen | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| G. Links | M | 63 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Bech | F | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Jørgensen | F | 90 | 9.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Mortensen | F | 55 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Henrik Dalsgaard | D | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Andersen | D | 27 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| James Bogere | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Markus Solbakken | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Tómas Óli Kristjánsson | F | 15 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Viborg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Lund | G | 90 | 4.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Srđan Kuzmić | D | 90 | 4.90 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Anyembe | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lukas Kirkegaard | D | 90 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Hjalte Bidstrup | D | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Asker Beck | M | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Grønning | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Thomas Jørgensen | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Nouck | F | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Dorian Hanza | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Sami Jalal | F | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Brahimi | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Frederik Damkjer | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Bundgaard | D | 32 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Osman Addo | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Ž. Zaletel | D | 15 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aarhus vs Viborg?
The final score was Aarhus 6–2 Viborg.
What did the model predict before Aarhus vs Viborg?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Aarhus win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Viborg win.