Frederik Emmery
(ast. James Bogere)
8'
Tobias Bech Kristensen
(ast. Jacob Andersen)
56'
81'
Giulio Gabriel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Viborg a 48% win probability (draw 22%, Aarhus 29%). The final result was Aarhus 2–1 Viborg. In 6 previous meetings, Aarhus have won 4 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Viborg.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
5
2.18
Actual xG
0.85
4
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
10
Corners
3
8
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Frederik Emmery
· ast. James Bogere
8'
Kristian Arnstad
26'
Frederik Tingager
/ Eric Kahl
45'
⚽Tobias Bech Kristensen
· ast. Jacob Andersen
56'
63'
Philip Keller
/
Ruben Kristensen Alte
63'
Daniel Anyembe
/
Hjalte Bidstrup
Frederik Emmery
66'
Frederik Emmery
/ Gift Links
71'
72'
James Bogere
/ Stefen Tchamche
77'
Callum McCowatt
/ Sebastian Jorgensen
77'
77'
Giulio Gabriel
/
Mads Søndergaard Clausen
78'
Frederik Damkjer
/
Jeppe Grønning
Magnus Knudsen
79'
81'
Giulio Gabriel⚽
85'
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
/
Dorian Hanza
Magnus Knudsen
/ Markus Solbakken
86'
89'
Daniel Anyembe
90'+3
Philip Keller
90'+4
Giulio Gabriel
Markus Solbakken
90'
Pre-match prediction
29.26%
Aarhus ←
22.57%
X
48.16%
Viborg
we assigned to the actual result (Aarhus)
29.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
2.18
+0.6
2.63
0.85
-1.78
Aarhus dominated by xG (2.18 vs 0.85).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Hansen
G
J. Hansen
G
3
D. Grétarsson
D
D. Grétarsson
D
5
F. Tingager
45'
D
F. Tingager
45'
D
14
T. Mølgaard
D
T. Mølgaard
D
39
Frederik Emmery
1 ⚽
71'
M
Frederik Emmery
1 ⚽
71'
M
10
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
M
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
M
4
M. Knudsen
86'
M
M. Knudsen
86'
M
26
J. Andersen
1 👟
M
J. Andersen
1 👟
M
18
C. McCowatt
77'
M
C. McCowatt
77'
M
31
T. Bech
1 ⚽
M
T. Bech
1 ⚽
M
28
J. Bogere
1 👟
77'
F
J. Bogere
1 👟
77'
F
Bench
25
C. Rösler
D
C. Rösler
D
19
E. Kahl
45'
D
E. Kahl
45'
D
11
G. Links
19'
M
G. Links
19'
M
16
J. Jønsson
M
J. Jønsson
M
21
M. Hedenstad Christiansen
G
M. Hedenstad Christiansen
G
7
M. Solbakken
4'
M
M. Solbakken
4'
M
29
R. Carstensen
D
R. Carstensen
D
8
S. Jørgensen
13'
M
S. Jørgensen
13'
M
27
S. Tchamche
13'
F
S. Tchamche
13'
F
20
K. Kiilerich
G
K. Kiilerich
G
23
O. Bundgaard
D
O. Bundgaard
D
5
Ž. Zaletel
D
Ž. Zaletel
D
4
L. Kirkegaard
D
L. Kirkegaard
D
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
63'
D
Hjalte Bidstrup
63'
D
6
M. Søndergaard
77'
M
M. Søndergaard
77'
M
13
J. Grønning
78'
M
J. Grønning
78'
M
8
A. Beck
M
A. Beck
M
18
R. Alte
63'
M
R. Alte
63'
M
11
C. Nouck
F
C. Nouck
F
19
Dorian Hanza
85'
F
Dorian Hanza
85'
F
Bench
36
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
5'
F
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
5'
F
24
D. Anyembe
27'
D
D. Anyembe
27'
D
38
E. Monrad
D
E. Monrad
D
33
Frederik Damkjer
12'
M
Frederik Damkjer
12'
M
25
Giulio
1 ⚽
13'
F
Giulio
1 ⚽
13'
F
28
L. Coulibaly
M
L. Coulibaly
M
1
L. Lund
G
L. Lund
G
34
Philip Keller
27'
M
Philip Keller
27'
M
3
V. Lunddal Friðriksson
D
V. Lunddal Friðriksson
D
Best on the pitch
T. Bech
M · Aarhus
7.93
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
J. Andersen
M · Aarhus
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 33 pass
Frederik Emmery
M · Aarhus
7.63
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 28 pass
D. Grétarsson
D · Aarhus
7.36
2 shots
· 65 pass
F. Tingager
D · Aarhus
7.34
1 shots
· 56 pass
J. Hansen
G · Aarhus
7.31
· 30 pass
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hansen | G | 90 | 7.31 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Grétarsson | D | 90 | 7.36 | — | — | 2 | 65 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Tingager | D | 45 | 7.34 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Mølgaard | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 52% | 0 | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | M | 71 | 7.63 | 1 | — | 6 | 28 | 22% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 51% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Knudsen | M | 86 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 41% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Andersen | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| C. McCowatt | M | 77 | 6.45 | — | — | 4 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Bech | M | 90 | 7.93 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Bogere | F | 77 | 7.13 | — | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kahl | D | 45 | 7.01 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Links | M | 19 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Solbakken | M | 4 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Jørgensen | M | 13 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Tchamche | F | 13 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Viborg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kiilerich | G | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Bundgaard | D | 90 | 7.03 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 36% | 8 | — | — |
| Ž. Zaletel | D | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 3 | 63 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Kirkegaard | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 62% | 3 | — | — |
| Hjalte Bidstrup | D | 63 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Søndergaard | M | 77 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Grønning | M | 78 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Beck | M | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Alte | M | 63 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Nouck | F | 90 | 5.95 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Dorian Hanza | F | 85 | 6.44 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen | F | 5 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Anyembe | D | 27 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Frederik Damkjer | M | 12 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Giulio | F | 13 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Philip Keller | M | 27 | 5.79 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 0 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aarhus vs Viborg?
The final score was Aarhus 2–1 Viborg.
What did the model predict before Aarhus vs Viborg?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Aarhus win, 22% to a draw, and 48% to an Viborg win.