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← Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen - Falkirk

#9 · 11 pts
vs
#7 · 12 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 10.1°C 💨 8 km/h · Aberdeen
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.54%
Win
Aberdeen
33.38%
Draw
31.08%
Win
Falkirk
0.78
Expected xG
0.75

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.04%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 33%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 65%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Aberdeen a 35% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Falkirk. Expected goals are 0.8 for Aberdeen and 0.8 for Falkirk (total 1.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.04% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Aberdeen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Falkirk.

Season Stats

Aberdeen
5W 3D 7L
Falkirk
4W 3D 8L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.1
1.3
Conceded
1.7
3.1
Shots OT
3.4
5.3
Corners
4.8
48%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
87%
47%
O 2.5
67%
40%
BTTS
67%
27%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Scottish Premiership. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Aberdeen
5W 2D 3L · at home
Falkirk
2W 4D 4L · away
1.1
gls/g
1.0
0.7
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
20%
70%
Win or Draw
60%
60%
O 1.5
80%
20%
O 2.5
50%
10%
O 3.5
20%
30%
BTTS
70%
40%
Clean Sht
10%
40%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Aberdeen Falkirk →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.5% 16.2% 6.1% 1.5% 0.3% —
1 16.9% 12.7% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% —
2 6.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —

Recent form

L Dundee Utd 3–2
W ST Mirren 3–1
L ST Johnstone 0–1
D Hibernian 1–1
W Motherwell 0–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
W Kilmarnock 3–0
W Hibernian 1–2
L Dundee 1–2
D ST Johnstone 1–1
W Heart Of Midlothian 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Aberdeen Aberdeen
Attack
35
Defence
60
Form
42
Falkirk Falkirk
Attack
42
Defence
55
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Celtic Celtic 10 27
2 Rangers Rangers 10 23
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 10 19
4 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 10 15
5 Dundee Dundee 10 14
6 ST Mirren ST Mirren 10 13
7 Falkirk Falkirk 10 12
8 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 10 12
9 Aberdeen Aberdeen 10 11
10 Motherwell Motherwell 10 8
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 10 8
12 Hibernian Hibernian 10 7
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
The model gives Aberdeen a 35% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 31% for an Falkirk win.
How many goals are expected in Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Expected goals: Aberdeen 0.8, Falkirk 0.8 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.04%.