A. Afeez
(ast. S. Armstrong)
1'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aberdeen a 42% win probability (draw 30%, Kilmarnock 26%). The final result was Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock. In 3 previous meetings, Aberdeen have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Kilmarnock.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
0.47
Actual xG
0.54
3
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
6
Corners
5
14
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽A. Afeez
· ast. S. Armstrong
1'
5'
D. Thompson
/
J. Brandon
M. Frame
/ G. Shinnie
58'
L. Cameron
/ D. Geiger
59'
64'
G. Stanger
67'
T. Lowery
68'
R. McKenzie
/
M. Schjonning-Larsen
A. Afeez
/ A. Palaversa
72'
S. Armstrong
/ M. Knoester
72'
77'
K. Magennis
/
G. Kiltie
78'
B. Anderson
/
N. Clescenco
78'
R. Deas
J. Milne
/ E. Bwomono
81'
84'
D. Watson
/
T. Lowery
T. Olusanya
/ T. Keskinen
87'
87'
B. Lyons
/
F. Curtis
90'+2
K. Magennis
L. Morrison
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.36%
Aberdeen ←
30.86%
X
26.78%
Kilmarnock
we assigned to the actual result (Aberdeen)
42.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
0.47
-0.72
0.91
0.54
-0.37
xG dominance was balanced (0.47 – 0.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
21
D
23
Liam Morrison
D
Liam Morrison
D
22
Jack Milne
81'
D
Jack Milne
81'
D
3
Mitchel Frame
58'
M
Mitchel Frame
58'
M
16
S. Armstrong
1 👟
72'
M
S. Armstrong
1 👟
72'
M
32
Aremu Afeez
1 ⚽
72'
M
Aremu Afeez
1 ⚽
72'
M
28
A. Jensen
M
25
Lyall Cameron
59'
F
Lyall Cameron
59'
F
15
K. Nisbet
F
K. Nisbet
F
20
Toyosi Olusanya
87'
F
Toyosi Olusanya
87'
F
Bench
8
Dennis Geiger
31'
M
Dennis Geiger
31'
M
4
Graeme Shinnie
32'
M
Graeme Shinnie
32'
M
27
Marko Lazetić
F
81
Topi Keskinen
8'
F
Topi Keskinen
8'
F
1
G
21
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
68'
D
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
68'
D
6
R. Deas
D
R. Deas
D
14
George Stanger
D
George Stanger
D
2
J. Brandon
5'
D
11
G. Kiltie
77'
M
G. Kiltie
77'
M
36
Aaron Tshibola
M
Aaron Tshibola
M
18
Tom Lowery
84'
M
Tom Lowery
84'
M
52
Findlay Curtis
84'
M
Findlay Curtis
84'
M
44
J. Hugill
F
J. Hugill
F
20
Nicky Cleșcenco
77'
F
Bench
8
B. Lyons
11'
M
B. Lyons
11'
M
19
Bruce Anderson
13'
F
Bruce Anderson
13'
F
16
Kyle Magennis
13'
M
Kyle Magennis
13'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Kilmarnock
8.20
· 26 pass
D · Aberdeen
7.60
· 26 pass
Aremu Afeez
M · Aberdeen
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Jack Milne
D · Aberdeen
7.30
2 shots
· 34 pass
Liam Morrison
D · Aberdeen
7.20
· 32 pass
Mitchel Frame
M · Aberdeen
7.20
· 9 pass
Aberdeen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — | |
| Liam Morrison | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Jack Milne | D | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Mitchel Frame | M | 58 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Armstrong | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Aremu Afeez | M | 72 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Jensen | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Lyall Cameron | F | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Nisbet | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Toyosi Olusanya | F | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Dennis Geiger | M | 31 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Graeme Shinnie | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Topi Keskinen | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Kilmarnock — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Michael Schjønning-Larsen | D | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| R. Deas | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| George Stanger | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Brandon | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| G. Kiltie | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Aaron Tshibola | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Tom Lowery | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Findlay Curtis | M | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Hugill | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicky Cleșcenco | F | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Lyons | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Bruce Anderson | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Magennis | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
The final score was Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock.
What did the model predict before Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Aberdeen win, 30% to a draw, and 26% to an Kilmarnock win.