Scottish Premiership · Relegation Group - 34 April 25, 2026 18:00

Aberdeen

#2 · 40 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Kilmarnock

#4 · 37 pts

A. Afeez (ast. S. Armstrong) 1'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aberdeen a 42% win probability (draw 30%, Kilmarnock 26%). The final result was Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock. In 3 previous meetings, Aberdeen have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Kilmarnock.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

8

4

Shots on target

3

0.47

Actual xG

0.54

3

Saves

3

41%

Possession

59%

6

Corners

5

14

Tackles

10

1

🟨 Yellow cards

4

Match Events

⚽A. Afeez · ast. S. Armstrong

1'

5'

D. Thompson / J. Brandon ↕

↕ M. Frame / G. Shinnie

58'

↕ L. Cameron / D. Geiger

59'

64'

G. Stanger

67'

T. Lowery

68'

R. McKenzie / M. Schjonning-Larsen ↕

↕ A. Afeez / A. Palaversa

72'

↕ S. Armstrong / M. Knoester

72'

77'

K. Magennis / G. Kiltie ↕

78'

B. Anderson / N. Clescenco ↕

78'

R. Deas

↕ J. Milne / E. Bwomono

81'

84'

D. Watson / T. Lowery ↕

↕ T. Olusanya / T. Keskinen

87'

87'

B. Lyons / F. Curtis ↕

90'+2

K. Magennis

L. Morrison

90'

Pre-match prediction

42.36%

Aberdeen ←

30.86%

X

26.78%

Kilmarnock

we assigned to the actual result (Aberdeen) 42.36% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Aberdeen

1.18

0.47

-0.72

Kilmarnock

0.91

0.54

-0.37

xG dominance was balanced (0.47 – 0.54). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Heart Of Midlothian	33	70
1	Heart Of Midlothian	37	80
1	Dundee Utd	37	44
2	Rangers	33	69
2	Celtic	37	79
2	Aberdeen	37	40
3	Dundee	37	39
3	Celtic	33	67
3	Rangers	37	69
4	Motherwell	37	58
4	Kilmarnock	37	37
4	Motherwell	33	54
5	ST Mirren	37	33
5	Hibernian	33	51
5	Hibernian	37	57
6	Livingston	37	21
6	Falkirk	33	46
6	Falkirk	37	49
7	Dundee Utd	33	40
8	Aberdeen	33	33
9	Dundee	33	33
10	ST Mirren	33	30
11	Kilmarnock	33	28
12	Livingston	33	16

Lineups

Aberdeen 3-4-1-2

1

G 6.60

21

D 7.60

23 Liam Morrison D 7.20

22 Jack Milne 81' D 7.30

3 Mitchel Frame 58' M 7.20

16 S. Armstrong 1 👟 72' M 7.20

32 Aremu Afeez 1 ⚽ 72' M 7.50

28

A. Jensen M 7.20

25 Lyall Cameron 59' F 6.30

15 Kevin Nisbet F 6.50

20 Toyosi Olusanya 87' F 6.20

Bench

8 Dennis Geiger 31' M 7.00

4 Graeme Shinnie 32' M 6.30

27

Marko Lazetić F

81 Topi Keskinen 8' F 6.50

Kilmarnock 4-4-2

1

G 8.20

21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen 68' D 6.50

6 Robbie Deas D 7.00

14 George Stanger D 6.70

2

J. Brandon 5' D

11 Greg Kiltie 77' M 6.90

36 Aaron Tshibola M 7.20

18 Tom Lowery 84' M 6.70

52 Findlay Curtis 84' M 7.00

44 Joe Hugill F 6.20

20 Nicky Cleșcenco 77' F 6.90

Bench

8 B. Lyons 11' M 6.70

19 Bruce Anderson 13' F 6.70

16 Kyle Magennis 13' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

G · Kilmarnock

8.20

· 26 pass

D · Aberdeen

7.60

· 26 pass

Aremu Afeez

M · Aberdeen

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 17 pass

Jack Milne

D · Aberdeen

7.30

2 shots · 34 pass

Liam Morrison

D · Aberdeen

7.20

· 32 pass

Mitchel Frame

M · Aberdeen

7.20

· 9 pass

Aberdeen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	25	7%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	26	19%	2	—	—
Liam Morrison	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	32	26%	—	1	—
Jack Milne	D	81	7.30	—	—	2	34	28%	1	—	—
Mitchel Frame	M	58	7.20	—	—	—	9	7%	2	—	—
S. Armstrong	M	72	7.20	—	1	—	39	31%	1	—	—
Aremu Afeez	M	72	7.50	1	—	1	17	11%	1	—	—
A. Jensen	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	26	15%	4	—	—
Lyall Cameron	F	59	6.30	—	—	1	24	20%	1	—	—
Kevin Nisbet	F	90	6.50	—	—	1	21	14%	1	—	—
Toyosi Olusanya	F	87	6.20	—	—	2	16	13%	—	—	—
Dennis Geiger	M	31	7.00	—	—	1	4	3%	1	—	—
Graeme Shinnie	M	32	6.30	—	—	1	8	4%	—	—	—
Topi Keskinen	F	8	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Kilmarnock — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.20	—	—	—	26	22%	—	—	—
Michael Schjønning-Larsen	D	68	6.50	—	—	—	33	25%	—	—	—
Robbie Deas	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	48	35%	—	1	—
George Stanger	D	90	6.70	—	—	1	55	41%	1	1	—
J. Brandon	D	5	—	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Greg Kiltie	M	77	6.90	—	—	1	22	17%	2	—	—
Aaron Tshibola	M	90	7.20	—	—	2	60	46%	2	—	—
Tom Lowery	M	84	6.70	—	—	2	46	42%	1	1	—
Findlay Curtis	M	84	7.00	—	—	1	26	21%	2	—	—
Joe Hugill	F	90	6.20	—	—	—	12	3%	1	—	—
Nicky Cleșcenco	F	77	6.90	—	—	1	20	17%	1	—	—
B. Lyons	M	11	6.70	—	—	—	8	4%	—	—	—
Bruce Anderson	F	13	6.70	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
Kyle Magennis	M	13	6.50	—	—	—	8	4%	—	1	—