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Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 8 October 11, 2026 15:00 Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Aberdeen
#9 · 11 pts
0 – 1
Final score
ST Johnstone
#8 · 12 pts
(pen.) 14' Josh Fowler
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Johnstone a 33% win probability (draw 36%, Aberdeen 30%). The final result was Aberdeen 0–1 ST Johnstone.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
1
1.27
Actual xG
1.12
0
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
13
Corners
2
13
Tackles
9
Match Events
11'
14'
(pen.) Josh Fowler⚽
↕ Ayoub Mouloua / Lewis Smith
35'
58'
Joel Cotterill / Ruari Paton ↕
↕ Findlay Marshall / Tony Yogane
59'
↕ Connor Patrick Ronan / Stuart Armstrong
59'
67'
Taylor Steven / Matty Todd ↕
↕ Nesta Guinness-Walker / Hicham Mahou
68'
78'
Josh Campbell / Sam Stanton ↕
78'
Jamie Gullan / Josh Fowler ↕
90'+1
Božo Mikulić / Daniel Finlayson ↕
↕ Christopher Cadden / Afeez Aremu Olalekan
90'
Pre-match prediction
30.21%
Aberdeen
36.51%
X
33.29%
ST ←
we assigned to the actual result (ST Johnstone) 33.29% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Aberdeen
0.47
1.27
+0.8
ST
0.67
1.12
+0.45
xG dominance was balanced (1.27 – 1.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 10 27
2 Rangers Rangers 10 23
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 10 19
4 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 10 15
5 Dundee Dundee 10 14
6 ST Mirren ST Mirren 10 13
7 Falkirk Falkirk 10 12
8 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 10 12
9 Aberdeen Aberdeen 10 11
10 Motherwell Motherwell 10 8
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 10 8
12 Hibernian Hibernian 10 7
Lineups
Aberdeen Aberdeen 5-3-2
27 M. Müller M. Müller G 6.39
24 N. Guinness-Walker N. Guinness-Walker 68' D 6.23
21 G. Molloy G. Molloy D 6.42
5 M. Knoester M. Knoester D 6.90
22 J. Milne J. Milne D 7.34
28 C. Cadden C. Cadden 89' D 7.02
25 C. Ronan C. Ronan 59' M 7.20
40 F. Marshall F. Marshall 59' M 6.21
8 B. Lyons B. Lyons M 6.83
15 K. Nisbet K. Nisbet F 6.82
9 A. Mouloua A. Mouloua 35' F 6.57
Bench
32 A. Aremu A. Aremu 1' M 0.00
26 D. Happe D. Happe D 0.00
30 D. Klein D. Klein G 0.00
14 H. Mahou H. Mahou 22' M 6.29
11 Lewis Smith Lewis Smith 55' F 6.98
23 L. Mayo L. Mayo D 0.00
17 S. Armstrong S. Armstrong 31' M 6.60
20 T. Olusanya T. Olusanya F 6.30
7 Tony Yogane Tony Yogane 31' F 6.86
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 3-4-2-1
1 T. Steward T. Steward G 7.60
14 M. Foulds M. Foulds D 6.74
19 D. Finlayson D. Finlayson 89' D 7.42
33 L. Smith L. Smith D 6.35
2 E. Alıç E. Alıç M 6.40
8 J. Holt J. Holt M 6.59
42 R. McAlear R. McAlear M 6.65
26 M. Todd M. Todd 67' M 6.31
99 R. Paton R. Paton 58' M 6.53
11 S. Stanton S. Stanton 78' M 6.96
9 J. Fowler J. Fowler 1 ⚽ 78' F 6.76
Bench
6 B. Mikulić B. Mikulić 1' D 0.00
22 D. Schmidt D. Schmidt F 0.00
32 J. Campbell J. Campbell 12' M 6.83
30 J. Cotterill J. Cotterill 32' M 7.13
10 J. Gullan J. Gullan 12' F 6.62
18 K. Fotheringham K. Fotheringham F 0.00
23 L. Chalmers L. Chalmers M 0.00
20 R. Sinclair R. Sinclair G 0.00
7 T. Steven T. Steven 23' F 6.91
Best on the pitch
T. Steward
T. Steward
G · ST
7.60
· 29 pass
D. Finlayson
D. Finlayson
D · ST
7.42
· 38 pass
J. Milne
J. Milne
D · Aberdeen
7.34
4 shots · 92 pass
C. Ronan
C. Ronan
M · Aberdeen
7.20
3 shots · 37 pass
J. Cotterill
J. Cotterill
M · ST
7.13
· 10 pass
C. Cadden
C. Cadden
D · Aberdeen
7.02
2 shots · 65 pass
Aberdeen Aberdeen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Müller G 90 6.39 — — 0 25 17% 0 — —
N. Guinness-Walker D 68 6.23 — — 0 25 18% 0 — —
G. Molloy D 90 6.42 — — 0 65 52% 3 — —
M. Knoester D 90 6.90 — — 0 77 62% 1 — —
J. Milne D 90 7.34 — — 4 92 76% 2 — —
C. Cadden D 89 7.02 — — 2 65 55% 1 — —
C. Ronan M 59 7.20 — — 3 37 35% 0 — —
F. Marshall M 59 6.21 — — 2 10 7% 0 — —
B. Lyons M 90 6.83 — — 1 46 41% 3 — —
K. Nisbet F 90 6.82 — — 2 17 14% 0 — —
A. Mouloua F 35 6.57 — — 1 9 4% 2 — —
A. Aremu M 1 0.00 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
H. Mahou M 22 6.29 — — 2 14 10% 0 — —
Lewis Smith F 55 6.98 — — 3 35 24% 1 — —
S. Armstrong M 31 6.60 — — 0 35 31% 0 — —
Tony Yogane F 31 6.86 — — 2 4 3% 0 — —
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Steward G 90 7.60 — — 0 29 18% 0 — —
M. Foulds D 90 6.74 — — 0 37 23% 3 — —
D. Finlayson D 89 7.42 — — 0 38 33% 0 — —
L. Smith D 90 6.35 — — 0 36 25% 2 — —
E. Alıç M 90 6.40 — — 0 18 12% 1 — —
J. Holt M 90 6.59 — — 1 33 27% 1 — —
R. McAlear M 90 6.65 — — 0 43 34% 0 — —
M. Todd M 67 6.31 — — 0 17 11% 0 — —
R. Paton M 58 6.53 — — 2 10 9% 0 — —
S. Stanton M 78 6.96 — — 0 15 13% 1 — —
J. Fowler F 78 6.76 1 — 2 12 8% 0 — —
B. Mikulić D 1 0.00 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
J. Campbell M 12 6.83 — — 0 2 1% 1 — —
J. Cotterill M 32 7.13 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
J. Gullan F 12 6.62 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
T. Steven F 23 6.91 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone?
The final score was Aberdeen 0–1 ST Johnstone.
What did the model predict before Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Aberdeen win, 36% to a draw, and 33% to an ST Johnstone win.