42'
(ast. J. Devaney)
R. King
80'
(ast. M. Mandron)
K. Phillips
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aberdeen a 52% win probability (draw 26%, ST Mirren 20%). The final result was Aberdeen 0–2 ST Mirren. In 3 previous meetings, Aberdeen have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for ST Mirren.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
5
0.52
Actual xG
1.46
3
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
1
12
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
16'
M. Fraser
42'
ast. J. Devaney ·
R. King⚽
L. Morrison
/ J. Milne
46'
A. Afeez
/ L. Cameron
46'
S. Robinson
66'
N. Devlin
/ D. Lobban
68'
K. Nisbet
/ T. Keskinen
68'
75'
J. Devaney
D. Geiger
79'
D. Geiger
/ G. Shinnie
80'
80'
ast. M. Mandron ·
K. Phillips⚽
90'+2
L. Douglas
/
K. Phillips
Pre-match prediction
52.72%
Aberdeen
26.45%
X
20.83%
ST ←
we assigned to the actual result (ST Mirren)
20.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
0.52
-0.88
0.63
1.46
+0.83
ST Mirren dominated by xG (1.46 vs 0.52).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
Per Kristian Bråtveit
G
Per Kristian Bråtveit
G
21
G. Molloy
D
G. Molloy
D
5
M. Knoester
D
M. Knoester
D
23
L. Morrison
45'
D
L. Morrison
45'
D
3
Mitchel Frame
M
Mitchel Frame
M
18
A. Palaversa
M
A. Palaversa
M
32
A. Aremu
45'
M
A. Aremu
45'
M
2
N. Devlin
68'
M
N. Devlin
68'
M
8
D. Geiger
80'
F
D. Geiger
80'
F
15
K. Nisbet
68'
F
K. Nisbet
68'
F
20
T. Olusanya
F
T. Olusanya
F
Bench
38
Dylan Lobban
22'
M
Dylan Lobban
22'
M
42
Elvis Bwomono
D
Elvis Bwomono
D
4
G. Shinnie
10'
M
22
J. Milne
45'
D
J. Milne
45'
D
14
Kenan Bilalovic
M
Kenan Bilalovic
M
29
K. Kjartansson
M
K. Kjartansson
M
25
L. Cameron
45'
M
L. Cameron
45'
M
13
N. Suman
G
N. Suman
G
81
T. Keskinen
22'
F
T. Keskinen
22'
F
27
R. Sinclair
G
R. Sinclair
G
22
M. Fraser
D
M. Fraser
D
13
A. Gogić
D
A. Gogić
D
4
Liam Donnelly
D
Liam Donnelly
D
6
M. O'Hara
M
M. O'Hara
M
21
M. Freckleton
M
M. Freckleton
M
8
J. Devaney
1 👟
M
J. Devaney
1 👟
M
16
Allan Campbell
M
5
R. King
1 ⚽
M
R. King
1 ⚽
M
9
M. Mandron
1 👟
F
M. Mandron
1 👟
F
88
K. Phillips
1 ⚽
89'
F
K. Phillips
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
35
Grant Tamosevicius
G
17
Jalmaro Calvin
F
2
J. Richardson
D
J. Richardson
D
20
J. Young
F
J. Young
F
32
Luke Douglas
1'
F
Luke Douglas
1'
F
7
R. Idowu
M
R. Idowu
M
41
Ruari Duff
F
Ruari Duff
F
3
S. Tanser
D
S. Tanser
D
38
Thomas Falconer
D
Thomas Falconer
D
Best on the pitch
J. Devaney
M · ST
7.50
1 👟
· 41 pass
K. Phillips
F · ST
7.30
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 18 pass
R. King
M · ST
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
Allan Campbell
M · ST
7.20
· 47 pass
N. Devlin
M · Aberdeen
7.20
· 28 pass
M. Freckleton
M · ST
7.20
· 40 pass
Aberdeen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per Kristian Bråtveit | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | — | — | — |
| G. Molloy | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 65% | — | — | — |
| M. Knoester | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Morrison | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Mitchel Frame | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Palaversa | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 72 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Aremu | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Devlin | M | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Geiger | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Nisbet | F | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| T. Olusanya | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Lobban | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| G. Shinnie | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Milne | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| L. Cameron | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| T. Keskinen | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
ST Mirren — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sinclair | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Fraser | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Gogić | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Liam Donnelly | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| M. O'Hara | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Freckleton | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Devaney | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Allan Campbell | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| R. King | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Mandron | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| K. Phillips | F | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Luke Douglas | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
The final score was Aberdeen 0–2 ST Mirren.
What did the model predict before Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Aberdeen win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an ST Mirren win.