Skip to main content
← FAW Championship

Aberystwyth Town - Swansea University

FAW Championship September 25, 2026 21:00
Aberystwyth Town
#2 · 15 pts
vs
Swansea University
#1 · 16 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.8%
Win
Aberystwyth Town
26.59%
Draw
41.61%
Win
Swansea University
2.36
Expected xG
3.18

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–2 (7.25%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 27%
2 42%
Double Chance
1X 58%
X2 68%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 60%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Swansea University a 41% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Aberystwyth Town. Expected goals are 2.4 for Aberystwyth Town and 3.2 for Swansea University (total 5.5), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 7.25% probability.

Season Stats

Aberystwyth Town
6W 2D 7L
Swansea University
5W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
3.7
1.7
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
100%
73%
O 2.5
100%
47%
BTTS
33%
27%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
Aberystwyth Town
6W 1D 3L · at home
Swansea University
3W 0D 0L · away
2.1
gls/g
3.7
1.3
Conceded
0.3
60%
Win %
100%
70%
Win or Draw
100%
80%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
33%
50%
BTTS
33%
30%
Clean Sht
67%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Aberystwyth Town Swansea University →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.4% 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 1.7% 1.1%
1 0.9% 2.9% 4.7% 5.0% 3.9% 2.5%
2 1.1% 3.5% 5.5% 5.9% 4.7% 3.0%
3 0.9% 2.7% 4.3% 4.6% 3.7% 2.3%
4 0.5% 1.6% 2.6% 2.7% 2.2% 1.4%
5 0.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6%

Recent form

Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town
W Caerphilly Athletic 2–3
W llanelli AFC 4–0
W Pontardawe Town 1–0
W Llantwit Major 5–1
L Treowen Stars 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Swansea University Swansea University
W Pontardawe Town 4–0
D Pontypridd Town 4–4
W Caerau (Ely) 1–5
W llanelli AFC 3–0
W Baglan Dragons 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 40%

Playing profile

Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town
Attack
64
Defence
71
Form
70
Swansea University Swansea University
Attack
88
Defence
78
Form
85
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

South

# Team G Pts
1 Swansea University Swansea University 6 16
2 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 6 15
3 Treowen Stars Treowen Stars 7 13
4 Pontypridd Town Pontypridd Town 6 13
5 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 8 13
6 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 7 11
7 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 7 10
8 Afan Lido Afan Lido 8 10
9 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 7 9
10 Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions 6 9
11 Caerphilly Athletic Caerphilly Athletic 7 8
12 Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians 5 7
13 Newport City Newport City 5 6
14 Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town 6 3
15 llanelli AFC llanelli AFC 8 2
16 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major 5 1

What's at stake · South

Top 2 advance to the next round

Aberystwyth Town Swansea University
Current #2 #1
→ Aberystwyth Town #1 #2
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Swansea University #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aberystwyth Town vs Swansea University?
The model gives Aberystwyth Town a 31% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 41% for an Swansea University win.
How many goals are expected in Aberystwyth Town vs Swansea University?
Expected goals: Aberystwyth Town 2.4, Swansea University 3.2 (total 5.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Aberystwyth Town vs Swansea University?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.25%.