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Abia Warriors - Ikorodu City

#16 · 1 pts
vs
#5 · 3 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 27.0°C 💨 10 km/h 🌧️ 100% · Umuahia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.82%
Win
Abia Warriors
32.65%
Draw
33.53%
Win
Ikorodu City
1.55
Expected xG
1.49

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.13%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
✓ 50.0% hit rate (16 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Abia Warriors a 33% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Ikorodu City. Expected goals are 1.5 for Abia Warriors and 1.5 for Ikorodu City (total 3.0), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.13% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Abia Warriors have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ikorodu City.

Season Stats

Abia Warriors
5W 2D 8L
Ikorodu City
7W 2D 6L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.6
1.4
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
67%
33%
BTTS
60%
27%
Clean Sht
27%
Based on the last 15 matches in NPFL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Abia Warriors
5W 3D 2L · at home
Ikorodu City
1W 1D 8L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.6
0.7
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
10%
80%
Win or Draw
20%
60%
O 1.5
50%
30%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
30%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Abia Warriors Ikorodu City →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8% 7.2% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.4% 11.1% 8.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.8% 8.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.0% 4.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

L Ranchers Bees 4–0
D Kun Khalifat FC 0–0
L Warri Wolves 2–1
L Kun Khalifat FC 0–2
L Rivers United 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
W Ranchers Bees 3–1
L Enugu Rangers 1–2
L Katsina United 4–1
W Wikki Tourist 3–1
L Abia Warriors 2–1

Playing profile

Abia Warriors Abia Warriors
Attack
9
Defence
37
Form
22
Ikorodu City Ikorodu City
Attack
29
Defence
28
Form
32
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Abia Warriors
0
Draw
1
Ikorodu City
19 Apr 2026 NPFL 2–1
30 Nov 2025 NPFL 0–1

League Table

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City?
The model gives Abia Warriors a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Ikorodu City win.
How many goals are expected in Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City?
Expected goals: Abia Warriors 1.5, Ikorodu City 1.5 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.13%.