Egyptian Premier League
· Regular Season - 6
October 13, 2026 16:00
Ali Hussein
(ast. Ahmed Dahesh)
90'+4
66'
(ast. Abdelrahman Medhat)
Mohamed Eid
83'
Fathy Gamal
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Asyut Petrol a 31% win probability (draw 38%, Abu Qair Semad 29%). The final result was Abu Qair Semad 1–2 Asyut Petrol.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
4
1.06
Actual xG
0.78
2
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
7
16
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Omar Ibrahim
43'
Omar Ibrahim
/ Mohamed Ashraf
56'
Mostafa Abdelrehim
/ Quaison Kofi Gideon
56'
Ahmed Khaled
/ Mahmoud Abou-Gouda
64'
Favour Akem
/ Mohamed Camara
64'
66'
ast. Abdelrahman Medhat ·
Mohamed Eid⚽
66'
Mostafa Ahmed Abdel Hamid
/
Abdel Rahman Kamal El Khamisi
Mohamed Alaa
/ Ayman Abdelhamid El Gazar
70'
74'
Fathy Gamal
/
Mohamed Eid
74'
Abou Bakr Fawzi
/
Ibrahim Abass
78'
Ahmed Magdy
/
Mahmoud Alaa
78'
Khaled Abdel Aal
/
Abdel Rahman Mohamed Eissa
Quaison Kofi Gideon
81'
83'
Fathy Gamal⚽
⚽Ali Hussein
· ast. Ahmed Dahesh
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
29.42%
Abu
38.93%
X
31.65%
Asyut ←
we assigned to the actual result (Asyut Petrol)
31.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.30
1.06
+0.76
0.48
0.78
+0.3
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 0.78).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Mohamed Zakaria Shika
G
Mohamed Zakaria Shika
G
27
Ahmed Dahesh
1 👟
D
Ahmed Dahesh
1 👟
D
4
M. Dabash
D
M. Dabash
D
20
Ahmed Awad
D
Ahmed Awad
D
6
M. Alaa
70'
D
M. Alaa
70'
D
23
F. Akem
64'
M
F. Akem
64'
M
14
R. Milad
M
R. Milad
M
15
O. Ibrahim
56'
M
O. Ibrahim
56'
M
11
Mostafa Rahim
56'
M
Mostafa Rahim
56'
M
22
Ahmed Khaled
64'
F
Ahmed Khaled
64'
F
29
Ali Hussein
1 ⚽
F
Ali Hussein
1 ⚽
F
Bench
24
A. El Gazar
20'
D
A. El Gazar
20'
D
8
E. Hamdi
M
E. Hamdi
M
3
Gaber Kamel
D
Gaber Kamel
D
9
Mahmoud Abou Gouda
26'
F
Mahmoud Abou Gouda
26'
F
1
M. Genesh
G
M. Genesh
G
30
Y. Hamdi
M
Y. Hamdi
M
25
A. Ahmed
G
A. Ahmed
G
24
Mahmoud Alaa
D
Mahmoud Alaa
D
20
A. Shokry
D
A. Shokry
D
5
Mahmoud Alaa
D
Mahmoud Alaa
D
7
Ahmed Younes
M
Ahmed Younes
M
26
A. R. Al Khamisi
66'
M
A. R. Al Khamisi
66'
M
19
I. Abbas
74'
M
I. Abbas
74'
M
18
Mohamed Hesha
78'
M
Mohamed Hesha
78'
M
30
34'
M
35
C. C. Bodne
F
C. C. Bodne
F
9
M. Eid
1 ⚽
74'
F
M. Eid
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
6
Ahmed Magdy
12'
D
Ahmed Magdy
12'
D
21
F. Abu Bakr
16'
M
F. Abu Bakr
16'
M
13
Ismail Ashraf
F
Ismail Ashraf
F
38
Joshua Egagy
F
Joshua Egagy
F
34
K. Abdel Aal
12'
D
K. Abdel Aal
12'
D
11
Mostafa Sadafa
24'
F
Mostafa Sadafa
24'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Eid
F · Asyut
8.12
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Ali Hussein
F · Abu
7.88
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 12 pass
Ahmed Dahesh
D · Abu
7.52
1 👟
· 73 pass
M. Alaa
D · Abu
7.19
· 45 pass
M. Dabash
D · Abu
7.13
· 81 pass
Mahmoud Alaa
D · Asyut
6.93
· 30 pass
Abu Qair Semad — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Zakaria Shika | G | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Ahmed Dahesh | D | 90 | 7.52 | — | 1 | 0 | 73 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Dabash | D | 90 | 7.13 | — | — | 0 | 81 | 74% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Awad | D | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Alaa | D | 70 | 7.19 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Akem | M | 64 | 6.14 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Milad | M | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Ibrahim | M | 56 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Mostafa Rahim | M | 56 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Khaled | F | 64 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Hussein | F | 90 | 7.88 | 1 | — | 4 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. El Gazar | D | 20 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Abou Gouda | F | 26 | 6.44 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Asyut Petrol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ahmed | G | 90 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Alaa | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Shokry | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Alaa | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Younes | M | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. R. Al Khamisi | M | 66 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Abbas | M | 74 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Mohamed Hesha | M | 78 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 34 | 5.93 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| C. C. Bodne | F | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Eid | F | 74 | 8.12 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Ahmed Magdy | D | 12 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Abu Bakr | M | 16 | 6.51 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Abdel Aal | D | 12 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Mostafa Sadafa | F | 24 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol?
The final score was Abu Qair Semad 1–2 Asyut Petrol.
What did the model predict before Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Abu Qair Semad win, 38% to a draw, and 31% to an Asyut Petrol win.