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AC Milan - Ararat-Armenia

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
AC Milan
#23 · 0 pts
vs
Ararat-Armenia
#2 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.7%
Win
AC Milan
30.28%
Draw
30.02%
Win
Ararat-Armenia
1.42
Expected xG
0.93

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.54%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 30%
2 30%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 70%
X2 60%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AC Milan a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Ararat-Armenia. Expected goals are 1.4 for AC Milan and 0.9 for Ararat-Armenia (total 2.3), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.54% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ AC Milan Ararat-Armenia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.6% 12.6% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 8.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% — —
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

AC Milan AC Milan
No data available
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
W Universitatea Craiova 1–0
D Universitatea Craiova 1–1

Playing profile

AC Milan AC Milan
Attack
43
Defence
59
Form
49
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
Attack
32
Defence
78
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AC Milan vs Ararat-Armenia?
The model gives AC Milan a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Ararat-Armenia win.
How many goals are expected in AC Milan vs Ararat-Armenia?
Expected goals: AC Milan 1.4, Ararat-Armenia 0.9 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in AC Milan vs Ararat-Armenia?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.54%.