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AC Milan - Ararat-Armenia

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
AC Milan
#24 · 3 pts
vs
Ararat-Armenia
#36 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.7%
Win
AC Milan
30.28%
Draw
30.02%
Win
Ararat-Armenia
1.42
Expected xG
0.93

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.54%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 40%
X 30%
2 30%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 70%
X2 60%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AC Milan a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Ararat-Armenia. Expected goals are 1.4 for AC Milan and 0.9 for Ararat-Armenia (total 2.3), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.54% probability.

Season Stats

AC Milan
1W 0D 2L
Ararat-Armenia
1W 1D 3L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
0.8
1.7
Conceded
2.4
4.7
Shots OT
2.4
5.0
Corners
2.6
48%
Poss.
37%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
80%
67%
O 2.5
60%
0%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
AC Milan
0W 0D 1L · at home
Ararat-Armenia
0W 1D 1L · away
0.0
gls/g
1.0
2.0
Conceded
2.0
0%
Win %
0%
0%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
100%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ AC Milan Ararat-Armenia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.6% 12.6% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 8.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% — —
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

AC Milan AC Milan
L Bournemouth 3–0
W Red Bull Salzburg 0–4
L Benfica 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
L AZ Alkmaar 0–4
L Jagiellonia 3–1
L Sparta Praha 1–4
W Universitatea Craiova 1–0
D Universitatea Craiova 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 40%

Playing profile

AC Milan AC Milan
Attack
52
Defence
62
Form
50
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
Attack
44
Defence
65
Form
28
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AC Milan vs Ararat-Armenia?
The model gives AC Milan a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Ararat-Armenia win.
How many goals are expected in AC Milan vs Ararat-Armenia?
Expected goals: AC Milan 1.4, Ararat-Armenia 0.9 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in AC Milan vs Ararat-Armenia?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.54%.