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Serie A · Regular Season - 36 May 10, 2026 20:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
AC Milan
#12 · 0 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Atalanta
#1 · 0 pts
S. Pavlovic (ast. S. Ricci) 88'
C. Nkunku 90'+4 (pen.)
7' Ederson
29' (ast. N. Krstovic) D. Zappacosta
51' (ast. Ederson) G. Raspadori
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 37% win probability (draw 34%, AC Milan 28%). The final result was AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta. In 1 previous meetings, AC Milan have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Atalanta.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
5
1.94
Actual xG
1.08
2
Saves
8
57%
Possession
43%
2
Corners
2
13
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
Ederson⚽
29'
ast. N. Krstovic · D. Zappacosta⚽
R. Leao
34'
↕ R. Loftus-Cheek / C. Nkunku
46'
48'
O. Kossounou / G. Scalvini ↕
51'
ast. Ederson · G. Raspadori⚽
55'
R. Bellanova / D. Zappacosta ↕
↕ R. Leao / Y. Fofana
58'
↕ S. Gimenez / N. Fullkrug
58'
↕ K. De Winter / Z. Athekame
58'
63'
H. Ahanor / O. Kossounou ↕
63'
M. Pasalic / C. De Ketelaere ↕
70'
I. Hien
↕ D. Bartesaghi / P. Estupinan
80'
⚽S. Pavlovic · ast. S. Ricci
88'
P. Estupinan
89'
⚽C. Nkunku (pen.)
90'+4
90'+5
N. Krstovic
90'+6
R. Bellanova
A. Saelemaekers
90'
Pre-match prediction
28.01%
AC
34.23%
X
37.76%
Atalanta ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atalanta) 37.76% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AC
0.64
1.94
+1.3
Atalanta
1.03
1.08
+0.05
AC Milan dominated by xG (1.94 vs 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atalanta Atalanta 0 0
2 Bologna Bologna 0 0
3 Cagliari Cagliari 0 0
4 Como Como 0 0
5 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0 0
6 Frosinone Frosinone 0 0
7 Genoa Genoa 0 0
8 Inter Inter 0 0
9 Juventus Juventus 0 0
10 Lazio Lazio 0 0
11 Lecce Lecce 0 0
12 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
13 Monza Monza 0 0
14 Napoli Napoli 0 0
15 Parma Parma 0 0
16 AS Roma AS Roma 0 0
17 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0 0
18 Torino Torino 0 0
19 Udinese Udinese 0 0
20 Venezia Venezia 0 0
Lineups
AC Milan AC Milan 3-5-2
16 Mike Maignan Mike Maignan G 6.20
31 S. Pavlović S. Pavlović 1 ⚽ D 7.30
46 Matteo Gabbia Matteo Gabbia D 6.70
5 Koni De Winter Koni De Winter 58' D 6.00
33 Davide Bartesaghi Davide Bartesaghi 80' M 6.30
12 Adrien Rabiot Adrien Rabiot M 6.90
4 Samuele Ricci Samuele Ricci 1 👟 M 7.60
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek Ruben Loftus-Cheek 45' M 6.50
56 Alexis Saelemaekers Alexis Saelemaekers M 6.90
10 Rafael Leão Rafael Leão 58' F 6.60
7 Santiago Giménez Santiago Giménez 58' F 6.90
Bench
30 Ardon Jashari Ardon Jashari M
18 Christopher Nkunku Christopher Nkunku 1 ⚽ 45' F 8.50
27 David Odogu David Odogu D
37 Matteo Pittarella Matteo Pittarella G
9 N. Füllkrug N. Füllkrug 32' F 6.60
2 P. Estupiñán P. Estupiñán 10' D 7.00
1 Pietro Terracciano Pietro Terracciano G
19 Youssouf Fofana Youssouf Fofana 32' M 6.70
24 Z. Athekame Z. Athekame 32' D 6.90
Atalanta Atalanta 3-4-2-1
29 Marco Carnesecchi Marco Carnesecchi G 8.70
23 Sead Kolašinac Sead Kolašinac D 6.20
4 I. Hien I. Hien D 6.90
42 Giorgio Scalvini Giorgio Scalvini 48' D 6.90
59
Nicola Zalewski M 6.70
13 Éderson Éderson 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.20
15 M. de Roon M. de Roon M 6.20
77 Davide Zappacosta Davide Zappacosta 1 ⚽ 55' M 7.20
18 Giacomo Raspadori Giacomo Raspadori 1 ⚽ F 7.30
17 Charles De Ketelaere Charles De Ketelaere 63' F 6.30
90 N. Krstović N. Krstović 1 👟 F 6.00
Bench
45 Dominic Vavassori Dominic Vavassori F
31 Francesco Rossi Francesco Rossi G
9 G. Scamacca G. Scamacca F
69 Honest Ahanor Honest Ahanor 27' D 6.30
7 Kamaldeen Sulemana Kamaldeen Sulemana F
10 Lazar Samardžić Lazar Samardžić M
57 Marco Sportiello Marco Sportiello G
8 Mario Pašalić Mario Pašalić 27' M 6.60
5 Mitchel Bakker Mitchel Bakker D
3 O. Kossounou O. Kossounou 15' D 6.60
16 Raoul Bellanova Raoul Bellanova 35' D 6.30
40 Relja Obrić Relja Obrić D
6 Yunus Musah Yunus Musah M
Best on the pitch
Marco Carnesecchi
Marco Carnesecchi
G · Atalanta
8.70
· 43 pass
Christopher Nkunku
Christopher Nkunku
F · AC
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots · 20 pass
Éderson
Éderson
M · Atalanta
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 40 pass
Samuele Ricci
Samuele Ricci
M · AC
7.60
1 👟
· 51 pass
S. Pavlović
S. Pavlović
D · AC
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 73 pass
Giacomo Raspadori
Giacomo Raspadori
F · Atalanta
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
AC Milan AC Milan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mike Maignan G 90 6.20 — — — 21 19% — — —
S. Pavlović D 90 7.30 1 — 2 73 69% 2 — —
Matteo Gabbia D 90 6.70 — — 1 70 62% 3 — —
Koni De Winter D 58 6.00 — — — 65 56% 1 — —
Davide Bartesaghi M 80 6.30 — — — 41 34% — — —
Adrien Rabiot M 90 6.90 — — 3 42 39% 1 1 —
Samuele Ricci M 90 7.60 — 1 — 51 48% 2 — —
Ruben Loftus-Cheek M 45 6.50 — — — 22 21% — — —
Alexis Saelemaekers M 90 6.90 — — 1 37 31% 2 1 —
Rafael Leão F 58 6.60 — — 3 25 20% 1 1 —
Santiago Giménez F 58 6.90 — — 2 16 13% 1 — —
Christopher Nkunku F 45 8.50 1 — 4 20 19% — — —
N. Füllkrug F 32 6.60 — — — 14 12% — — —
P. Estupiñán D 10 7.00 — — — 10 8% — 1 —
Youssouf Fofana M 32 6.70 — — — 19 15% — — —
Z. Athekame D 32 6.90 — — 1 15 12% — — —
Atalanta Atalanta — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marco Carnesecchi G 90 8.70 — — — 43 19% — — —
Sead Kolašinac D 90 6.20 — — — 40 38% 1 — —
I. Hien D 90 6.90 — — — 37 36% 4 1 —
Giorgio Scalvini D 48 6.90 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
Nicola Zalewski M 90 6.70 — — 1 34 26% 1 — —
Éderson M 90 8.20 1 1 1 40 37% 2 — —
M. de Roon M 90 6.20 — — — 47 37% 3 — —
Davide Zappacosta M 55 7.20 1 — 1 21 16% — — —
Giacomo Raspadori F 90 7.30 1 — 2 28 22% 2 — —
Charles De Ketelaere F 63 6.30 — — — 39 31% 1 — —
N. Krstović F 90 6.00 — 1 2 21 18% 1 1 —
Honest Ahanor D 27 6.30 — — — 10 9% 1 — —
Mario Pašalić M 27 6.60 — — — 8 6% — — —
O. Kossounou D 15 6.60 — — — 7 7% — — —
Raoul Bellanova D 35 6.30 — — — 11 7% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AC Milan vs Atalanta?
The final score was AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta.
What did the model predict before AC Milan vs Atalanta?
The model assigned 28% probability to a AC Milan win, 34% to a draw, and 37% to an Atalanta win.