Europa League
· League Stage - 1
September 16, 2026 21:00
16'
(ast. J. Kaminski)
D. Lukebakio
53'
(ast. S. El Karouani)
J. Kaminski
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 47% win probability (draw 23%, AC Milan 29%). The final result was AC Milan 0–2 Benfica.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
4
0.96
Actual xG
0.64
2
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
9
Corners
1
9
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
S. Pavlovic
11'
16'
ast. J. Kaminski ·
D. Lukebakio⚽
26'
S. El Karouani
37'
J. Duran
O. Hutchinson
/ C. Pulisic
46'
F. Terracciano
/ M. Gila
46'
53'
ast. S. El Karouani ·
J. Kaminski⚽
A. Cisse
/ D. Moreira
57'
D. Bartesaghi
/ A. Saelemaekers
57'
70'
L. Barreiro
/
F. Aursnes
70'
G. Prestianni
/
G. Sudakov
A. Jashari
/ A. Rabiot
73'
77'
D. Banjaqui
80'
A. Schjelderup
/
J. Kaminski
80'
V. Pavlidis
/
J. Duran
84'
L. Barreiro
88'
S. Dahl
/
S. El Karouani
90'+2
V. Pavlidis
Pre-match prediction
29.32%
AC
23.47%
X
47.21%
Benfica ←
we assigned to the actual result (Benfica)
47.21%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.67
0.96
-0.71
3.45
0.64
-2.81
AC Milan dominated by xG (0.96 vs 0.64).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
M. Maignan
G
M. Maignan
G
31
S. Pavlović
D
S. Pavlović
D
5
K. De Winter
D
K. De Winter
D
42
F. Terracciano
45'
D
F. Terracciano
45'
D
33
D. Bartesaghi
57'
M
D. Bartesaghi
57'
M
80
Y. Musah
M
Y. Musah
M
30
A. Jashari
73'
M
A. Jashari
73'
M
21
S. Chukwueze
M
S. Chukwueze
M
70
A. Cissè
57'
F
A. Cissè
57'
F
20
O. Hutchinson
45'
F
O. Hutchinson
45'
F
9
Gonçalo Ramos
F
Gonçalo Ramos
F
Bench
12
A. Rabiot
21'
M
A. Rabiot
21'
M
56
A. Saelemaekers
37'
F
A. Saelemaekers
37'
F
11
C. Pulišić
49'
M
C. Pulišić
49'
M
22
Diego Moreira
37'
F
Diego Moreira
37'
F
73
F. Camarda
F
F. Camarda
F
23
F. Tomori
D
F. Tomori
D
14
L. Modrić
M
L. Modrić
M
96
L. Torriani
G
L. Torriani
G
34
Mario Gila
49'
D
Mario Gila
49'
D
46
M. Gabbia
D
M. Gabbia
D
2
P. Estupiñán
D
P. Estupiñán
D
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
M
R. Loftus-Cheek
M
1
A. Trubin
G
A. Trubin
G
34
S. El Karouani
1 👟
88'
D
S. El Karouani
1 👟
88'
D
44
Tomás Araújo
D
Tomás Araújo
D
3
A. Circati
D
A. Circati
D
58
Daniel Banjaqui
D
Daniel Banjaqui
D
36
João Palhinha
M
João Palhinha
M
8
F. Aursnes
70'
M
F. Aursnes
70'
M
13
J. Kamiński
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
J. Kamiński
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
10
H. Sudakov
70'
M
H. Sudakov
70'
M
11
D. Lukebakio
1 ⚽
M
D. Lukebakio
1 ⚽
M
22
J. Durán
80'
F
J. Durán
80'
F
Bench
72
A. Cabral
F
A. Cabral
F
21
A. Schjelderup
14'
F
A. Schjelderup
14'
F
30
C. Echeverri
M
C. Echeverri
M
2
C. Lenglet
D
C. Lenglet
D
5
Enzo Barrenechea
M
Enzo Barrenechea
M
25
G. Prestianni
24'
F
G. Prestianni
24'
F
18
L. Barreiro
24'
M
L. Barreiro
24'
M
16
Manu
M
Manu
M
27
Rafa
M
Rafa
M
24
Samuel Soares
G
Samuel Soares
G
26
S. Dahl
6'
D
S. Dahl
6'
D
14
V. Pavlidis
14'
F
V. Pavlidis
14'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Trubin
G · Benfica
8.50
· 33 pass
Tomás Araújo
D · Benfica
8.20
· 41 pass
D. Lukebakio
M · Benfica
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 29 pass
J. Kamiński
M · Benfica
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
Daniel Banjaqui
D · Benfica
7.50
· 39 pass
João Palhinha
M · Benfica
7.50
· 26 pass
AC Milan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| S. Pavlović | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 71% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. De Winter | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 58% | — | — | — |
| F. Terracciano | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 35% | — | — | — |
| D. Bartesaghi | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Musah | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 63% | — | — | — |
| A. Jashari | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 46% | — | — | — |
| S. Chukwueze | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cissè | F | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| O. Hutchinson | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | F | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rabiot | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Saelemaekers | F | 37 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| C. Pulišić | M | 49 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreira | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Mario Gila | D | 49 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
Benfica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Trubin | G | 94 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. El Karouani | D | 88 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 42 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 94 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Circati | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Banjaqui | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 7 | 1 | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Aursnes | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Kamiński | M | 80 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| H. Sudakov | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | M | 94 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 29 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Durán | F | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. Prestianni | F | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Barreiro | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Dahl | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AC Milan vs Benfica?
The final score was AC Milan 0–2 Benfica.
What did the model predict before AC Milan vs Benfica?
The model assigned 29% probability to a AC Milan win, 23% to a draw, and 47% to an Benfica win.