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Serie A · Regular Season - 38 May 24, 2026 20:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
AC Milan
#5 · 11 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Cagliari
#4 · 12 pts
A. Saelemaekers (ast. S. Gimenez) 2'
20' G. Borrelli
57' J. Rodriguez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 49% win probability (draw 28%, Cagliari 21%). The final result was AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari. In 1 previous meetings, AC Milan have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cagliari.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
17
3
Shots on target
10
1.74
Actual xG
2.70
9
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
5
16
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
J. Pedro
⚽A. Saelemaekers · ast. S. Gimenez
2'
20'
G. Borrelli⚽
↕ S. Gimenez / C. Pulisic
46'
S. Pavlovic
56'
57'
J. Rodriguez⚽
M. Maignan
58'
↕ F. Tomori / Z. Athekame
61'
↕ C. Nkunku / N. Fullkrug
61'
↕ A. Jashari / L. Modric
62'
62'
A. Dossena / J. Rodriguez ↕
63'
M. Palestra / J. Pedro ↕
↕ Y. Fofana / R. Leao
68'
74'
P. Mendy / G. Borrelli ↕
74'
I. Sulemana / A. Deiola ↕
90'+5
M. Felici / S. Esposito ↕
90'+6
I. Sulemana
Pre-match prediction
49.63%
AC
28.54%
X
21.83%
Cagliari ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cagliari) 21.83% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AC
1.15
1.74
+0.59
Cagliari
0.78
2.70
+1.92
Cagliari dominated by xG (2.70 vs 1.74). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AS Roma AS Roma 5 13
2 Inter Inter 5 13
3 Lazio Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Cagliari 5 12
5 AC Milan AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Frosinone 5 10
7 Juventus Juventus 5 10
8 Como Como 5 10
9 Napoli Napoli 5 7
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 5 7
11 Atalanta Atalanta 5 6
12 Lecce Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Udinese 5 4
14 Torino Torino 5 4
15 Parma Parma 5 4
16 Monza Monza 5 4
17 Fiorentina Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna Bologna 5 2
19 Genoa Genoa 5 1
20 Venezia Venezia 5 0
Lineups
AC Milan AC Milan 3-5-2
16 M. Maignan M. Maignan G 9.70
31 S. Pavlović S. Pavlović D 6.70
46 Matteo Gabbia Matteo Gabbia D 7.50
23 F. Tomori F. Tomori 61' D 6.30
33 Davide Bartesaghi Davide Bartesaghi M 7.20
12 A. Rabiot A. Rabiot M 7.60
30 A. Jashari A. Jashari 62' M 6.60
19 Y. Fofana Y. Fofana 68' M 6.20
56 A. Saelemaekers A. Saelemaekers 1 ⚽ M 7.90
18 C. Nkunku C. Nkunku 61' F 6.60
7 Santiago Giménez Santiago Giménez 1 👟 45' F 6.30
Bench
25 Cheveyo Mul-Balentien Cheveyo Mul-Balentien F
11 C. Pulišić C. Pulišić 50' M 6.70
27 D. Odogu D. Odogu D
45 Jacopo Sardo Jacopo Sardo M
5 K. De Winter K. De Winter D
14 L. Modrić L. Modrić 33' M 7.50
96 Lorenzo Torriani Lorenzo Torriani G
37 Matteo Pittarella Matteo Pittarella G
9 N. Füllkrug N. Füllkrug 34' F 6.70
2 Pervis Estupiñán Pervis Estupiñán D
10 Rafael Leão Rafael Leão 27' F 7.20
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek Ruben Loftus-Cheek M
4 Samuele Ricci Samuele Ricci M
34 Valeri Ivanov Vladimirov Valeri Ivanov Vladimirov D
24 Z. Athekame Z. Athekame 34' D 7.20
Cagliari Cagliari 3-5-2
1 Elia Caprile Elia Caprile G 6.90
15 Juan Rodríguez Juan Rodríguez 1 ⚽ 62' D 7.00
26 Yerry Mina Yerry Mina D 6.30
32 Zé Pedro Zé Pedro 63' D 6.70
33 A. Obert A. Obert M 6.90
14 A. Deiola A. Deiola 74' M 6.30
10 G. Gaetano G. Gaetano M 7.20
8 M. Adopo M. Adopo M 6.50
28 G. Zappa G. Zappa M 6.50
94 S. Esposito S. Esposito F 7.70
29 Gennaro Borrelli Gennaro Borrelli 1 ⚽ 74' F 8.30
Bench
19 A. Belotti A. Belotti F
20 Agustín Albarracín Agustín Albarracín F
22 Alberto Dossena Alberto Dossena 33' D 6.30
41 Alessandro Sabino Russo Alessandro Sabino Russo M
12 A. Sherri A. Sherri G
24 Giuseppe Ciocci Giuseppe Ciocci G
25
I. Sulemana 21' M 6.50
38 Ivan Sulev Ivan Sulev M
4 L. Mazzitelli L. Mazzitelli M
2 Marco Palestra Marco Palestra 32' D 6.90
17 M. Felici M. Felici F
36 N. Grandu N. Grandu F
18 O. Raterink O. Raterink D
31 Paul Mendy Paul Mendy 21' F 6.90
37 Yael Trepy Yael Trepy F
Best on the pitch
M. Maignan
M. Maignan
G · AC
9.70
· 23 pass
Gennaro Borrelli
Gennaro Borrelli
F · Cagliari
8.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 12 pass
A. Saelemaekers
A. Saelemaekers
M · AC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 37 pass
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
F · Cagliari
7.70
2 shots · 49 pass
A. Rabiot
A. Rabiot
M · AC
7.60
4 shots · 48 pass
Matteo Gabbia
Matteo Gabbia
D · AC
7.50
· 58 pass
AC Milan AC Milan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Maignan G 95 9.70 — — — 23 19% — 1 —
S. Pavlović D 95 6.70 — — 1 64 59% 1 1 —
Matteo Gabbia D 95 7.50 — — — 58 53% 1 — —
F. Tomori D 61 6.30 — — — 44 41% — — —
Davide Bartesaghi M 95 7.20 — — — 39 35% 2 — —
A. Rabiot M 95 7.60 — — 4 48 44% 2 — —
A. Jashari M 62 6.60 — — — 28 25% — — —
Y. Fofana M 68 6.20 — — 1 18 14% 1 — —
A. Saelemaekers M 95 7.90 1 — 1 37 26% 3 — —
C. Nkunku F 61 6.60 — — 1 15 12% — — —
Santiago Giménez F 45 6.30 — 1 2 4 4% 1 — —
C. Pulišić M 50 6.70 — — 3 18 15% 1 — —
L. Modrić M 33 7.50 — — 1 21 16% 2 — —
N. Füllkrug F 34 6.70 — — — 11 8% — — —
Rafael Leão F 27 7.20 — — — 9 9% — — —
Z. Athekame D 34 7.20 — — — 16 14% 2 — —
Cagliari Cagliari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Elia Caprile G 95 6.90 — — — 29 20% — — —
Juan Rodríguez D 62 7.00 1 — 1 51 47% 1 — —
Yerry Mina D 95 6.30 — — — 57 55% — — —
Zé Pedro D 63 6.70 — — 2 57 53% — 1 —
A. Obert M 95 6.90 — — — 25 21% 3 — —
A. Deiola M 74 6.30 — — 2 30 24% — — —
G. Gaetano M 95 7.20 — — 4 76 73% 1 — —
M. Adopo M 95 6.50 — — — 27 23% 2 — —
G. Zappa M 95 6.50 — — 1 37 33% — — —
S. Esposito F 95 7.70 — — 2 49 41% 4 — —
Gennaro Borrelli F 74 8.30 1 — 4 12 8% — — —
Alberto Dossena D 33 6.30 — — — 13 11% 1 — —
I. Sulemana M 21 6.50 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
Marco Palestra D 32 6.90 — — — 10 8% — — —
Paul Mendy F 21 6.90 — — 1 7 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AC Milan vs Cagliari?
The final score was AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari.
What did the model predict before AC Milan vs Cagliari?
The model assigned 49% probability to a AC Milan win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Cagliari win.