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Serie A · Regular Season - 38 May 24, 2026 20:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
AC Milan
#12 · 0 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Cagliari
#3 · 0 pts
A. Saelemaekers (ast. S. Gimenez) 2'
20' G. Borrelli
57' J. Rodriguez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 49% win probability (draw 28%, Cagliari 21%). The final result was AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari. In 1 previous meetings, AC Milan have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cagliari.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
17
3
Shots on target
10
1.74
Actual xG
2.70
9
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
5
16
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
J. Pedro
⚽A. Saelemaekers · ast. S. Gimenez
2'
20'
G. Borrelli⚽
↕ S. Gimenez / C. Pulisic
46'
S. Pavlovic
56'
57'
J. Rodriguez⚽
M. Maignan
58'
↕ F. Tomori / Z. Athekame
61'
↕ C. Nkunku / N. Fullkrug
61'
↕ A. Jashari / L. Modric
62'
62'
A. Dossena / J. Rodriguez ↕
63'
M. Palestra / J. Pedro ↕
↕ Y. Fofana / R. Leao
68'
74'
P. Mendy / G. Borrelli ↕
74'
I. Sulemana / A. Deiola ↕
90'+5
M. Felici / S. Esposito ↕
90'+6
I. Sulemana
Pre-match prediction
49.63%
AC
28.54%
X
21.83%
Cagliari ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cagliari) 21.83% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AC
1.15
1.74
+0.59
Cagliari
0.78
2.70
+1.92
Cagliari dominated by xG (2.70 vs 1.74). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atalanta Atalanta 0 0
2 Bologna Bologna 0 0
3 Cagliari Cagliari 0 0
4 Como Como 0 0
5 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0 0
6 Frosinone Frosinone 0 0
7 Genoa Genoa 0 0
8 Inter Inter 0 0
9 Juventus Juventus 0 0
10 Lazio Lazio 0 0
11 Lecce Lecce 0 0
12 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
13 Monza Monza 0 0
14 Napoli Napoli 0 0
15 Parma Parma 0 0
16 AS Roma AS Roma 0 0
17 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0 0
18 Torino Torino 0 0
19 Udinese Udinese 0 0
20 Venezia Venezia 0 0
Lineups
AC Milan AC Milan 3-5-2
16 Mike Maignan Mike Maignan G 9.70
31 S. Pavlović S. Pavlović D 6.70
46 Matteo Gabbia Matteo Gabbia D 7.50
23 F. Tomori F. Tomori 61' D 6.30
33 Davide Bartesaghi Davide Bartesaghi M 7.20
12 Adrien Rabiot Adrien Rabiot M 7.60
30 Ardon Jashari Ardon Jashari 62' M 6.60
19 Youssouf Fofana Youssouf Fofana 68' M 6.20
56 Alexis Saelemaekers Alexis Saelemaekers 1 ⚽ M 7.90
18 Christopher Nkunku Christopher Nkunku 61' F 6.60
7 Santiago Giménez Santiago Giménez 1 👟 45' F 6.30
Bench
25 Cheveyo Mul-Balentien Cheveyo Mul-Balentien F
11 C. Pulišić C. Pulišić 50' M 6.70
27 David Odogu David Odogu D
45 Jacopo Sardo Jacopo Sardo M
5 Koni De Winter Koni De Winter D
96 Lorenzo Torriani Lorenzo Torriani G
14 Luka Modrić Luka Modrić 33' M 7.50
37 Matteo Pittarella Matteo Pittarella G
9 N. Füllkrug N. Füllkrug 34' F 6.70
2 P. Estupiñán P. Estupiñán D
10 Rafael Leão Rafael Leão 27' F 7.20
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek Ruben Loftus-Cheek M
4 Samuele Ricci Samuele Ricci M
34 Valeri Ivanov Vladimirov Valeri Ivanov Vladimirov D
24 Z. Athekame Z. Athekame 34' D 7.20
Cagliari Cagliari 3-5-2
1 Elia Caprile Elia Caprile G 6.90
15 Juan Rodríguez Juan Rodríguez 1 ⚽ 62' D 7.00
26 Yerry Mina Yerry Mina D 6.30
32 Zé Pedro Zé Pedro 63' D 6.70
33
Adam Obert M 6.90
14 Alessandro Deiola Alessandro Deiola 74' M 6.30
10 Gianluca Gaetano Gianluca Gaetano M 7.20
8 Michel Adopo Michel Adopo M 6.50
28 Gabriele Zappa Gabriele Zappa M 6.50
94 S. Esposito S. Esposito F 7.70
29 Gennaro Borrelli Gennaro Borrelli 1 ⚽ 74' F 8.30
Bench
20 Agustín Albarracín Agustín Albarracín F
22 Alberto Dossena Alberto Dossena 33' D 6.30
12
Alen Sherri G
41 Alessandro Sabino Russo Alessandro Sabino Russo M
19 Andrea Belotti Andrea Belotti F
24 Giuseppe Ciocci Giuseppe Ciocci G
38 Ivan Sulev Ivan Sulev M
4 Luca Mazzitelli Luca Mazzitelli M
2 Marco Palestra Marco Palestra 32' D 6.90
17 M. Felici M. Felici F
36 Nicola Grandu Nicola Grandu F
18 Othniël Raterink Othniël Raterink D
31 Paul Mendy Paul Mendy 21' F 6.90
25 Sulemana Sulemana 21' M 6.50
37 Yael Trepy Yael Trepy F
Best on the pitch
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan
G · AC
9.70
· 23 pass
Gennaro Borrelli
Gennaro Borrelli
F · Cagliari
8.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 12 pass
Alexis Saelemaekers
Alexis Saelemaekers
M · AC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 37 pass
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
F · Cagliari
7.70
2 shots · 49 pass
Adrien Rabiot
Adrien Rabiot
M · AC
7.60
4 shots · 48 pass
Matteo Gabbia
Matteo Gabbia
D · AC
7.50
· 58 pass
AC Milan AC Milan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mike Maignan G 95 9.70 — — — 23 19% — 1 —
S. Pavlović D 95 6.70 — — 1 64 59% 1 1 —
Matteo Gabbia D 95 7.50 — — — 58 53% 1 — —
F. Tomori D 61 6.30 — — — 44 41% — — —
Davide Bartesaghi M 95 7.20 — — — 39 35% 2 — —
Adrien Rabiot M 95 7.60 — — 4 48 44% 2 — —
Ardon Jashari M 62 6.60 — — — 28 25% — — —
Youssouf Fofana M 68 6.20 — — 1 18 14% 1 — —
Alexis Saelemaekers M 95 7.90 1 — 1 37 26% 3 — —
Christopher Nkunku F 61 6.60 — — 1 15 12% — — —
Santiago Giménez F 45 6.30 — 1 2 4 4% 1 — —
C. Pulišić M 50 6.70 — — 3 18 15% 1 — —
Luka Modrić M 33 7.50 — — 1 21 16% 2 — —
N. Füllkrug F 34 6.70 — — — 11 8% — — —
Rafael Leão F 27 7.20 — — — 9 9% — — —
Z. Athekame D 34 7.20 — — — 16 14% 2 — —
Cagliari Cagliari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Elia Caprile G 95 6.90 — — — 29 20% — — —
Juan Rodríguez D 62 7.00 1 — 1 51 47% 1 — —
Yerry Mina D 95 6.30 — — — 57 55% — — —
Zé Pedro D 63 6.70 — — 2 57 53% — 1 —
Adam Obert M 95 6.90 — — — 25 21% 3 — —
Alessandro Deiola M 74 6.30 — — 2 30 24% — — —
Gianluca Gaetano M 95 7.20 — — 4 76 73% 1 — —
Michel Adopo M 95 6.50 — — — 27 23% 2 — —
Gabriele Zappa M 95 6.50 — — 1 37 33% — — —
S. Esposito F 95 7.70 — — 2 49 41% 4 — —
Gennaro Borrelli F 74 8.30 1 — 4 12 8% — — —
Alberto Dossena D 33 6.30 — — — 13 11% 1 — —
Marco Palestra D 32 6.90 — — — 10 8% — — —
Paul Mendy F 21 6.90 — — 1 7 6% — — —
Sulemana M 21 6.50 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AC Milan vs Cagliari?
The final score was AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari.
What did the model predict before AC Milan vs Cagliari?
The model assigned 49% probability to a AC Milan win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Cagliari win.