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AC Milan - Inter

Serie A October 31, 2026 20:45
AC Milan
#5 · 18 pts
vs
Inter
#2 · 22 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.33%
Win
AC Milan
27.81%
Draw
40.86%
Win
Inter
1.21
Expected xG
1.64

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.7%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 28%
2 41%
Double Chance
1X 59%
X2 69%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
✓ 85.5% hit rate (83 picks)
Over 2.5 54%
✓ 60.3% hit rate (73 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Inter a 40% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 31% for AC Milan. Expected goals are 1.2 for AC Milan and 1.6 for Inter (total 2.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.7% probability. In 3 previous meetings, AC Milan have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Inter.

Season Stats

AC Milan
7W 4D 4L
Inter
11W 4D 0L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
2.7
1.2
Conceded
1.3
4.3
Shots OT
6.5
3.0
Corners
5.3
55%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
93%
53%
O 2.5
80%
53%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
AC Milan
5W 1D 4L · at home
Inter
5W 4D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.1
1.3
Conceded
1.3
50%
Win %
50%
60%
Win or Draw
90%
70%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
60%
30%
O 3.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean Sht
30%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ AC Milan Inter →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8% 9.5% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
1 7.0% 11.5% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.2% 6.9% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.7% 2.8% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

AC Milan AC Milan
W Udinese 0–2
W Atalanta 3–2
D Sassuolo 1–1
W Lecce 3–0
D Lazio 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Inter Inter
W Fiorentina 2–1
W Bologna 1–3
W Parma 3–0
D AS Roma 2–2
W Udinese 5–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

AC Milan AC Milan
Attack
52
Defence
69
Form
70
Inter Inter
Attack
75
Defence
70
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
AC Milan
1
Draw
0
Inter
5 Aug 2026 Friendlies Clubs 1–1
8 Mar 2026 Serie A 1–0
23 Nov 2025 Serie A 1–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AC Milan vs Inter?
The model gives AC Milan a 31% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 40% for an Inter win.
How many goals are expected in AC Milan vs Inter?
Expected goals: AC Milan 1.2, Inter 1.6 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in AC Milan vs Inter?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.7%.