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Serie A · Regular Season - 5 September 20, 2026 20:45
AC Milan
#5 · 11 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Lecce
#12 · 6 pts
C. Pulisic (ast. S. Pavlovic) 14'
A. Rabiot (ast. G. Ramos) 61'
D. Moreira 73'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Lecce 25%). The final result was AC Milan 3–0 Lecce. In 3 previous meetings, AC Milan have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lecce.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
3
1.93
Actual xG
0.17
3
Saves
1
69%
Possession
31%
2
Corners
3
16
Tackles
29
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽C. Pulisic · ast. S. Pavlovic
14'
46'
P. Esteban / N. Stulic ↕
58'
D. Veiga
⚽A. Rabiot · ast. G. Ramos
61'
↕ A. Saelemaekers / D. Moreira
70'
↕ C. Pulisic / R. Loftus-Cheek
70'
70'
A. Fatah / J. Monteiro ↕
70'
O. Ngom / Y. Maleh ↕
70'
M. Kaba / I. Ilic ↕
⚽D. Moreira
73'
↕ L. Modric / Y. Musah
76'
↕ P. Estupinan / D. Bartesaghi
76'
82'
K. Ndri / S. Pierotti ↕
↕ S. Chukwueze / F. Camarda
89'
Pre-match prediction
47.69%
AC ←
26.71%
X
25.59%
Lecce
we assigned to the actual result (AC Milan) 47.69% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AC
2.42
1.93
-0.49
Lecce
1.38
0.17
-1.21
AC Milan dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.17). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AS Roma AS Roma 5 13
2 Inter Inter 5 13
3 Lazio Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Cagliari 5 12
5 AC Milan AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Frosinone 5 10
7 Juventus Juventus 5 10
8 Como Como 5 10
9 Napoli Napoli 5 7
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 5 7
11 Atalanta Atalanta 5 6
12 Lecce Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Udinese 5 4
14 Torino Torino 5 4
15 Parma Parma 5 4
16 Monza Monza 5 4
17 Fiorentina Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna Bologna 5 2
19 Genoa Genoa 5 1
20 Venezia Venezia 5 0
Lineups
AC Milan AC Milan 3-4-2-1
16 Mike Maignan Mike Maignan G 7.90
31 S. Pavlović S. Pavlović 1 👟 D 8.20
5 Koni De Winter Koni De Winter D 6.70
34 Mario Gila Mario Gila D 7.30
2 Pervis Estupiñán Pervis Estupiñán 76' M 7.00
12 A. Rabiot A. Rabiot 1 ⚽ M 8.20
14 Luka Modrić Luka Modrić 76' M 7.50
21 S. Chukwueze S. Chukwueze 87' M 6.70
56 A. Saelemaekers A. Saelemaekers 69' F 7.70
11 Christian Pulišić Christian Pulišić 1 ⚽ 69' F 8.90
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos 1 👟 F 6.30
Bench
70 Alphadjo Cissè Alphadjo Cissè M
30 Ardon Jashari Ardon Jashari M
28 Christian Comotto Christian Comotto M
33 Davide Bartesaghi Davide Bartesaghi 14' D 6.30
22 Diego Moreira Diego Moreira 1 ⚽ 21' F 8.20
23 Fikayo Tomori Fikayo Tomori D
42 Filippo Terracciano Filippo Terracciano D
73 Francesco Camarda Francesco Camarda 3' F
96 Lorenzo Torriani Lorenzo Torriani G
46 Matteo Gabbia Matteo Gabbia D
20 Omari Hutchinson Omari Hutchinson F
1 Pietro Terracciano Pietro Terracciano G
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek Ruben Loftus-Cheek 21' M 6.70
13 Sankhoun Diawara Sankhoun Diawara D
80 Yunus Musah Yunus Musah 14' M 6.60
Lecce Lecce 4-3-3
30 Wladimiro Falcone Wladimiro Falcone G 6.20
25 Antonino Gallo Antonino Gallo D 6.50
5 Jamil Siebert Jamil Siebert D 6.90
4 Kialonda Gaspar Kialonda Gaspar D 6.30
17 Danilo Veiga Danilo Veiga D 6.00
14 Youssef Maleh Youssef Maleh 70' M 6.30
20 I. Ilić I. Ilić 70' M 6.90
50 Santiago Pierotti Santiago Pierotti 82' M 6.20
99 Joël Monteiro Joël Monteiro 70' F 6.60
9 Nikola Štulić Nikola Štulić 45' F 6.70
29 L. Coulibaly L. Coulibaly F 6.30
Bench
32 Alexandru Borbei Alexandru Borbei G
2 Ali Dembélé Ali Dembélé D
7 Amar Fatah Amar Fatah 20' F 6.90
3 Corrie Ndaba Corrie Ndaba D
31 Elijah Scott Elijah Scott D
18 Gaby Jean Gaby Jean D
11 Konan N'Dri Konan N'Dri 8' F 6.60
1 Marco Bleve Marco Bleve G
77 Mohamed Kaba Mohamed Kaba 20' M 6.20
28 Olaf Gorter Olaf Gorter M
79 Oumar Ngom Oumar Ngom 20' M 6.50
22 Paco Esteban Paco Esteban 45' F 6.20
8 Sadik Fofana Sadik Fofana M
Best on the pitch
Christian Pulišić
Christian Pulišić
F · AC
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 46 pass
Diego Moreira
Diego Moreira
F · AC
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
S. Pavlović
S. Pavlović
D · AC
8.20
1 👟
1 shots · 106 pass
A. Rabiot
A. Rabiot
M · AC
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 76 pass
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan
G · AC
7.90
· 36 pass
A. Saelemaekers
A. Saelemaekers
F · AC
7.70
· 55 pass
AC Milan AC Milan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mike Maignan G 90 7.90 — — — 36 33% — — —
S. Pavlović D 90 8.20 — 1 1 106 99% 1 — —
Koni De Winter D 90 6.70 — — 1 67 62% 1 — —
Mario Gila D 90 7.30 — — — 67 59% 1 — —
Pervis Estupiñán M 76 7.00 — — 1 58 54% — — —
A. Rabiot M 90 8.20 1 — 1 76 71% 1 — —
Luka Modrić M 76 7.50 — — — 93 88% 2 — —
S. Chukwueze M 87 6.70 — — — 36 28% 3 — —
A. Saelemaekers F 69 7.70 — — — 55 49% 5 — —
Christian Pulišić F 69 8.90 1 — 1 46 43% — — —
Gonçalo Ramos F 90 6.30 — 1 — 34 30% — — —
Davide Bartesaghi D 14 6.30 — — — 7 7% — — —
Diego Moreira F 21 8.20 1 — 1 5 5% 1 — —
Francesco Camarda F 3 — — — — — — — — —
Ruben Loftus-Cheek M 21 6.70 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
Yunus Musah M 14 6.60 — — — 8 7% — — —
Lecce Lecce — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Wladimiro Falcone G 90 6.20 — — — 31 19% 1 — —
Antonino Gallo D 90 6.50 — — — 25 17% 3 — —
Jamil Siebert D 90 6.90 — — — 36 32% 6 — —
Kialonda Gaspar D 90 6.30 — — 1 46 44% 3 — —
Danilo Veiga D 90 6.00 — — — 28 23% 5 1 —
Youssef Maleh M 70 6.30 — — — 18 16% 3 — —
I. Ilić M 70 6.90 — — 1 31 27% 1 — —
Santiago Pierotti M 82 6.20 — — — 14 11% 1 — —
Joël Monteiro F 70 6.60 — — — 13 9% 2 — —
Nikola Štulić F 45 6.70 — — — 10 7% 1 — —
L. Coulibaly F 90 6.30 — — — 16 13% — — —
Amar Fatah F 20 6.90 — — 1 5 3% — — —
Konan N'Dri F 8 6.60 — — — 5 5% — — —
Mohamed Kaba M 20 6.20 — — — 14 13% 1 — —
Oumar Ngom M 20 6.50 — — 1 14 11% 1 — —
Paco Esteban F 45 6.20 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AC Milan vs Lecce?
The final score was AC Milan 3–0 Lecce.
What did the model predict before AC Milan vs Lecce?
The model assigned 47% probability to a AC Milan win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Lecce win.