AC Milan - Sunderland
Europa League
December 10, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.03%
Win
AC Milan
30.22%
Draw
35.75%
Win
Sunderland
1.29
1.5
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.74%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
30%
2
36%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
64%
X2
66%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sunderland a 35% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 34% for AC Milan. Expected goals are 1.3 for AC Milan and 1.5 for Sunderland (total 2.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.74% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
1.0
2.0
Conceded
0.0
4.0
Shots OT
5.0
9.0
Corners
11.0
61%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
0%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ AC Milan
Sunderland →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
AC Milan
Attack
43
Defence
63
Form
45
Sunderland
Attack
44
Defence
68
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AC Milan vs Sunderland?
The model gives AC Milan a 34% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 35% for an Sunderland win.
How many goals are expected in AC Milan vs Sunderland?
Expected goals: AC Milan 1.3, Sunderland 1.5 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in AC Milan vs Sunderland?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.74%.