Serie A · Regular Season - 30 March 21, 2026 18:00 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan

AC Milan

#5 · 18 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Torino

#9 · 13 pts

✓Model correct — prediction AC Milan

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 52% win probability (draw 26%, Torino 21%). The final result was AC Milan 3–2 Torino. In 2 previous meetings, AC Milan have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Torino.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

7

1.43

Actual xG

2.22

63%

Possession

37%

4

Corners

6

Pre-match prediction

52.22%

AC ←

26.57%

X

21.21%

Torino

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AC Milan) 52.22% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

AC

1.44

1.43

-0.01

Torino

1.00

2.22

+1.22

Torino dominated by xG (2.22 vs 1.43). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Inter	9	25
2	Lazio	9	25
3	AS Roma	9	21
4	Como	9	20
5	AC Milan	9	18
6	Napoli	9	14
7	Frosinone	8	14
8	Juventus	9	14
9	Torino	9	13
10	Cagliari	9	13
11	Bologna	9	11
12	Atalanta	8	10
13	Genoa	9	10
14	Lecce	8	9
15	Sassuolo	9	8
16	Monza	9	7
17	Udinese	9	5
18	Parma	9	5
19	Fiorentina	8	4
20	Venezia	9	3