✓Model correct — prediction AC Oulu
J. Korkko
(ast. R. Karjalainen)
76'
A. Kone
(ast. J. Korkko)
90'+3
65'
(ast. L. Pearce)
M. Hyvonen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Oulu a 64% win probability (draw 20%, Mariehamn 15%). The final result was AC Oulu 2–1 Mariehamn. In 4 previous meetings, AC Oulu have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Mariehamn.
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
5
2.68
Actual xG
2.25
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
5
Match Events
10'
S. Dahlstrom
17'
E. Patut
L. Ghezali
/ N. Jokelainen
46'
58'
N. Dosis
/
A. Huttunen
58'
L. Andersson
/
A. Larsson
58'
M. Hyvonen
/
A. Stroud
65'
ast. L. Pearce ·
M. Hyvonen⚽
I. Mendolin
/ J. Makelainen
66'
73'
L. Pearce
⚽J. Korkko
· ast. R. Karjalainen
76'
77'
A. Soiniemi
/
L. Pearce
77'
R. Bjorknesjo
E. Kallio
/ M. Ojala
78'
80'
M. Hyvonen
82'
N. Dosis
⚽A. Kone
· ast. J. Korkko
90'+3
R. Karjalainen
/ A. Kone
90'
Pre-match prediction
64.38%
AC ←
20.55%
X
15.07%
Mariehamn
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (AC Oulu)
64.38%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.21
2.68
+0.47
0.32
2.25
+1.93
AC Oulu dominated by xG (2.68 vs 2.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Miguel Santos
G
66
Juha Pirinen
D
3
Alex Lietsa
D
2
Sami Sipola
D
27
Elias Kallio
M
21
Iiro Mendolin
M
6
Julius Paananen
M
22
Tuomas Kaukua
M
7
Rasmus Karjalainen
1 👟
M
26
Julius Körkkö
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Julius Körkkö
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
11
Lamine Ghezali
M
Bench
32
Abdoulaye Koné
F
18
Adramane Cassama
D
30
Juuso Makelainen
M
20
Kalifa Jatta
F
8
Matias Ojala
M
14
Niklas Jokelainen
M
99
Niklas Schulz
G
29
Santeri Silander
D
1
Kevin Lund
G
31
Samson Ngulube
D
Samson Ngulube
D
2
Noah Nurmi
D
38
Yeboah Amankwah
D
18
Adam Stroud
M
10
S. Dahlström
M
S. Dahlström
M
20
Emmanuel Patut
M
28
J. Nissinen
D
J. Nissinen
D
16
Anttoni Huttunen
M
7
Adam Larsson
F
11
Luke Pearce
1 👟
F
Luke Pearce
1 👟
F
Bench
3
Aaro Soiniemi
D
43
Leo Andersson
F
64
Marlo Hyvonen
1 ⚽
F
32
Matias Riikonen
G
6
N. Dosis
M
N. Dosis
M
5
Tuomas Koivisto
D
AC Oulu — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Santos | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juha Pirinen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Lietsa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sami Sipola | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias Kallio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iiro Mendolin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julius Paananen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tuomas Kaukua | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rasmus Karjalainen | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julius Körkkö | F | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lamine Ghezali | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mariehamn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lund | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samson Ngulube | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Nurmi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yeboah Amankwah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Stroud | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dahlström | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Patut | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Nissinen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anttoni Huttunen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Larsson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Pearce | F | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
The final score was AC Oulu 2–1 Mariehamn.
What did the model predict before AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
The model assigned 64% probability to a AC Oulu win, 20% to a draw, and 15% to an Mariehamn win.