✓Model correct — prediction AC Oulu
J. Korkko
(ast. R. Karjalainen)
76'
A. Kone
(ast. J. Korkko)
90'+3
65'
(ast. L. Pearce)
M. Hyvonen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Oulu a 64% win probability (draw 20%, Mariehamn 15%). The final result was AC Oulu 2–1 Mariehamn.
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
5
2.68
Actual xG
2.25
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
5
Match Events
10'
S. Dahlstrom
17'
E. Patut
L. Ghezali
/ N. Jokelainen
46'
58'
N. Dosis
/
A. Huttunen
58'
L. Andersson
/
A. Larsson
58'
M. Hyvonen
/
A. Stroud
65'
ast. L. Pearce ·
M. Hyvonen⚽
I. Mendolin
/ J. Makelainen
66'
73'
L. Pearce
⚽J. Korkko
· ast. R. Karjalainen
76'
77'
A. Soiniemi
/
L. Pearce
77'
R. Bjorknesjo
E. Kallio
/ M. Ojala
78'
80'
M. Hyvonen
82'
N. Dosis
⚽A. Kone
· ast. J. Korkko
90'+3
R. Karjalainen
/ A. Kone
90'
Pre-match prediction
64.38%
AC ←
20.55%
X
15.07%
Mariehamn
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (AC Oulu)
64.38%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.21
2.68
+0.47
0.32
2.25
+1.93
AC Oulu dominated by xG (2.68 vs 2.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Miguel Santos
G
66
J. Pirinen
D
J. Pirinen
D
3
J. Lietsa
D
J. Lietsa
D
2
Sami Sipola
D
Sami Sipola
D
27
Elias Kallio
M
21
Iiro Mendolin
M
6
J. Paananen
M
J. Paananen
M
22
T. Kaukua
M
T. Kaukua
M
7
R. Karjalainen
1 👟
M
R. Karjalainen
1 👟
M
26
J. Körkkö
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
J. Körkkö
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
11
Lamine Ghezali
M
Lamine Ghezali
M
Bench
32
Abdoulaye Koné
F
18
Adramane Cassama
D
Adramane Cassama
D
30
Juuso Makelainen
M
20
Kalifa Jatta
F
8
Matias Ojala
M
Matias Ojala
M
14
Niklas Jokelainen
M
Niklas Jokelainen
M
99
Niklas Schulz
G
29
Santeri Silander
D
1
K. Lund
G
K. Lund
G
31
Samson Ngulube
D
2
N. Nurmi
D
N. Nurmi
D
38
Y. Amankwah
D
Y. Amankwah
D
18
A. Stroud
M
A. Stroud
M
10
S. Dahlström
M
S. Dahlström
M
20
E. Patut
M
E. Patut
M
28
J. Nissinen
D
J. Nissinen
D
16
A. Huttunen
M
A. Huttunen
M
7
A. Larsson
F
A. Larsson
F
11
Luke Pearce
1 👟
F
Bench
3
A. Soiniemi
D
A. Soiniemi
D
43
L. Andersson
F
L. Andersson
F
64
M. Hyvönen
1 ⚽
F
M. Hyvönen
1 ⚽
F
32
M. Riikonen
G
M. Riikonen
G
6
N. Dosis
M
N. Dosis
M
5
T. Koivisto
D
T. Koivisto
D
AC Oulu — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Santos | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Pirinen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lietsa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sami Sipola | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias Kallio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iiro Mendolin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Paananen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Kaukua | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Karjalainen | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Körkkö | F | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lamine Ghezali | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mariehamn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lund | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samson Ngulube | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Nurmi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Amankwah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Stroud | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dahlström | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Patut | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Nissinen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Huttunen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Larsson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Pearce | F | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
The final score was AC Oulu 2–1 Mariehamn.
What did the model predict before AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
The model assigned 64% probability to a AC Oulu win, 20% to a draw, and 15% to an Mariehamn win.