✓Model correct — prediction AC Oulu
J. Korkko
(ast. R. Karjalainen)
76'
A. Kone
(ast. J. Korkko)
90'+3
65'
(ast. L. Pearce)
M. Hyvonen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Oulu a 64% win probability (draw 20%, Mariehamn 15%). The final result was AC Oulu 2–1 Mariehamn. In 4 previous meetings, AC Oulu have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Mariehamn.
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
5
2.68
Actual xG
2.25
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
5
Match Events
10'
S. Dahlstrom
17'
E. Patut
L. Ghezali
/ N. Jokelainen
46'
58'
N. Dosis
/
A. Huttunen
58'
L. Andersson
/
A. Larsson
58'
M. Hyvonen
/
A. Stroud
65'
ast. L. Pearce ·
M. Hyvonen⚽
I. Mendolin
/ J. Makelainen
66'
73'
L. Pearce
⚽J. Korkko
· ast. R. Karjalainen
76'
77'
A. Soiniemi
/
L. Pearce
77'
R. Bjorknesjo
E. Kallio
/ M. Ojala
78'
80'
M. Hyvonen
82'
N. Dosis
⚽A. Kone
· ast. J. Korkko
90'+3
R. Karjalainen
/ A. Kone
90'
Pre-match prediction
64.38%
AC ←
20.55%
X
15.07%
Mariehamn
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (AC Oulu)
64.38%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.21
2.68
+0.47
0.32
2.25
+1.93
AC Oulu dominated by xG (2.68 vs 2.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Miguel Santos
G
Miguel Santos
G
66
J. Pirinen
D
J. Pirinen
D
3
J. Lietsa
D
J. Lietsa
D
2
S. Sipola
D
S. Sipola
D
27
Elias Kallio
M
21
I. Mendolin
M
I. Mendolin
M
6
J. Paananen
M
J. Paananen
M
22
T. Kaukua
M
T. Kaukua
M
7
R. Karjalainen
1 👟
M
R. Karjalainen
1 👟
M
26
J. Körkkö
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
J. Körkkö
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
11
L. Ghezali
M
L. Ghezali
M
Bench
32
Abdoulaye Koné
F
18
Adramane Cassamá
D
Adramane Cassamá
D
30
Juuso Makelainen
M
20
Kalifa Jatta
F
8
M. Ojala
M
M. Ojala
M
14
N. Jokelainen
M
N. Jokelainen
M
99
N. Schulz
G
N. Schulz
G
29
S. Silander
D
S. Silander
D
1
K. Lund
G
K. Lund
G
31
Samson Ngulube
D
Samson Ngulube
D
2
N. Nurmi
D
N. Nurmi
D
38
Y. Amankwah
D
Y. Amankwah
D
18
A. Stroud
M
A. Stroud
M
10
S. Dahlström
M
S. Dahlström
M
20
E. Patut
M
E. Patut
M
28
J. Nissinen
D
J. Nissinen
D
16
A. Huttunen
M
A. Huttunen
M
7
A. Larsson
F
A. Larsson
F
11
Luke Pearce
1 👟
F
Luke Pearce
1 👟
F
Bench
3
A. Soiniemi
D
A. Soiniemi
D
43
L. Andersson
F
L. Andersson
F
32
Matias Riikonen
G
64
M. Hyvönen
1 ⚽
F
M. Hyvönen
1 ⚽
F
6
N. Dosis
M
N. Dosis
M
5
T. Koivisto
D
T. Koivisto
D
AC Oulu — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Santos | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Pirinen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lietsa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Sipola | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias Kallio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Mendolin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Paananen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Kaukua | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Karjalainen | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Körkkö | F | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ghezali | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mariehamn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lund | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samson Ngulube | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Nurmi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Amankwah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Stroud | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dahlström | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Patut | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Nissinen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Huttunen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Larsson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Pearce | F | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
The final score was AC Oulu 2–1 Mariehamn.
What did the model predict before AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
The model assigned 64% probability to a AC Oulu win, 20% to a draw, and 15% to an Mariehamn win.