Academica - Amarante
Taça de Portugal
October 17, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.58%
Win
Academica
22.04%
Draw
21.38%
Win
Amarante
2.71
0.98
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Academica
56.58%
Probability
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.92%)
1X2 Result
1
57%
X
22%
2
21%
Double Chance
1X
79%
X2
43%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
66%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Academica a 56% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Amarante. Expected goals are 2.7 for Academica and 1.0 for Amarante (total 3.7), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.92% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Academica have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Amarante.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
3W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.8
1.0
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
0W
0D
1L
· at home
2W
0D
0L
· away
0.0
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
0.5
0%
Win %
100%
0%
Win or Draw
100%
0%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
100%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Academica
Amarante →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Academica
Attack
56
Defence
66
Form
52
Amarante
Attack
22
Defence
67
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Academica vs Amarante?
The model gives Academica a 56% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 21% for an Amarante win.
How many goals are expected in Academica vs Amarante?
Expected goals: Academica 2.7, Amarante 1.0 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Academica vs Amarante?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.92%.