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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8 October 10, 2026 21:30 Estadio do Fontelo, Viseu
Academico Viseu
#6 · 17 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Estoril
#18 · 2 pts
Cihan Kahraman (ast. Anthony Correia) 29'
Soufiane Messeguem (ast. Alejandro Mestanza) 88'
56' (ast. João Carvalho) Rafik Guitane
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Academico Viseu a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Estoril 30%). The final result was Academico Viseu 2–1 Estoril.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
15
6
Shots on target
9
0.81
Actual xG
1.42
8
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
3
Corners
5
13
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
27'
Jordan Holsgrove
⚽Cihan Kahraman · ast. Anthony Correia
29'
Cihan Kahraman
31'
45'
Nail Omerovic / Milan Robin ↕
56'
ast. João Carvalho · Rafik Guitane⚽
Soufiane Messeguem
60'
↕ Lorougnon Gohi / Nils Mortimer
67'
↕ Cihan Kahraman / Alejandro Mestanza
67'
Anthony Correia
73'
74'
Pedro Carvalho / Ricard Sanchez Sendra ↕
74'
Tiago Parente / Roko Jurišić ↕
↕ João Guilherme / Alvaro Zamora
83'
⚽Soufiane Messeguem · ast. Alejandro Mestanza
88'
89'
André Tiago Ramos das Neves / Xavier Sintes Egea ↕
↕ Soufiane Messeguem / Cristian Ferreira
90'+4
↕ André Clóvis / Paulo Rafael Pereira Araujo
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
37.56%
Academico ←
32.1%
X
30.34%
Estoril
we assigned to the actual result (Academico Viseu) 37.56% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Academico
0.99
0.81
-0.18
Estoril
0.80
1.42
+0.62
Estoril dominated by xG (1.42 vs 0.81). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 9 27
2 Benfica Benfica 9 22
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 9 18
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 9 18
5 Arouca Arouca 9 17
6 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 9 17
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 9 14
8 Alverca Alverca 9 11
9 SC Braga SC Braga 9 11
10 Moreirense Moreirense 9 11
11 Famalicao Famalicao 9 10
12 Estrela Estrela 9 10
13 Vitória SC Vitória SC 9 8
14 Maritimo Maritimo 9 8
15 Nacional Nacional 9 7
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 9 7
17 Rio Ave Rio Ave 9 7
18 Estoril Estoril 9 2
Lineups
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 4-2-3-1
98 Ewerton Ewerton G 8.18
3 Miguel Brau Miguel Brau D 6.13
2 N. Michelis N. Michelis D 7.26
41 A. Correia A. Correia 1 👟 D 7.01
75 Robinho Robinho D 6.71
7 Luís Silva Luís Silva M 6.28
8 C. Kahraman C. Kahraman 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.88
47 L. Gohi L. Gohi 67' M 6.28
14 S. Messeguem S. Messeguem 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.64
31 João Guilherme João Guilherme 83' M 6.41
33 André Clóvis André Clóvis 89' F 6.60
Bench
45 Alejandro Mestanza Alejandro Mestanza 1 👟 23' M 6.51
6 André Ceitil André Ceitil M 0.00
10 Á. Zamora Á. Zamora 7' F 6.20
18 C. Ferreira C. Ferreira 1' M 0.00
57 G. Costa G. Costa D 0.00
1 Marcos Lavín Marcos Lavín G 0.00
9 M. Bouldini M. Bouldini F 0.00
22 Nils Mortimer Nils Mortimer 23' F 6.49
77 Paulinho Paulinho 1' F 0.00
5 Pedro Barcelos Pedro Barcelos D 0.00
44 Rúben Pereira Rúben Pereira D 0.00
21 Tomás Domingos Tomás Domingos D 0.00
Estoril Estoril 3-4-2-1
1 Joel Robles Joel Robles G 6.24
5 A. Tsoungui A. Tsoungui D 6.55
6 Xavi Sintes Xavi Sintes 89' D 6.05
35 S. Amissah S. Amissah D 6.36
21 R. Jurišić R. Jurišić 74' M 6.36
10 J. Holsgrove J. Holsgrove M 6.77
44 M. Robin M. Robin 45' M 5.94
2 Ricard Sánchez Ricard Sánchez 74' M 6.30
12 João Carvalho João Carvalho 1 👟 M 7.40
99 R. Guitane R. Guitane 1 ⚽ M 7.89
7 André Lacximicant André Lacximicant F 6.68
Bench
9 A. Camblan A. Camblan F 0.00
3 Fernando Medrano Fernando Medrano D 0.00
4 Ferro Ferro D 0.00
42 J. Arnolin J. Arnolin D 0.00
16 M. Turk M. Turk G 0.00
11 N. Omerović N. Omerović 45' F 6.62
22 Pedro Carvalho Pedro Carvalho 16' D 6.09
17 Peixinho Peixinho 1' F 6.30
90 Tiago Brito Tiago Brito M 0.00
19 Tiago Parreira Parente Tiago Parreira Parente 16' D 6.14
Best on the pitch
Ewerton
Ewerton
G · Academico
8.18
· 24 pass
R. Guitane
R. Guitane
M · Estoril
7.89
1 ⚽
2 shots · 27 pass
C. Kahraman
C. Kahraman
M · Academico
7.88
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
S. Messeguem
S. Messeguem
M · Academico
7.64
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
João Carvalho
João Carvalho
M · Estoril
7.40
1 👟
2 shots · 43 pass
N. Michelis
N. Michelis
D · Academico
7.26
· 59 pass
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ewerton G 90 8.18 — — 0 24 14% 0 — —
Miguel Brau D 90 6.13 — — 0 41 32% 1 — —
N. Michelis D 90 7.26 — — 0 59 54% 0 — —
A. Correia D 90 7.01 — 1 0 78 68% 1 1 —
Robinho D 90 6.71 — — 1 46 37% 1 — —
Luís Silva M 90 6.28 — — 1 60 44% 5 — —
C. Kahraman M 67 7.88 1 — 1 20 19% 1 1 —
L. Gohi M 67 6.28 — — 2 16 14% 1 — —
S. Messeguem M 89 7.64 1 — 2 31 25% 2 1 —
João Guilherme M 83 6.41 — — 1 22 17% 0 — —
André Clóvis F 89 6.60 — — 6 12 9% 0 — —
Alejandro Mestanza M 23 6.51 — 1 1 13 13% 1 — —
Á. Zamora F 7 6.20 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
C. Ferreira M 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Nils Mortimer F 23 6.49 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
Paulinho F 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Estoril Estoril — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Joel Robles G 90 6.24 — — 0 28 19% 0 — —
A. Tsoungui D 90 6.55 — — 0 50 40% 5 — —
Xavi Sintes D 89 6.05 — — 0 30 25% 1 — —
S. Amissah D 90 6.36 — — 0 50 44% 1 — —
R. Jurišić M 74 6.36 — — 0 32 28% 0 — —
J. Holsgrove M 90 6.77 — — 2 82 68% 2 1 —
M. Robin M 45 5.94 — — 2 21 16% 1 — —
Ricard Sánchez M 74 6.30 — — 2 17 14% 1 — —
João Carvalho M 90 7.40 — 1 2 43 37% 2 — —
R. Guitane M 90 7.89 1 — 2 27 21% 1 — —
André Lacximicant F 90 6.68 — — 3 18 14% 0 — —
N. Omerović F 45 6.62 — — 2 11 6% 1 — —
Pedro Carvalho D 16 6.09 — — 0 8 6% 1 — —
Peixinho F 1 6.30 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Tiago Parreira Parente D 16 6.14 — — 0 2 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Estoril?
The final score was Academico Viseu 2–1 Estoril.
What did the model predict before Academico Viseu vs Estoril?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Academico Viseu win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an Estoril win.