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AD Ceuta FC - Malaga

Segunda División May 16, 2026 16:15
AD Ceuta FC
#11 · 55 pts
vs
Malaga
#4 · 66 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 21.0°C 💨 14 km/h · Ceuta
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.34%
Win
AD Ceuta FC
21.59%
Draw
49.07%
Win
Malaga
1.39
Expected xG
1.91

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Malaga a 49% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 29% for AD Ceuta FC. Expected goals are 1.4 for AD Ceuta FC and 1.9 for Malaga (total 3.3), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, AD Ceuta FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Malaga.

Score Matrix
↕ AD Ceuta FC Malaga →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7% 7.0% 6.7% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8%
1 5.1% 9.8% 9.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.8% 6.5% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.6% 3.2% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
Recent form
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
D Castellón 1–1
W Sporting Gijon 1–2
D Racing Santander 0–0
D Zaragoza 2–2
D Real Sociedad II 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 24%
Malaga Malaga
W Sporting Gijon 2–1
W Eibar 2–4
L Castellón 2–3
L Almeria 3–2
W Las Palmas 2–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 31%
Playing profile
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
Attack
24
Defence
71
Form
46
Malaga Malaga
Attack
52
Defence
53
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
AD Ceuta FC
0
Draw
1
Malaga
L 11 Jan 2026 Segunda División 1–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Racing Santander Racing Santander 39 75
2 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 39 71
3 Almeria Almeria 39 71
4 Malaga Malaga 39 66
5 Las Palmas Las Palmas 39 66
6 Castellón Castellón 39 65
7 Eibar Eibar 39 64
8 Burgos Burgos 39 63
9 Cordoba Cordoba 39 60
10 FC Andorra FC Andorra 39 58
11 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC 39 55
12 Albacete Albacete 39 53
13 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 39 52
14 Granada CF Granada CF 39 48
15 Valladolid Valladolid 39 46
16 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 39 45
17 Leganes Leganes 39 42
18 Cadiz Cadiz 39 39
19 Huesca Huesca 39 36
20 Mirandes Mirandes 39 36
21 Zaragoza Zaragoza 39 35
22 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 39 33
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga?
The model gives AD Ceuta FC a 29% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 49% for an Malaga win.
How many goals are expected in AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga?
Expected goals: AD Ceuta FC 1.4, Malaga 1.9 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.8%.