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← Segunda División

AD Ceuta FC - Real Sociedad II

Segunda División September 26, 2026 14:00 Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
AD Ceuta FC
#22 · 1 pts
vs
Real Sociedad II
#12 · 8 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 25.1°C 💨 17 km/h · Ceuta
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.04%
Win
AD Ceuta FC
34.19%
Draw
36.77%
Win
Real Sociedad II
0.43
Expected xG
0.89

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (14.57%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 34%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 71%
12 66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Real Sociedad II a 36% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 29% for AD Ceuta FC. Expected goals are 0.4 for AD Ceuta FC and 0.9 for Real Sociedad II (total 1.3), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 14.57% probability. In 2 previous meetings, AD Ceuta FC have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Real Sociedad II.

Season Stats

AD Ceuta FC
3W 5D 7L
Real Sociedad II
3W 6D 6L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.0
1.8
Conceded
1.3
2.3
Shots OT
2.3
2.7
Corners
2.3
52%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
60%
47%
O 2.5
47%
47%
BTTS
60%
27%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Segunda División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
AD Ceuta FC
2W 4D 4L · at home
Real Sociedad II
4W 2D 4L · away
0.7
gls/g
1.3
1.3
Conceded
1.5
20%
Win %
40%
60%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
70%
30%
O 2.5
60%
10%
O 3.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
40%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ AD Ceuta FC Real Sociedad II →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 26.6% 23.7% 10.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.5% 10.3% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
D Valladolid 1–1
L Burgos 3–1
L Celta de Vigo II 0–2
L Mallorca 3–0
L Las Palmas 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
L Mallorca 0–1
W FC Andorra 1–3
D Tenerife 1–1
D Burgos 2–2
W Albacete 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
Attack
16
Defence
44
Form
24
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
Attack
27
Defence
58
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
AD Ceuta FC
1
Draw
0
Real Sociedad II
10 Apr 2026 Segunda División 0–0
21 Dec 2025 Segunda División 3–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Castellón Castellón 6 16
2 Eibar Eibar 6 15
3 Mallorca Mallorca 6 13
4 Almeria Almeria 6 12
5 Burgos Burgos 6 11
6 Sabadell Sabadell 6 11
7 Leganes Leganes 6 11
8 Girona Girona 6 10
9 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 6 10
10 Las Palmas Las Palmas 6 10
11 Tenerife Tenerife 6 10
12 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 6 8
13 Oviedo Oviedo 6 8
14 Granada CF Granada CF 6 8
15 Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II 6 7
16 Cordoba Cordoba 6 6
17 Eldense Eldense 6 5
18 Valladolid Valladolid 6 5
19 Cadiz Cadiz 6 3
20 FC Andorra FC Andorra 6 3
21 Albacete Albacete 6 1
22 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC 6 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
The model gives AD Ceuta FC a 29% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 36% for an Real Sociedad II win.
How many goals are expected in AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
Expected goals: AD Ceuta FC 0.4, Real Sociedad II 0.9 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.57%.