AD Nogueirense - Naval 1893
Taça de Portugal
August 30, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
AD Nogueirense
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Naval 1893
1.62
0.31
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.1%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives AD Nogueirense a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Naval 1893. Expected goals are 1.6 for AD Nogueirense and 0.3 for Naval 1893 (total 1.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.1% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ AD Nogueirense
Naval 1893 →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.6% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 23.6% | 7.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 2 | 19.1% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 10.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Playing profile
AD Nogueirense
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Naval 1893
Attack
7
Defence
58
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AD Nogueirense vs Naval 1893?
The model gives AD Nogueirense a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Naval 1893 win.
How many goals are expected in AD Nogueirense vs Naval 1893?
Expected goals: AD Nogueirense 1.6, Naval 1893 0.3 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in AD Nogueirense vs Naval 1893?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.1%.