Adelaide United - Công An Nhân Dân
AFC Champions League
August 11, 2026 11:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.29%
Win
Adelaide United
31.15%
Draw
32.56%
Win
Công An Nhân Dân
1.98
1.54
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.0%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
31%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
64%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
58%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Adelaide United a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Công An Nhân Dân. Expected goals are 2.0 for Adelaide United and 1.5 for Công An Nhân Dân (total 3.5), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.0% probability.
Season Stats
6W
7D
2L
11W
2D
2L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.2
1.3
Conceded
0.9
5.8
Shots OT
—
7.3
Corners
—
54%
Poss.
—
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
87%
53%
O 2.5
60%
87%
BTTS
67%
7%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
4W
3D
3L
· at home
5W
2D
3L
· away
1.7
gls/g
1.5
1.7
Conceded
1.0
40%
Win %
50%
70%
Win or Draw
70%
100%
O 1.5
80%
70%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
20%
70%
BTTS
60%
10%
Clean Sht
30%
20%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Adelaide United
Công An Nhân Dân →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Adelaide United
Attack
61
Defence
70
Form
60
Công An Nhân Dân
Attack
51
Defence
78
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân?
The model gives Adelaide United a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Công An Nhân Dân win.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Expected goals: Adelaide United 2.0, Công An Nhân Dân 1.5 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.0%.