A-League Men
· Regular Season - 25
April 19, 2026 07:30
✓Model correct — prediction Adelaide United
Anselmo
(ast. J. Barnett)
63'
P. Kikianis
75'
Anselmo
(ast. Y. Dukuly)
89'
7'
(ast. C. Talbot)
M. Duke
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Adelaide United a 80% win probability (draw 7%, Macarthur 11%). The final result was Adelaide United 3–1 Macarthur. In 2 previous meetings, Adelaide United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Macarthur.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
11
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
8
62%
Possession
38%
12
Corners
3
17
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
ast. C. Talbot ·
M. Duke⚽
14'
O. Randazzo
/
C. Ikonomidis
R. Kitto
/ B. Burkitt
46'
L. Jovanovic
/ Anselmo
46'
47'
D. Bosnjak
R. White
/ A. Riak
62'
62'
M. Duke
⚽Anselmo
· ast. J. Barnett
63'
66'
B. Oliveira
/
D. Bosnjak
66'
H. Oliveira
/
L. Vickery
70'
H. Sawyer
/
M. Duke
71'
W. Scott
/
C. Talbot
⚽P. Kikianis
75'
J. Muniz
/ L. Duzel
78'
83'
A. Caceres
A. Riak
/ A. Ayoubi
86'
⚽Anselmo
· ast. Y. Dukuly
89'
Pre-match prediction
80.91%
Adelaide ←
7.69%
X
11.4%
Macarthur
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Adelaide United)
80.91%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.27
—
—
0.74
—
—
Lineups
22
G
7
R. Kitto
45'
D
4
P. Kikianis
1 ⚽
D
P. Kikianis
1 ⚽
D
3
B. Vriends
D
14
J. Barnett
1 👟
D
55
E. Alagich
M
E. Alagich
M
12
J. Yull
M
J. Yull
M
44
62'
M
10
J. Muniz
78'
M
19
Y. Dukuly
1 👟
M
Y. Dukuly
1 👟
M
9
L. Jovanović
45'
F
L. Jovanović
45'
F
Bench
87
Anselmo
2 ⚽
45'
M
99
A. Riak
24'
F
35
Brody Burkitt
45'
F
23
L. Duzel
12'
M
1
G
32
D
6
T. Uskok
D
T. Uskok
D
3
D. Da Silva
D
25
C. Talbot
1 👟
71'
D
C. Talbot
1 👟
71'
D
22
Liam Rose
M
10
A. Caceres
M
9
C. Ikonomidis
14'
M
24
D. Bosnjak
66'
M
8
L. Vickery
66'
M
15
M. Duke
1 ⚽
70'
F
M. Duke
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
11
B. Oliveira
24'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Macarthur
8.90
· 25 pass
Anselmo
M · Adelaide
8.50
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 21 pass
J. Barnett
D · Adelaide
7.90
1 👟
· 54 pass
M. Duke
F · Macarthur
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
P. Kikianis
D · Adelaide
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 58 pass
A. Caceres
M · Macarthur
7.50
2 shots
· 61 pass
Adelaide United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| R. Kitto | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Kikianis | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 58 | 52% | — | — | — |
| B. Vriends | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 52% | — | — | — |
| J. Barnett | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 54 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Alagich | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Yull | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — | |
| J. Muniz | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Y. Dukuly | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Jovanović | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Anselmo | M | 45 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 5 | 21 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Riak | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Brody Burkitt | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Duzel | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
Macarthur — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — | |
| T. Uskok | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Da Silva | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| C. Talbot | D | 71 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Liam Rose | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Caceres | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 61 | 55% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Ikonomidis | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bosnjak | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Vickery | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Duke | F | 70 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Oliveira | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Adelaide United vs Macarthur?
The final score was Adelaide United 3–1 Macarthur.
What did the model predict before Adelaide United vs Macarthur?
The model assigned 80% probability to a Adelaide United win, 7% to a draw, and 11% to an Macarthur win.