KNVB Beker
· 1st Preliminary Round
September 01, 2026 20:00
23'
120'+1
(pen.)
120'+3
(pen.)
120'+4
(pen.)
120'+5
(pen.)
70'
M. Tahiri
(pen.)
120'+1
(pen.)
120'+2
(pen.)
120'+3
(pen.)
120'+4
(pen.)
120'+5
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Excelsior Maassluis a 34% win probability (draw 32%, ADO '20 32%). The final result was ADO '20 1–1 Excelsior Maassluis.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽
23'
69'
70'
M. Tahiri⚽
⚽
(pen.)
120'+1
120'+1
(pen.)
⚽
⚽
(missed pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(pen.)
⚽
⚽
(pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(pen.)
⚽
⚽
(pen.)
120'+4
120'+4
(pen.)
⚽
⚽
(pen.)
120'+5
120'+5
(pen.)
⚽
Pre-match prediction
32.82%
ADO
32.38%
X ←
34.8%
Excelsior
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.64
—
—
1.32
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis?
The final score was ADO '20 1–1 Excelsior Maassluis.
What did the model predict before ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis?
The model assigned 32% probability to a ADO '20 win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Excelsior Maassluis win.