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ADO '20 - Excelsior Maassluis

KNVB Beker September 01, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.33%
Win
ADO '20
33.01%
Draw
34.66%
Win
Excelsior Maassluis
0.65
Expected xG
1.34

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.3%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 33%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 68%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Excelsior Maassluis a 34% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for ADO '20. Expected goals are 0.6 for ADO '20 and 1.3 for Excelsior Maassluis (total 2.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.3% probability.

Season Stats

ADO '20
0W 0D 1L
Excelsior Maassluis
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
2.7
2.0
Conceded
2.7
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
67%
0%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 3 matches in KNVB Beker. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ ADO '20 Excelsior Maassluis →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.8% 18.4% 12.3% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.9% 11.9% 8.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 2.9% 3.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5

Recent form

L Roosendaal 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
L Ajax 2–7
W Excelsior 1–0
W HZVV 1–5

Playing profile

ADO '20 ADO '20
Attack
23
Defence
95
Form
71
Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis
Attack
81
Defence
68
Form
81
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis?
The model gives ADO '20 a 32% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 34% for an Excelsior Maassluis win.
How many goals are expected in ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis?
Expected goals: ADO '20 0.6, Excelsior Maassluis 1.3 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.3%.