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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9 October 17, 2026 16:30 Bingoal Stadion, The Hague
ADO Den Haag
#17 · 6 pts
2 – 1
Final score
PSV Eindhoven
#3 · 20 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction PSV Eindhoven, result ADO Den Haag wins
Juho Kilo (ast. Yannick Fereira Eduardo) 55'
Matěj Šín (ast. Evan Rottier) 90'+3
21' (ast. Guus Til) Sven Mijnans
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 60% win probability (draw 20%, ADO Den Haag 18%). The final result was ADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
15
5
Shots on target
4
1.43
Actual xG
1.07
3
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
2
16
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
21'
ast. Guus Til · Sven Mijnans⚽
38'
Sven Mijnans
40'
Mikkel Bro Hansen / Guus Til ↕
Sekou Sylla
42'
43'
Sven Mijnans
↕ Jan Zamburek / Matěj Šín
45'
↕ Sekou Sylla / Othniël Raterink
45'
45'
Ryan Flamingo / Dennis Man ↕
↕ Lasse Wilhelm / Jalen Hawkins
45'
⚽Juho Kilo · ast. Yannick Fereira Eduardo
55'
58'
Amir Bouhamdi / Ayoni Santos ↕
↕ Jesse Bal / Daryl van Mieghem
66'
Othniël Raterink
69'
69'
Shuryjano Cornecion / Mauro Júnior ↕
↕ Jonas Jensen-Abbew / Alejandro Pozo
70'
Pascal Mulder
73'
⚽Matěj Šín · ast. Evan Rottier
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
18.78%
ADO ←
20.58%
X
60.64%
PSV
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (ADO Den Haag) 18.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
ADO
0.60
1.43
+0.83
PSV
2.78
1.07
-1.71
ADO Den Haag dominated by xG (1.43 vs 1.07). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 5-3-2
1 K. Nikiéma K. Nikiéma G 6.75
18 S. Sylla S. Sylla 45' D 5.98
4 M. Waem M. Waem D 6.93
3 P. Mulder P. Mulder D 6.83
22 L. Wilhelm L. Wilhelm 45' D 6.68
5 J. Jensen-Abbew J. Jensen-Abbew 70' D 6.24
11 E. Rottier E. Rottier 1 👟 M 7.32
25 J. Kilo J. Kilo 1 ⚽ M 8.20
8 J. Žambůrek J. Žambůrek 45' M 6.70
9 J. Bal J. Bal 66' F 6.30
46 Y. Eduardo Y. Eduardo 1 👟 F 6.44
Bench
21 C. Peupion C. Peupion F 0.00
7 D. van Mieghem D. van Mieghem 24' F 7.20
16 Finn de Bruin Finn de Bruin M 0.00
10 Illaijh de Ruijter Illaijh de Ruijter D 0.00
17 J. Hawkins J. Hawkins 45' M 6.26
14 M. Jiménez M. Jiménez M 0.00
33 M. Šín M. Šín 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.45
23 N. Thiede N. Thiede G 0.00
27 N. Thomas N. Thomas F 0.00
2 O. Raterink O. Raterink 45' D 5.90
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
32 M. Kovář M. Kovář G 5.84
18 F. Kostić F. Kostić D 6.70
4 A. Obispo A. Obispo D 7.12
2 L. Geertruida L. Geertruida D 6.83
8 S. Dest S. Dest D 6.67
17 Mauro Júnior Mauro Júnior 69' M 6.44
24 K. Sano K. Sano M 6.32
35 A. Santos A. Santos 58' M 6.39
20 G. Til G. Til 1 👟 40' M 7.64
27 D. Man D. Man 45' M 6.07
21 S. Mijnans S. Mijnans 1 ⚽ 43' F 7.12
Bench
37 A. Bouhamdi A. Bouhamdi 32' F 6.25
19 E. Bajraktarevic E. Bajraktarevic F 0.00
5 I. Perišić I. Perišić F 0.00
23 M. Hansen M. Hansen 50' F 6.62
31 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez M 0.00
1 N. Olij N. Olij G 0.00
6 R. Flamingo R. Flamingo 45' D 6.46
42 S. Cornecion S. Cornecion 21' M 6.11
51 T. Smolenaars T. Smolenaars G 0.00
3 Yarek Gasiorowski Yarek Gasiorowski D 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Kilo
J. Kilo
M · ADO
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 98 pass
G. Til
G. Til
M · PSV
7.64
1 👟
1 shots · 24 pass
M. Šín
M. Šín
M · ADO
7.45
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
E. Rottier
E. Rottier
M · ADO
7.32
1 👟
2 shots · 28 pass
D. van Mieghem
D. van Mieghem
F · ADO
7.20
· 19 pass
S. Mijnans
S. Mijnans
F · PSV
7.12
1 ⚽
2 shots · 20 pass
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Nikiéma G 90 6.75 — — 0 29 22% 0 — —
S. Sylla D 45 5.98 — — 0 10 7% 1 1 —
M. Waem D 90 6.93 — — 1 62 54% 3 — —
P. Mulder D 90 6.83 — — 2 72 62% 0 1 —
L. Wilhelm D 45 6.68 — — 0 22 22% 0 — —
J. Jensen-Abbew D 70 6.24 — — 0 29 25% 1 — —
E. Rottier M 90 7.32 — 1 2 28 25% 0 — —
J. Kilo M 90 8.20 1 — 1 98 88% 3 — —
J. Žambůrek M 45 6.70 — — 2 14 11% 4 — —
J. Bal F 66 6.30 — — 1 12 8% 0 — —
Y. Eduardo F 90 6.44 — 1 2 7 6% 0 — —
D. van Mieghem F 24 7.20 — — 0 19 14% 0 — —
J. Hawkins M 45 6.26 — — 4 23 18% 1 — —
M. Šín M 45 7.45 1 — 1 14 13% 2 — —
O. Raterink D 45 5.90 — — 0 19 15% 1 1 —
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Kovář G 90 5.84 — — 0 35 14% 0 — —
F. Kostić D 90 6.70 — — 0 37 31% 1 — —
A. Obispo D 90 7.12 — — 0 49 45% 0 — —
L. Geertruida D 90 6.83 — — 0 47 42% 3 — —
S. Dest D 90 6.67 — — 2 49 47% 0 — —
Mauro Júnior M 69 6.44 — — 0 59 52% 3 — —
K. Sano M 90 6.32 — — 0 48 43% 2 — —
A. Santos M 58 6.39 — — 2 23 19% 1 — —
G. Til M 40 7.64 — 1 1 24 22% 1 — —
D. Man M 45 6.07 — — 1 19 16% 0 — —
S. Mijnans F 43 7.12 1 — 2 20 20% 2 — 1
A. Bouhamdi F 32 6.25 — — 3 4 0% 1 — —
M. Hansen F 50 6.62 — — 3 3 2% 1 — —
R. Flamingo D 45 6.46 — — 1 7 5% 0 — —
S. Cornecion M 21 6.11 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
The final score was ADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven.
What did the model predict before ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
The model assigned 18% probability to a ADO Den Haag win, 20% to a draw, and 60% to an PSV Eindhoven win.