Liga 1
· Apertura - 15
May 17, 2026 18:00
✓Model correct — prediction ADT
J. Bauman
(ast. C. Cabello)
16'
J. Guivin Tanta
45'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ADT a 59% win probability (draw 22%, Comerciantes Unidos 17%). The final result was ADT 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
5
5
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
9
19
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽J. Bauman
· ast. C. Cabello
16'
28'
A. Rodriguez
A. Ojeda
39'
⚽J. Guivin Tanta
45'+2
45'
A. Arias
46'
C. Saavedra
/
J. Herrera
46'
T. Salinas
/
A. Rodriguez
54'
O. Pinto
/
P. Guzman
60'
J. Parodi
/
F. Rojas
70'
E. M. Perez Azambuya
/
R. Vilca
A. Ojeda
/ A. Hidalgo
74'
75'
F. Alcedo
J. Bauman
75'
J. Rojas
/ H. Arakaki
77'
90'+5
J. Rodriguez
C. Cabello
/ A. Cubas
90'
J. Guivin Tanta
/ J. Vega
90'
Pre-match prediction
59.67%
ADT ←
22.56%
X
17.77%
Comerciantes
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (ADT)
59.67%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.90
—
—
0.82
—
—
Lineups
33
C. Solís
G
C. Solís
G
6
Á. Ojeda
74'
D
Á. Ojeda
74'
D
28
J. Soto
D
J. Soto
D
4
Ronny Biojo
D
Ronny Biojo
D
14
C. Cabello
1 👟
89'
D
C. Cabello
1 👟
89'
D
8
J. Guivin
1 ⚽
89'
M
J. Guivin
1 ⚽
89'
M
15
Josué Alvino
M
10
V. Cedrón
M
V. Cedrón
M
7
J. Rojas
77'
F
J. Rojas
77'
F
32
J. Bauman
1 ⚽
F
J. Bauman
1 ⚽
F
21
L. Benítes
F
L. Benítes
F
Bench
19
Aarón Carnero
M
Aarón Carnero
M
27
A. Hidalgo
16'
M
A. Hidalgo
16'
M
11
Anthony Cubas
1'
M
Anthony Cubas
1'
M
26
G. Vas
F
G. Vas
F
17
Hideyoshi Arakaki
13'
M
Hideyoshi Arakaki
13'
M
2
Jair Reyes
M
Jair Reyes
M
30
J. Valencia
G
J. Valencia
G
5
J. Vega
1'
M
J. Vega
1'
M
37
Nicolás Rengifo
F
Nicolás Rengifo
F
17
Matías Córdova
G
Matías Córdova
G
15
A. Cossio
D
A. Cossio
D
6
J. Rodriguez
D
J. Rodriguez
D
30
P. Guzmán
54'
D
P. Guzmán
54'
D
40
F. Alcedo
D
F. Alcedo
D
16
R. Rojas
60'
D
R. Rojas
60'
D
25
Rodrigo Vilca
71'
M
Rodrigo Vilca
71'
M
18
A. Rodríguez
45'
M
A. Rodríguez
45'
M
4
A. Arias
M
A. Arias
M
11
Josuee Herrera
45'
M
Josuee Herrera
45'
M
9
M. Sen
F
M. Sen
F
Bench
29
Carlos Saavedra
45'
M
Carlos Saavedra
45'
M
5
C. Correa
M
C. Correa
M
19
D. Lino
D
D. Lino
D
99
José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
G
José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
G
20
J. Parodi
30'
M
J. Parodi
30'
M
10
M. Carpio
M
M. Carpio
M
13
M. Pérez
19'
F
M. Pérez
19'
F
28
O. Pinto
36'
M
O. Pinto
36'
M
14
Thiago Salinas
45'
M
Thiago Salinas
45'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Guivin
M · ADT
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 50 pass
C. Solís
G · ADT
7.50
· 24 pass
J. Soto
D · ADT
7.30
· 40 pass
C. Cabello
D · ADT
7.30
1 👟
· 26 pass
Josué Alvino
M · ADT
7.30
· 42 pass
Á. Ojeda
D · ADT
7.20
· 51 pass
ADT — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Solís | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Á. Ojeda | D | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Soto | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronny Biojo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Cabello | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Guivin | M | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Josué Alvino | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| V. Cedrón | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rojas | F | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Bauman | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 8 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Benítes | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hidalgo | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Anthony Cubas | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Hideyoshi Arakaki | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Vega | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Comerciantes Unidos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matías Córdova | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Cossio | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodriguez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Guzmán | D | 54 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| F. Alcedo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Rojas | D | 60 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Vilca | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Arias | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| Josuee Herrera | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Sen | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Saavedra | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Parodi | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Pérez | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| O. Pinto | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Salinas | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The final score was ADT 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos.
What did the model predict before ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The model assigned 59% probability to a ADT win, 22% to a draw, and 17% to an Comerciantes Unidos win.