Liga 1
· Apertura - 15
May 17, 2026 18:00
✓Model correct — prediction ADT
J. Bauman
(ast. C. Cabello)
16'
J. Guivin Tanta
45'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ADT a 59% win probability (draw 22%, Comerciantes Unidos 17%). The final result was ADT 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
5
5
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
9
19
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽J. Bauman
· ast. C. Cabello
16'
28'
A. Rodriguez
A. Ojeda
39'
⚽J. Guivin Tanta
45'+2
45'
A. Arias
46'
C. Saavedra
/
J. Herrera
46'
T. Salinas
/
A. Rodriguez
54'
O. Pinto
/
P. Guzman
60'
J. Parodi
/
F. Rojas
70'
E. M. Perez Azambuya
/
R. Vilca
A. Ojeda
/ A. Hidalgo
74'
75'
F. Alcedo
J. Bauman
75'
J. Rojas
/ H. Arakaki
77'
90'+5
J. Rodriguez
C. Cabello
/ A. Cubas
90'
J. Guivin Tanta
/ J. Vega
90'
Pre-match prediction
59.67%
ADT ←
22.56%
X
17.77%
Comerciantes
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (ADT)
59.67%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.90
—
—
0.82
—
—
Lineups
33
Carlos Solis
G
Carlos Solis
G
6
Ángel Ojeda
74'
D
Ángel Ojeda
74'
D
28
J. Soto
D
J. Soto
D
4
Ronny Biojo
D
Ronny Biojo
D
14
C. Cabello
1 👟
89'
D
C. Cabello
1 👟
89'
D
8
J. Guivin
1 ⚽
89'
M
J. Guivin
1 ⚽
89'
M
15
Josué Alvino
M
Josué Alvino
M
10
V. Cedrón
M
V. Cedrón
M
7
Joao Rojas
77'
F
Joao Rojas
77'
F
32
J. Bauman
1 ⚽
F
J. Bauman
1 ⚽
F
21
Luis Benites
F
Luis Benites
F
Bench
19
Aarón Carnero
M
Aarón Carnero
M
27
Alexander Hidalgo
16'
M
Alexander Hidalgo
16'
M
11
Anthony Cubas
1'
M
Anthony Cubas
1'
M
17
Hideyoshi Arakaki
13'
M
Hideyoshi Arakaki
13'
M
2
Jair Reyes
M
Jair Reyes
M
26
Jhojan Garcilazo
F
Jhojan Garcilazo
F
5
John Vega
1'
M
John Vega
1'
M
30
Juan Valencia
G
Juan Valencia
G
37
Nicolás Rengifo
F
Nicolás Rengifo
F
17
Matías Córdova
G
Matías Córdova
G
15
Alexis Cossio
D
Alexis Cossio
D
6
Juan Rodríguez
D
Juan Rodríguez
D
30
Piero Guzmán
54'
D
Piero Guzmán
54'
D
40
Flavio Alcedo
D
Flavio Alcedo
D
16
Fabio Rojas
60'
D
Fabio Rojas
60'
D
25
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta
71'
M
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta
71'
M
18
A. Rodríguez
45'
M
A. Rodríguez
45'
M
4
Alexis Arias
M
Alexis Arias
M
11
Josuee Herrera
45'
M
Josuee Herrera
45'
M
9
M. Sen
F
M. Sen
F
Bench
5
Carlos Correa
M
Carlos Correa
M
29
Carlos Saavedra
45'
M
Carlos Saavedra
45'
M
19
Daniel Lino
D
Daniel Lino
D
99
José Charún
G
José Charún
G
20
José Parodi
30'
M
José Parodi
30'
M
10
Mathías Carpio
M
Mathías Carpio
M
13
Maximiliano Pérez
19'
F
Maximiliano Pérez
19'
F
28
Óscar Pinto
36'
M
Óscar Pinto
36'
M
14
Thiago Salinas
45'
M
Thiago Salinas
45'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Guivin
M · ADT
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 50 pass
Carlos Solis
G · ADT
7.50
· 24 pass
J. Soto
D · ADT
7.30
· 40 pass
C. Cabello
D · ADT
7.30
1 👟
· 26 pass
Josué Alvino
M · ADT
7.30
· 42 pass
Ángel Ojeda
D · ADT
7.20
· 51 pass
ADT — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Solis | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ángel Ojeda | D | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Soto | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronny Biojo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Cabello | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Guivin | M | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Josué Alvino | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| V. Cedrón | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Joao Rojas | F | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Bauman | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 8 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luis Benites | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexander Hidalgo | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Anthony Cubas | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Hideyoshi Arakaki | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| John Vega | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Comerciantes Unidos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matías Córdova | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Cossio | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Piero Guzmán | D | 54 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Flavio Alcedo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fabio Rojas | D | 60 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Alexis Arias | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| Josuee Herrera | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Sen | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Saavedra | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| José Parodi | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Pérez | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Óscar Pinto | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Salinas | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The final score was ADT 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos.
What did the model predict before ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The model assigned 59% probability to a ADT win, 22% to a draw, and 17% to an Comerciantes Unidos win.