Liga 1
· Clausura - 14
October 28, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction ADT
Juan lucumi
18'
(pen.)
Said Peralta
(ast. Alejandro Ramos)
66'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ADT a 67% win probability (draw 19%, UCV Moquegua 12%). The final result was ADT 2–0 UCV Moquegua. In 1 previous meetings, ADT have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for UCV Moquegua.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
0
1.83
Actual xG
0.47
0
Saves
1
65%
Possession
35%
5
Corners
3
10
Tackles
5
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
17'
Juan Diego Lojas
⚽Juan lucumi
(pen.)
18'
37'
Nicolas Amasifuen
41'
42'
Cristian Enciso
45'
Eros Enrique Montenegro Chacón
/
Nicolas Amasifuen
45'
Y. López
/
Edgar Lastre
45'
José Luis Granda
/
Cristian Mejía
64'
Jeferson Collazos
/
Brayan Angulo
⚽Said Peralta
· ast. Alejandro Ramos
66'
69'
Yorman Zapata
Luis Pérez
70'
Angel Ojeda
70'
73'
Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas
/
Yorman Zapata
Said Peralta
/ Aylton Mazzo
73'
Orlando Nunez
81'
Angel Ojeda
/ J. Alvino
84'
Juan lucumi
84'
Juan lucumi
/ Jhojan Garcilazo
87'
Pre-match prediction
67.98%
ADT ←
19.08%
X
12.94%
UCV
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (ADT)
67.98%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.07
1.83
-0.24
0.58
0.47
-0.11
ADT dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.47).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
30
J. Valencia
G
J. Valencia
G
59
O. Núñez
D
O. Núñez
D
44
H. Benincasa
D
H. Benincasa
D
99
J. Pereyra
D
J. Pereyra
D
98
A. Ramos
1 👟
D
A. Ramos
1 👟
D
16
L. Pérez
M
L. Pérez
M
6
Á. Ojeda
84'
M
Á. Ojeda
84'
M
22
A. Rodríguez
M
A. Rodríguez
M
7
J. Rojas
M
J. Rojas
M
77
Juan David Lucumí Cuero
1 ⚽
87'
M
Juan David Lucumí Cuero
1 ⚽
87'
M
24
S. Peralta
1 ⚽
73'
F
S. Peralta
1 ⚽
73'
F
Bench
27
A. Hidalgo
M
A. Hidalgo
M
18
Aylton Mazzo
17'
F
Aylton Mazzo
17'
F
33
C. Solís
G
C. Solís
G
31
J. Navarro
D
J. Navarro
D
15
Josué Alvino
6'
M
Josué Alvino
6'
M
28
J. Soto
D
J. Soto
D
3
L. Rugel
D
L. Rugel
D
10
V. Cedrón
M
V. Cedrón
M
1
C. Grados
G
C. Grados
G
15
N. Amasifuén
45'
D
N. Amasifuén
45'
D
3
C. Enciso
42'
D
C. Enciso
42'
D
13
J. Lojas
D
J. Lojas
D
4
A. Perleche
D
A. Perleche
D
25
R. Chipao
M
R. Chipao
M
20
D. Ramírez
M
D. Ramírez
M
17
Y. Zapata
73'
M
Y. Zapata
73'
M
8
C. Mejía
45'
M
C. Mejía
45'
M
7
E. Lastre
45'
M
E. Lastre
45'
M
11
B. Angulo
64'
F
B. Angulo
64'
F
Bench
24
A. Lecaros
F
A. Lecaros
F
16
Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas
17'
F
Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas
17'
F
14
Claudio Guillermo Ramírez Llamocca
M
Claudio Guillermo Ramírez Llamocca
M
22
E. Montenegro
45'
D
E. Montenegro
45'
D
90
J. Collazos
26'
F
J. Collazos
26'
F
30
J. Granda
45'
D
J. Granda
45'
D
10
N. Chávez
M
N. Chávez
M
29
R. Figueroa
G
R. Figueroa
G
88
Y. López
45'
D
Y. López
45'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Ramos
D · ADT
7.75
1 👟
· 50 pass
Juan David Lucumí Cuero
M · ADT
7.65
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 38 pass
S. Peralta
F · ADT
7.62
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
J. Rojas
M · ADT
7.55
3 shots
· 47 pass
J. Pereyra
D · ADT
7.27
1 shots
· 60 pass
H. Benincasa
D · ADT
7.20
1 shots
· 53 pass
ADT — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Valencia | G | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Núñez | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 38% | 3 | 1 | — |
| H. Benincasa | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | D | 90 | 7.27 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 53% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Ramos | D | 90 | 7.75 | — | 1 | 0 | 50 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Pérez | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 70% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Á. Ojeda | M | 84 | 7.03 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 53% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Rojas | M | 90 | 7.55 | — | — | 3 | 47 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| Juan David Lucumí Cuero | M | 87 | 7.65 | 1 | — | 3 | 38 | 32% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Peralta | F | 73 | 7.62 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Aylton Mazzo | F | 17 | 6.72 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Josué Alvino | M | 6 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
UCV Moquegua — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Grados | G | 90 | 5.68 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Amasifuén | D | 45 | 5.65 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| C. Enciso | D | 42 | 4.94 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | 1 |
| J. Lojas | D | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Perleche | D | 90 | 5.57 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Chipao | M | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ramírez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Zapata | M | 73 | 5.36 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 15% | 0 | 1 | — |
| C. Mejía | M | 45 | 5.55 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Lastre | M | 45 | 5.86 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Angulo | F | 64 | 5.85 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas | F | 17 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Montenegro | D | 45 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Collazos | F | 26 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Granda | D | 45 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. López | D | 45 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
The final score was ADT 2–0 UCV Moquegua.
What did the model predict before ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
The model assigned 67% probability to a ADT win, 19% to a draw, and 12% to an UCV Moquegua win.