Liga 1
· Clausura - 1
July 18, 2026 20:15
✗Model wrong — prediction ADT, result Universitario wins
J. J. Canela Torres
28'
20'
A. Valera
31'
L. Alzugaray
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ADT a 50% win probability (draw 28%, Universitario 21%). The final result was ADT 1–2 Universitario. In 1 previous meetings, ADT have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Universitario.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
6
4
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
4
9
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
20'
A. Valera⚽
⚽J. J. Canela Torres
28'
L. Perez
30'
31'
L. Alzugaray⚽
J. Narvaez
45'+4
45'+7
J. Murrugarra
45'+8
67'
E. Flores
/
J. Rivera
J. J. Canela Torres
/ A. Mazzo
67'
67'
A. Quiroz
/
J. Concha
76'
J. Requena
/
H. Fertoli
76'
J. Castillo
/
J. Murrugarra
J. Alvino
/ H. Rengifo
78'
83'
G. Lapadula
/
A. Valera
J. Garcilazo
/ A. Rodriguez
87'
A. Ojeda
/ L. Rugel
87'
Pre-match prediction
50.28%
ADT
28.02%
X
21.7%
Universitario ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Universitario)
21.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
—
—
0.64
—
—
Lineups
30
J. Valencia
G
J. Valencia
G
44
H. Benincasa
D
H. Benincasa
D
6
Á. Ojeda
87'
D
Á. Ojeda
87'
D
23
J. Narváez
49'
D
J. Narváez
49'
D
26
G. Vas
87'
D
G. Vas
87'
D
16
L. Pérez
M
L. Pérez
M
15
Josué Alvino
78'
M
59
O. Núñez
M
O. Núñez
M
7
J. Rojas
M
J. Rojas
M
80
J. Canela
1 ⚽
67'
M
J. Canela
1 ⚽
67'
M
32
J. Bauman
F
J. Bauman
F
Bench
22
A. Rodríguez
12'
F
A. Rodríguez
12'
F
18
Aylton Mazzo
23'
F
Aylton Mazzo
23'
F
33
C. Solís
G
C. Solís
G
9
H. Rengifo
12'
F
H. Rengifo
12'
F
2
Jair Reyes
M
Jair Reyes
M
31
J. Navarro
D
J. Navarro
D
3
L. Rugel
12'
D
L. Rugel
12'
D
25
Sinclair García
M
Sinclair García
M
24
S. Peralta
M
S. Peralta
M
1
Diego Romero
G
Diego Romero
G
33
César Inga
D
César Inga
D
5
M. Di Benedetto
D
M. Di Benedetto
D
2
C. Fara
D
C. Fara
D
24
A. Polo
D
A. Polo
D
23
J. Murrugarra
76'
M
J. Murrugarra
76'
M
17
J. Concha
67'
M
J. Concha
67'
M
8
H. Fértoli
76'
M
H. Fértoli
76'
M
30
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
1 ⚽
M
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
1 ⚽
M
11
J. Rivera
67'
F
J. Rivera
67'
F
20
A. Valera
1 ⚽
83'
F
A. Valera
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
28
A. Quiróz
23'
M
A. Quiróz
23'
M
19
É. Flores
23'
M
É. Flores
23'
M
18
Gianluca Lapadula
16'
F
Gianluca Lapadula
16'
F
6
Jesús Castillo
14'
M
Jesús Castillo
14'
M
15
J. Requena
14'
M
J. Requena
14'
M
25
M. Vargas
G
M. Vargas
G
3
W. Riveros
D
W. Riveros
D
Best on the pitch
L. Pérez
M · ADT
8.00
5 shots
· 62 pass
J. Canela
M · ADT
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
M · Universitario
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 35 pass
A. Valera
F · Universitario
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Josué Alvino
M · ADT
7.20
1 shots
· 45 pass
J. Rojas
M · ADT
7.20
1 shots
· 31 pass
ADT — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Valencia | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Benincasa | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Á. Ojeda | D | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Narváez | D | 49 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | 1 |
| G. Vas | D | 87 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | — | — | — |
| L. Pérez | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 5 | 62 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Josué Alvino | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Núñez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rojas | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Canela | M | 67 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bauman | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Aylton Mazzo | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| H. Rengifo | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Rugel | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Universitario — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Romero | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — |
| César Inga | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. Di Benedetto | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| C. Fara | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Polo | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Murrugarra | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Concha | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| H. Fértoli | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Lisandro Joel Alzugaray | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 35 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Rivera | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Valera | F | 83 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Quiróz | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| É. Flores | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Gianluca Lapadula | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Castillo | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Requena | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ADT vs Universitario?
The final score was ADT 1–2 Universitario.
What did the model predict before ADT vs Universitario?
The model assigned 50% probability to a ADT win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Universitario win.