Liga 1
· Clausura - 1
July 18, 2026 20:15
✗Model wrong — prediction ADT, result Universitario wins
J. J. Canela Torres
28'
20'
A. Valera
31'
L. Alzugaray
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ADT a 50% win probability (draw 28%, Universitario 21%). The final result was ADT 1–2 Universitario. In 1 previous meetings, ADT have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Universitario.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
6
4
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
4
9
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
20'
A. Valera⚽
⚽J. J. Canela Torres
28'
L. Perez
30'
31'
L. Alzugaray⚽
J. Narvaez
45'+4
45'+7
J. Murrugarra
45'+8
67'
E. Flores
/
J. Rivera
J. J. Canela Torres
/ A. Mazzo
67'
67'
A. Quiroz
/
J. Concha
76'
J. Requena
/
H. Fertoli
76'
J. Castillo
/
J. Murrugarra
J. Alvino
/ H. Rengifo
78'
83'
G. Lapadula
/
A. Valera
J. Garcilazo
/ A. Rodriguez
87'
A. Ojeda
/ L. Rugel
87'
Pre-match prediction
50.28%
ADT
28.02%
X
21.7%
Universitario ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Universitario)
21.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
—
—
0.64
—
—
Lineups
30
J. Valencia
G
J. Valencia
G
44
H. Benincasa
D
H. Benincasa
D
6
Á. Ojeda
87'
D
Á. Ojeda
87'
D
23
J. Narváez
49'
D
J. Narváez
49'
D
26
Jhojan Garcilazo
87'
D
Jhojan Garcilazo
87'
D
16
L. Pérez
M
L. Pérez
M
15
Josué Alvino
78'
M
Josué Alvino
78'
M
59
Orlando Nuñez
M
Orlando Nuñez
M
7
J. Rojas
M
J. Rojas
M
80
J. Canela
1 ⚽
67'
M
J. Canela
1 ⚽
67'
M
32
J. Bauman
F
J. Bauman
F
Bench
22
A. Rodríguez
12'
F
A. Rodríguez
12'
F
18
Aylton Mazzo
23'
F
Aylton Mazzo
23'
F
33
C. Solís
G
C. Solís
G
9
Hernán Rengifo
12'
F
Hernán Rengifo
12'
F
2
Jair Reyes
M
Jair Reyes
M
31
J. Navarro
D
J. Navarro
D
3
Leonardo Rugel
12'
D
Leonardo Rugel
12'
D
24
Said Peralta
M
Said Peralta
M
25
Sinclair García
M
Sinclair García
M
1
Diego Romero
G
Diego Romero
G
33
César Inga
D
César Inga
D
5
Matías Di Benedetto
D
Matías Di Benedetto
D
2
Caín Fara
D
Caín Fara
D
24
Andy Polo
D
Andy Polo
D
23
Jorge Murrugarra
76'
M
Jorge Murrugarra
76'
M
17
J. Concha
67'
M
J. Concha
67'
M
8
Héctor Fértoli
76'
M
Héctor Fértoli
76'
M
30
Lisandro Alzugaray
1 ⚽
M
Lisandro Alzugaray
1 ⚽
M
11
José Rivera
67'
F
José Rivera
67'
F
20
A. Valera
1 ⚽
83'
F
A. Valera
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
28
Adrián Quiroz
23'
M
Adrián Quiroz
23'
M
19
Edison Flores
23'
M
Edison Flores
23'
M
18
Gianluca Lapadula
16'
F
Gianluca Lapadula
16'
F
6
Jesús Castillo
14'
M
Jesús Castillo
14'
M
15
Juan Manuel Requena
14'
M
Juan Manuel Requena
14'
M
25
Miguel Vargas
G
Miguel Vargas
G
3
W. Riveros
D
W. Riveros
D
Best on the pitch
L. Pérez
M · ADT
8.00
5 shots
· 62 pass
J. Canela
M · ADT
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
Lisandro Alzugaray
M · Universitario
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 35 pass
A. Valera
F · Universitario
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Josué Alvino
M · ADT
7.20
1 shots
· 45 pass
J. Rojas
M · ADT
7.20
1 shots
· 31 pass
ADT — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Valencia | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Benincasa | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Á. Ojeda | D | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Narváez | D | 49 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | 1 |
| Jhojan Garcilazo | D | 87 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | — | — | — |
| L. Pérez | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 5 | 62 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Josué Alvino | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Orlando Nuñez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rojas | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Canela | M | 67 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bauman | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Aylton Mazzo | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Hernán Rengifo | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Rugel | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Universitario — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Romero | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — |
| César Inga | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Matías Di Benedetto | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Caín Fara | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Andy Polo | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Murrugarra | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Concha | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Héctor Fértoli | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Lisandro Alzugaray | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 35 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| José Rivera | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Valera | F | 83 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Quiroz | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Edison Flores | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Gianluca Lapadula | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Castillo | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Requena | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ADT vs Universitario?
The final score was ADT 1–2 Universitario.
What did the model predict before ADT vs Universitario?
The model assigned 50% probability to a ADT win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Universitario win.