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AEK Athens FC - AS Roma

Champions League January 19, 2027 21:00
AEK Athens FC
#29 · 3 pts
vs
AS Roma
#15 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.43%
Win
AEK Athens FC
31.32%
Draw
27.24%
Win
AS Roma
1.23
Expected xG
0.63

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.0%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 31%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 59%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AEK Athens FC a 41% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 27% for AS Roma. Expected goals are 1.2 for AEK Athens FC and 0.6 for AS Roma (total 1.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.0% probability.

Season Stats

AEK Athens FC
2W 1D 2L
AS Roma
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
2.7
1.6
Conceded
1.7
3.6
Shots OT
6.7
4.0
Corners
5.3
45%
Poss.
62%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
67%
40%
BTTS
67%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
AEK Athens FC
2W 0D 0L · at home
AS Roma
0W 1D 0L · away
2.5
gls/g
1.0
0.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ AEK Athens FC AS Roma →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.6% 9.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% —
1 19.1% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% —
2 11.7% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 4.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% — —
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
L Manchester City 5–1
L Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1
W Lask Linz 1–0
W Levski Sofia 4–0
D Levski Sofia 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
AS Roma AS Roma
W Slovan Bratislava 4–0
L Real Madrid 3–4
D Fenerbahçe 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
Attack
52
Defence
67
Form
40
AS Roma AS Roma
Attack
59
Defence
57
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs AS Roma?
The model gives AEK Athens FC a 41% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 27% for an AS Roma win.
How many goals are expected in AEK Athens FC vs AS Roma?
Expected goals: AEK Athens FC 1.2, AS Roma 0.6 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in AEK Athens FC vs AS Roma?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.0%.