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AEK Athens FC - Galatasaray

Champions League December 08, 2026 21:00
#16 · 3 pts
vs
#30 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.43%
Win
AEK Athens FC
31.0%
Draw
25.57%
Win
Galatasaray
1.24
Expected xG
0.59

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.47%)
1X2 Result
1 43%
X 31%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 57%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AEK Athens FC a 43% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Galatasaray. Expected goals are 1.2 for AEK Athens FC and 0.6 for Galatasaray (total 1.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.47% probability.

Season Stats

AEK Athens FC
2W 1D 0L
Galatasaray
5W 1D 7L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.4
0.0
Conceded
1.8
4.0
Shots OT
4.8
5.0
Corners
4.0
48%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
33%
O 1.5
69%
33%
O 2.5
54%
0%
BTTS
46%
100%
Clean Sht
23%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
54%
O 3.5
22%
BTTS
AEK Athens FC
2W 0D 0L · at home
Galatasaray
1W 0D 6L · away
2.5
gls/g
1.0
0.0
Conceded
2.6
100%
Win %
14%
100%
Win or Draw
14%
50%
O 1.5
86%
50%
O 2.5
71%
50%
O 3.5
57%
0%
BTTS
43%
100%
Clean Sht
14%
0%
Failed to Score
43%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ AEK Athens FC Galatasaray →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.1% 9.5% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 19.9% 11.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% —
2 12.3% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 5.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% — —
4 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

W Lask Linz 1–0
W Levski Sofia 4–0
D Levski Sofia 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
L Sporting CP 3–1
L Liverpool 4–0
W Liverpool 1–0
L Juventus 3–2
W Juventus 5–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
Attack
56
Defence
78
Form
64
Galatasaray Galatasaray
Attack
54
Defence
61
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 1 3
2 Bayern München Bayern München 1 3
3 Barcelona Barcelona 1 3
4 Manchester United Manchester United 1 3
5 Como Como 1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1 3
7 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1 3
8 Manchester City Manchester City 1 3
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1 3
10 Lens Lens 1 3
11 Real Betis Real Betis 1 3
12 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1 3
13 Liverpool Liverpool 1 3
14 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1 3
15 Arsenal Arsenal 1 3
16 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1 3
17 AS Roma AS Roma 1 1
18 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1 1
19 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1 1
20 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1 1
21 Villarreal Villarreal 1 0
22 Lille Lille 1 0
23 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 1 0
24 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 1 0
25 Inter Inter 1 0
26 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1 0
27 Napoli Napoli 1 0
28 Lask Linz Lask Linz 1 0
29 Viking Viking 1 0
30 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1 0
31 FC Porto FC Porto 1 0
32 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1 0
33 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1 0
34 Sabah FA Sabah FA 1 0
35 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1 0
36 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Galatasaray?
The model gives AEK Athens FC a 43% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 25% for an Galatasaray win.
How many goals are expected in AEK Athens FC vs Galatasaray?
Expected goals: AEK Athens FC 1.2, Galatasaray 0.6 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in AEK Athens FC vs Galatasaray?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.47%.